Article ; Online: Incubation period of coronavirus disease 2019: new implications for intervention and control.
International journal of environmental health research
2021 Volume 32, Issue 8, Page(s) 1707–1715
Abstract: ... parameter for epidemic control and also an important basis for epidemic prediction, but its distribution law ... are of great significance to the prevention and control of the COVID-19 pandemic. ... cases, and systematically studied the characteristics of the incubation period of COVID-19 based ...
Abstract | The COVID-19 pandemic has been causing serious disasters to mankind. The incubation period is a key parameter for epidemic control and also an important basis for epidemic prediction, but its distribution law remains unclear. This paper analyzed the epidemiological information of 787 confirmed non-Wuhan resident cases, and systematically studied the characteristics of the incubation period of COVID-19 based on the interval-censored data estimation method. The results show that the incubation period of COVID-19 approximately conforms to the Gamma distribution with a mean value of 7.8 (95%CI:7.4-8.5) days and a median value of 7.0 (95%CI:6.7-7.3) days. The incubation period was positively correlated with age and negatively correlated with disease severity. Female cases presented a slightly higher incubation period than that of males. The proportion of infected persons who developed symptoms within 14 days was 91.6%. These results are of great significance to the prevention and control of the COVID-19 pandemic. |
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MeSH term(s) | COVID-19 ; China/epidemiology ; Female ; Humans ; Infectious Disease Incubation Period ; Male ; Pandemics | |||||
Language | English | |||||
Publishing date | 2021-04-04 | |||||
Publishing country | England | |||||
Document type | Journal Article | |||||
ZDB-ID | 1104887-6 | |||||
ISSN | 1369-1619 ; 0960-3123 | |||||
ISSN (online) | 1369-1619 | |||||
ISSN | 0960-3123 | |||||
DOI | 10.1080/09603123.2021.1905781 | |||||
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Database | MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE |
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