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  1. Article: Reply to comment on Peto

    Peto, Julian

    Royal Society open science

    2021  Volume 8, Issue 6, Page(s) 210467

    Language English
    Publishing date 2021-06-23
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2787755-3
    ISSN 2054-5703
    ISSN 2054-5703
    DOI 10.1098/rsos.210467
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  2. Article: Weekly population testing could stop this pandemic and prevent the next.

    Peto, Julian

    Royal Society open science

    2021  Volume 8, Issue 7, Page(s) 210468

    Abstract: The rapid spread of the SARS-COV-2 delta variant in the UK despite high vaccination coverage will inevitably accelerate when social restrictions end unless testing and contact tracing become much more effective. To minimize further social and economic ... ...

    Abstract The rapid spread of the SARS-COV-2 delta variant in the UK despite high vaccination coverage will inevitably accelerate when social restrictions end unless testing and contact tracing become much more effective. To minimize further social and economic damage, the effect on R of introducing weekly population testing as social restrictions are relaxed should be evaluated. The large increase in testing capacity required can be achieved with self-taken saliva samples analysed by RT-LAMP in local testing facilities. The costs and effectiveness can be evaluated in whole-city demonstration studies. A local population register in each city or district is essential to issue weekly invitations, manage sample collection, monitor results and achieve rapid notification of households and other contacts when a test is positive. In the UK, weekly test invitations should be managed, like vaccination invitations, by the NHS, with social and financial support for quarantined households to make self-isolation acceptable. A framework for effective population testing that had been established and evaluated during this pandemic could be rapidly reinstated to suppress the next pandemic while vaccines for a new and perhaps more deadly virus are developed and rolled out.
    Language English
    Publishing date 2021-07-14
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article ; Review
    ZDB-ID 2787755-3
    ISSN 2054-5703
    ISSN 2054-5703
    DOI 10.1098/rsos.210468
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  3. Article ; Online: Reply to comment on Peto et al . (2020)

    Julian Peto

    Royal Society Open Science, Vol 8, Iss

    Weekly COVID-19 testing with household quarantine and contact tracing is feasible and would probably end the epidemic

    2021  Volume 6

    Keywords Science ; Q
    Language English
    Publishing date 2021-06-01T00:00:00Z
    Publisher The Royal Society
    Document type Article ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  4. Article ; Online: Covid-19 mass testing facilities could end the epidemic rapidly.

    Peto, Julian

    BMJ (Clinical research ed.)

    2020  Volume 368, Page(s) m1163

    MeSH term(s) Asymptomatic Infections ; Betacoronavirus ; COVID-19 ; COVID-19 Testing ; Clinical Laboratory Techniques ; Coronavirus Infections/diagnosis ; Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology ; Coronavirus Infections/transmission ; Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control ; Humans ; Mass Screening/methods ; Pneumonia, Viral/diagnosis ; Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology ; Pneumonia, Viral/transmission ; Public Health Surveillance ; SARS-CoV-2 ; United Kingdom
    Keywords covid19
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-03-22
    Publishing country England
    Document type Letter
    ZDB-ID 1362901-3
    ISSN 1756-1833 ; 0959-8154 ; 0959-8146 ; 0959-8138 ; 0959-535X ; 1759-2151
    ISSN (online) 1756-1833
    ISSN 0959-8154 ; 0959-8146 ; 0959-8138 ; 0959-535X ; 1759-2151
    DOI 10.1136/bmj.m1163
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  5. Article ; Online: Weekly population testing could stop this pandemic and prevent the next

    Julian Peto

    Royal Society Open Science, Vol 8, Iss

    2021  Volume 7

    Abstract: The rapid spread of the SARS-COV-2 delta variant in the UK despite high vaccination coverage will inevitably accelerate when social restrictions end unless testing and contact tracing become much more effective. To minimize further social and economic ... ...

    Abstract The rapid spread of the SARS-COV-2 delta variant in the UK despite high vaccination coverage will inevitably accelerate when social restrictions end unless testing and contact tracing become much more effective. To minimize further social and economic damage, the effect on R of introducing weekly population testing as social restrictions are relaxed should be evaluated. The large increase in testing capacity required can be achieved with self-taken saliva samples analysed by RT-LAMP in local testing facilities. The costs and effectiveness can be evaluated in whole-city demonstration studies. A local population register in each city or district is essential to issue weekly invitations, manage sample collection, monitor results and achieve rapid notification of households and other contacts when a test is positive. In the UK, weekly test invitations should be managed, like vaccination invitations, by the NHS, with social and financial support for quarantined households to make self-isolation acceptable. A framework for effective population testing that had been established and evaluated during this pandemic could be rapidly reinstated to suppress the next pandemic while vaccines for a new and perhaps more deadly virus are developed and rolled out.
    Keywords COVID-19 ; population testing ; modelling ; Science ; Q
    Subject code 360
    Language English
    Publishing date 2021-07-01T00:00:00Z
    Publisher The Royal Society
    Document type Article ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  6. Book ; Online: Covid-19 mass testing facilities could end the epidemic rapidly

    Peto, Julian

    2020  

    Keywords LETTERS ; covid19
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-03-22 09:51:00.0
    Publisher BMJ Publishing Group Ltd
    Publishing country us
    Document type Book ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  7. Article ; Online: Covid-19 mass testing facilities could end the epidemic rapidly

    Peto, Julian

    BMJ

    2020  , Page(s) m1163

    Keywords covid19
    Language English
    Publisher BMJ
    Publishing country uk
    Document type Article ; Online
    ZDB-ID 1362901-3
    ISSN 1756-1833 ; 0959-8154 ; 0959-8146 ; 0959-8138 ; 0959-535X ; 1759-2151
    ISSN (online) 1756-1833
    ISSN 0959-8154 ; 0959-8146 ; 0959-8138 ; 0959-535X ; 1759-2151
    DOI 10.1136/bmj.m1163
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  8. Article ; Online: Commentary: Frailty and cancer.

    Peto, Julian

    International journal of epidemiology

    2015  Volume 44, Issue 4, Page(s) 1423–1424

    MeSH term(s) Disease Susceptibility ; Epigenesis, Genetic ; Genetic Heterogeneity ; Genetic Variation ; Humans
    Language English
    Publishing date 2015-08
    Publishing country England
    Document type Comment ; Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 187909-1
    ISSN 1464-3685 ; 0300-5771
    ISSN (online) 1464-3685
    ISSN 0300-5771
    DOI 10.1093/ije/dyv046
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  9. Article ; Online: Long-term risks of invasive cervical cancer following HPV infection: follow-up of two screening cohorts in Manchester.

    Gilham, Clare / Sargent, Alexandra / Crosbie, Emma J / Peto, Julian

    British journal of cancer

    2023  Volume 128, Issue 10, Page(s) 1933–1940

    Abstract: Background: Long-term follow-up of large cohorts is needed to determine the effects of HPV and screening on CIN3 (grade 3 cervical intraepithelial neoplasia) and ICC (invasive cervical cancer).: Methods: Women were recruited when attending for ... ...

    Abstract Background: Long-term follow-up of large cohorts is needed to determine the effects of HPV and screening on CIN3 (grade 3 cervical intraepithelial neoplasia) and ICC (invasive cervical cancer).
    Methods: Women were recruited when attending for routine cervical screening in Greater Manchester, UK: 1987-93 for the Manchester Cohort (MC: 47,625 women) and 2001-03 for the ARTISTIC Cohort (AC: 24,496 women). Both were followed through national registration for cancer incidence and mortality to 2020.
    Results: Risk patterns following HPV infection differed for CIN3 and ICC. Risk of ICC in the MC rises for 30 years following a single positive HPV test, reaching 2.5% (95% CI: 1.3-4.5%). A similar pattern was seen in the AC, but the risks of cancer were approximately halved. CIN3 was diagnosed much sooner in the AC due to more efficient cytology. More sensitive HPV testing was able to better predict future risk.
    Conclusion: The sensitivity of HPV testing and cytology influences the CIN3 detection rate. Sensitive HPV testing enables effective risk stratification. Increased risk of ICC is observed 15-30 years after HPV infection. Women testing HPV + should be followed until their infection clears. Discharging women from screening programmes whilst they remain HPV + may not be safe, even if cytology and colposcopy tests are normal.
    MeSH term(s) Female ; Humans ; Pregnancy ; Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/diagnosis ; Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/epidemiology ; Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/prevention & control ; Papillomavirus Infections/complications ; Papillomavirus Infections/diagnosis ; Papillomavirus Infections/epidemiology ; Early Detection of Cancer ; Follow-Up Studies ; Vaginal Smears ; Uterine Cervical Dysplasia ; Mass Screening ; Colposcopy ; Papillomaviridae/genetics
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-03-23
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
    ZDB-ID 80075-2
    ISSN 1532-1827 ; 0007-0920
    ISSN (online) 1532-1827
    ISSN 0007-0920
    DOI 10.1038/s41416-023-02227-9
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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