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Article ; Online: Incubation period of coronavirus disease 2019: new implications for intervention and control.

Huang, Shunxiang / Li, Jing / Dai, Chengguqiu / Tie, Zihan / Xu, Jiazhao / Xiong, Xiang / Hao, Xingjie / Wang, Zhongyi / Lu, Chan

International journal of environmental health research

2021  Volume 32, Issue 8, Page(s) 1707–1715

Abstract: ... parameter for epidemic control and also an important basis for epidemic prediction, but its distribution law ... are of great significance to the prevention and control of the COVID-19 pandemic. ... cases, and systematically studied the characteristics of the incubation period of COVID-19 based ...

Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic has been causing serious disasters to mankind. The incubation period is a key parameter for epidemic control and also an important basis for epidemic prediction, but its distribution law remains unclear. This paper analyzed the epidemiological information of 787 confirmed non-Wuhan resident cases, and systematically studied the characteristics of the incubation period of COVID-19 based on the interval-censored data estimation method. The results show that the incubation period of COVID-19 approximately conforms to the Gamma distribution with a mean value of 7.8 (95%CI:7.4-8.5) days and a median value of 7.0 (95%CI:6.7-7.3) days. The incubation period was positively correlated with age and negatively correlated with disease severity. Female cases presented a slightly higher incubation period than that of males. The proportion of infected persons who developed symptoms within 14 days was 91.6%. These results are of great significance to the prevention and control of the COVID-19 pandemic.
MeSH term(s) COVID-19 ; China/epidemiology ; Female ; Humans ; Infectious Disease Incubation Period ; Male ; Pandemics
Language English
Publishing date 2021-04-04
Publishing country England
Document type Journal Article
ZDB-ID 1104887-6
ISSN 1369-1619 ; 0960-3123
ISSN (online) 1369-1619
ISSN 0960-3123
DOI 10.1080/09603123.2021.1905781
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