Artikel ; Online: Recovery strategies following COVID-19 disruption to cervical cancer screening and their impact on excess diagnoses.
2021 Band 124, Heft 8, Seite(n) 1361–1365
Abstract: ... to cancer. Under two recovery scenarios, we estimate the impact of COVID-19 on cervical cancer over one ... Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted cervical cancer screening services. Assuming ... increases to screening capacity are unrealistic, we propose two recovery strategies: one extends ...
Abstract | Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted cervical cancer screening services. Assuming increases to screening capacity are unrealistic, we propose two recovery strategies: one extends the screening interval by 6 months for all and the other extends the interval by 36/60 months, but only for women who have already missed being screened. Methods: Using routine statistics from England we estimate the number of women affected by delays to screening. We used published research to estimate the proportion of screening age women with high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia and progression rates to cancer. Under two recovery scenarios, we estimate the impact of COVID-19 on cervical cancer over one screening cycle (3 years at ages 25-49 and 5 years at ages 50-64 years). The duration of disruption in both scenarios is 6 months. In the first scenario, 10.7 million women have their screening interval extended by 6 months. In the second, 1.5 million women (those due to be screened during the disruption) miss one screening cycle, but most women have no delay. Results: Both scenarios result in similar numbers of excess cervical cancers: 630 vs. 632 (both 4.3 per 100,000 women in the population). However, the scenario in which some women miss one screening cycle creates inequalities-they would have much higher rates of excess cancer: 41.5 per 100,000 delayed for screened women compared to those with a 6-month delay (5.9 per 100,000). Conclusion: To ensure equity for those affected by COVID-19 related screening delays additional screening capacity will need to be paired with prioritising the screening of overdue women. |
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Mesh-Begriff(e) | Adult ; COVID-19/complications ; COVID-19/diagnosis ; COVID-19/epidemiology ; COVID-19/virology ; Colposcopy/methods ; Early Detection of Cancer ; England/epidemiology ; Female ; Humans ; Middle Aged ; Pandemics ; Papillomaviridae/pathogenicity ; Papillomavirus Infections/complications ; Papillomavirus Infections/diagnosis ; Papillomavirus Infections/epidemiology ; Papillomavirus Infections/virology ; Pregnancy ; SARS-CoV-2/genetics ; SARS-CoV-2/pathogenicity ; Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/complications ; Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/diagnosis ; Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/epidemiology ; Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/virology ; Vaginal Smears/methods | |||||
Sprache | Englisch | |||||
Erscheinungsdatum | 2021-02-09 | |||||
Erscheinungsland | England | |||||
Dokumenttyp | Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't | |||||
ZDB-ID | 80075-2 | |||||
ISSN | 1532-1827 ; 0007-0920 | |||||
ISSN (online) | 1532-1827 | |||||
ISSN | 0007-0920 | |||||
DOI | 10.1038/s41416-021-01275-3 | |||||
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Datenquelle | MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE |
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