Article: Trend Dynamics of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Transmission in 16 Cities of Hubei Province, China.
2020 Volume 12, Page(s) 699–709
Abstract: Objective: A severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) was detected ... CoV-2-infected cases among 16 cities of Hubei, China from Jan-11 to Feb-24, 2020.: Results: Out ... to Mar-15 in Hubei Province. Future forecast showed that the average number of SARS-CoV-2-infected cases ...
| Abstract | Objective: A severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) was detected by researchers from a patient in Wuhan, Hubei province, China, in December 2019, and broke out in January 2020. Then, the pandemic was detected in countries around the world. Therefore, precise estimates of its current and future trends are highly required for future policy implications. Methods: We retrieved data from the Health Commission of Hubei, China. Logistic-S curve model was used to estimate the current and future trends of SARS-CoV-2-infected cases among 16 cities of Hubei, China from Jan-11 to Feb-24, 2020. Results: Out of 64,287 confirmed cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Hubei, higher percentage of cases were in Wuhan and Xiaogan. The highest death percentage was found in Wuhan and Qianjiang. A significant percentage of cures were found in Enshi Prefecture and Huanggang, while Wuhan showed the lowest percentage of cures. Rising trends in infected cases were observed throughout the study period, particularly in Wuhan, and a higher trend was observed after 12-Feb. Gradual decline trend of SARS-CoV-2 cases was observed during Feb-25 to Mar-15 in Hubei Province. Future forecast showed that the average number of SARS-CoV-2-infected cases might be decreased or stable in Hubei in the coming 20 days. Conclusion: The public must take precautionary measures in order to control and prevent disease spread and avoid extra travelling. |
|---|---|
| Keywords | covid19 |
| Language | English |
| Publishing date | 2020-07-02 |
| Publishing country | New Zealand |
| Document type | Journal Article |
| ZDB-ID | 2494772-6 |
| ISSN | 1179-1349 |
| ISSN | 1179-1349 |
| DOI | 10.2147/CLEP.S254806 |
| Database | MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE |
More links
Kategorien
Order via subito
This service is chargeable due to the Delivery terms set by subito. Orders including an article and supplementary material will be classified as separate orders. In these cases, fees will be demanded for each order.