Article ; Online: R
Bulletin of mathematical biology
2024 Volume 86, Issue 4, Page(s) 41
Abstract: This paper examines the short-term or transient dynamics of SIR infectious disease models in patch environments. We employ reactivity of an equilibrium and amplification rates, concepts from ecology, to analyze how dispersals/travels between patches, ... ...
Abstract | This paper examines the short-term or transient dynamics of SIR infectious disease models in patch environments. We employ reactivity of an equilibrium and amplification rates, concepts from ecology, to analyze how dispersals/travels between patches, spatial heterogeneity, and other disease-related parameters impact short-term dynamics. Our findings reveal that in certain scenarios, due to the impact of spatial heterogeneity and the dispersals, the short-term disease dynamics over a patch environment may disagree with the long-term disease dynamics that is typically reflected by the basic reproduction number. Such an inconsistence can mislead the public, public healthy agencies and governments when making public health policy and decisions, and hence, these findings are of practical importance. |
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MeSH term(s) | Humans ; Epidemiological Models ; Models, Biological ; Mathematical Concepts ; Communicable Diseases/epidemiology ; Ecology ; Basic Reproduction Number ; Population Dynamics |
Language | English |
Publishing date | 2024-03-15 |
Publishing country | United States |
Document type | Journal Article |
ZDB-ID | 184905-0 |
ISSN | 1522-9602 ; 0007-4985 ; 0092-8240 |
ISSN (online) | 1522-9602 |
ISSN | 0007-4985 ; 0092-8240 |
DOI | 10.1007/s11538-024-01271-7 |
Database | MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE |
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