Article ; Online: Modeling Palestinian COVID-19 Cumulative Confirmed Cases: A Comparative Study.
2020 Volume 5, Page(s) 748–754
Abstract: ... the COVID-19 cumulative confirmed cases in Palestine. The data was taken from World Health Organization ... about the next number of COVID-19 cumulative confirmed cases to review her activities and interventions and ... 19 cumulative confirmed cases as of 27th August 2020. In this paper, two statistical approaches ...
Abstract | COVID-19 is still a major pandemic threatening all the world. In Palestine, there were 26,764 COVID-19 cumulative confirmed cases as of 27th August 2020. In this paper, two statistical approaches, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and k-th moving averages - ARIMA models are used for modeling the COVID-19 cumulative confirmed cases in Palestine. The data was taken from World Health Organization (WHO) website for one hundred seventy-six (176) days, from March 5, 2020 through August 27, 2020. We identified the best models for the above mentioned approaches that are ARIMA (1,2,4) and 5-th Exponential Weighted Moving Average - ARIMA (2,2,3). Consequently, we recommended to use the 5-th Exponential Weighted Moving Average - ARIMA (2,2,3) model in order to forecast new values of the daily cumulative confirmed cases in Palestine. The forecast values are alarming, and giving the Palestinian government a good picture about the next number of COVID-19 cumulative confirmed cases to review her activities and interventions and to provide some robust structures and measures to avoid these challenges. |
---|---|
Keywords | covid19 |
Language | English |
Publishing date | 2020-09-22 |
Publishing country | China |
Document type | Journal Article |
ZDB-ID | 3015225-2 |
ISSN | 2468-0427 ; 2468-2152 |
ISSN (online) | 2468-0427 |
ISSN | 2468-2152 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.idm.2020.09.001 |
Database | MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE |
More links
Kategorien
Order via subito
This service is chargeable due to the Delivery terms set by subito. Orders including an article and supplementary material will be classified as separate orders. In these cases, fees will be demanded for each order.