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  1. Article ; Online: Time series forecasting of COVID-19 confirmed cases with ARIMA model in the South East Asian countries of India and Thailand: a comparative case study

    Chandu, Viswa Chaitanya

    Abstract: Abstract: Background: As economic burden makes it increasingly difficult for countries to continue imposing control measures, it is vital for countries to make predictions using time series forecasting before making decisions on lifting the restrictions. ...

    Abstract Abstract: Background: As economic burden makes it increasingly difficult for countries to continue imposing control measures, it is vital for countries to make predictions using time series forecasting before making decisions on lifting the restrictions. Aim: Since apparent differences were noted in the disease transmission between the two South East Asian countries of India and Thailand, the study aims to draw comparative account of the progression of COVID 19 in near future between these two countries. Methods: The study used data of COVID 19 confirmed cases in India and Thailand from WHO COVID 19 situation reports during the time period between 25th March, 2020 and 14th May, 2020. After determination of stationarity in the data and differencing, observation of autocorrelation function (ACF) and partial autocorrelation function (PACF), Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) (2,2,1) model was used to forecast the COVID 19 confirmed cases in both these countries for two weeks (i.e. 28th May, 2020). IBM SPSS version 20.0 software was used for data analysis. Results: The study demonstrated a possible increasing trend in number of COVID 19 cases in India in the coming two weeks with an estimated point forecast of 1,28,772 (95% CI 115023 to 142520) by 28th May, 2020. A stationary phase was forecasted for Thailand with a difference of only 43 cases between 14th May (the last case of input data) and 28th May. Conclusion: The time series forecasting employed in the present study warrants thorough preparation on part of the Indian health care system and authorities and calls for caution with regard to decisions made on lifting the control measures. The difference in the time series forecasting between these two South East Asian countries also highlights the need for strengthening of public health systems.
    Keywords covid19
    Publisher MedRxiv; WHO
    Document type Article ; Online
    Note WHO #Covidence: #20103895
    DOI 10.1101/2020.05.16.20103895
    Database COVID19

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  2. Article ; Online: Time series forecasting of COVID-19 confirmed cases with ARIMA model in the South East Asian countries of India and Thailand: a comparative case study

    Chandu, Viswa Chaitanya

    medRxiv

    Abstract: Abstract: Background: As economic burden makes it increasingly difficult for countries to continue imposing control measures, it is vital for countries to make predictions using time series forecasting before making decisions on lifting the restrictions. ...

    Abstract Abstract: Background: As economic burden makes it increasingly difficult for countries to continue imposing control measures, it is vital for countries to make predictions using time series forecasting before making decisions on lifting the restrictions. Aim: Since apparent differences were noted in the disease transmission between the two South East Asian countries of India and Thailand, the study aims to draw comparative account of the progression of COVID 19 in near future between these two countries. Methods: The study used data of COVID 19 confirmed cases in India and Thailand from WHO COVID 19 situation reports during the time period between 25th March, 2020 and 14th May, 2020. After determination of stationarity in the data and differencing, observation of autocorrelation function (ACF) and partial autocorrelation function (PACF), Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) (2,2,1) model was used to forecast the COVID 19 confirmed cases in both these countries for two weeks (i.e. 28th May, 2020). IBM SPSS version 20.0 software was used for data analysis. Results: The study demonstrated a possible increasing trend in number of COVID 19 cases in India in the coming two weeks with an estimated point forecast of 1,28,772 (95% CI 115023 to 142520) by 28th May, 2020. A stationary phase was forecasted for Thailand with a difference of only 43 cases between 14th May (the last case of input data) and 28th May. Conclusion: The time series forecasting employed in the present study warrants thorough preparation on part of the Indian health care system and authorities and calls for caution with regard to decisions made on lifting the control measures. The difference in the time series forecasting between these two South East Asian countries also highlights the need for strengthening of public health systems.
    Keywords covid19
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-05-20
    Publisher Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press
    Document type Article ; Online
    DOI 10.1101/2020.05.16.20103895
    Database COVID19

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  3. Article ; Online: Development and psychometric validation of the orthodontic health literacy tool.

    Marella, Yamuna / Chandu, Viswa Chaitanya / Almalki, Abdullah / Bommireddy, Vikramsimha / Lanka, Devikanth / Kandikatla, Pradeep

    Indian journal of dental research : official publication of Indian Society for Dental Research

    2023  Volume 34, Issue 1, Page(s) 2–7

    Abstract: Introduction: Over the past few years, there has been increasing emphasis on context-specific health literacy. However, no such context-specific psychometric tools are available with regard to oral health literacy. The aim of this study was to develop ... ...

    Abstract Introduction: Over the past few years, there has been increasing emphasis on context-specific health literacy. However, no such context-specific psychometric tools are available with regard to oral health literacy. The aim of this study was to develop and validate an Orthodontic Health Literacy Tool (Orth-HLT).
    Materials and methods: After development of initial item pool, the items were assessed for content validity. The final tool consisted of 22 items in the four domains of functional, communicative, critical orthodontic health literacy, and orthodontic knowledge. Orth-HLT was administered to a convenience sample of 642 subjects. The data were subjected to exploratory and confirmatory factor analyses using IBM SPSS Version 20.0 software and IBM SPSS Amos 26.0, respectively. Pearson's correlation, independent samples t-test, and one-way analysis of variance were performed.
    Results: Orth-HLT demonstrated good face and content validity. The domain-specific internal consistency reliability values were optimal. Exploratory factor analysis on the items in all four domains resulted in a single factor solution. Four models were evaluated in the confirmatory factor analysis; the correlated factors model showed best model fit indices. Each domain of Orth-HLT showed moderate to strong positive correlation with Indian Oral Health Literacy Measure in Telugu indicating the convergent validity of the tool.
    Conclusion: Orth-HLT is the first context-specific oral health literacy tool and demonstrates strong psychometric properties, which could be used to evaluate orthodontic health literacy and articulate orthodontic health education materials in an informed manner.
    MeSH term(s) Humans ; Health Literacy/methods ; Psychometrics ; Reproducibility of Results ; Knowledge ; Oral Health ; Surveys and Questionnaires
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-07-07
    Publishing country India
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 1354886-4
    ISSN 1998-3603 ; 0970-9290
    ISSN (online) 1998-3603
    ISSN 0970-9290
    DOI 10.4103/ijdr.ijdr_268_21
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  4. Article ; Online: Vaccination induced complacency in adherence to COVID-19 precautionary measures among oral health care professionals in India and the United States: a retrospective pretest-posttest design.

    Chandu, Viswa Chaitanya / Baddam, Venkat Ramana Reddy / Mupparapu, Mel / Marella, Yamuna

    Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics

    2021  Volume 17, Issue 12, Page(s) 5105–5113

    Abstract: In the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, vaccination-induced behavioral complacency in adherence to COVID-19 appropriate behavior emerged as a significant concern. This study was conducted among a convenience sample of 540 oral health care professionals ... ...

    Abstract In the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, vaccination-induced behavioral complacency in adherence to COVID-19 appropriate behavior emerged as a significant concern. This study was conducted among a convenience sample of 540 oral health care professionals in India and the United States. This was a retrospective pretest-post-test design, a choice to eliminate response-shift bias, where the participants responded online on their adherence or otherwise to COVID-19 precautionary measures before and after vaccination. The difference between post-test and retrospective pretest scores was used in assessing the magnitude of complacency demonstrated by the individual as a function of getting vaccinated, and the process was validated using exploratory factor analysis (EFA) with principal axis factoring and confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) on two randomly split subsets of the overall sample. It was observed that there had been a decline in the adherence to all the considered COVID-19 precautionary measures from the time before vaccination to the time of achievement of the fully vaccinated status. EFA performed on the randomly split sub sample of 240 subjects returned a two factor solution with five items in factor 1 and seven items in factor 2. Items in both the factors demonstrated adequate internal consistency in reliability analysis (Cronbach's alpha 0.84 and 0.82, respectively). The two factor solution obtained in EFA demonstrated good model fit in CFA [RMSEA (90%CI) - 0.077 (0.063-0.092); TLI - 0.872; CFI - 0.897; SRMR - 0.056]. These results highlight the vaccination-induced complacency in observing COVID-19 appropriate behavior among oral health professionals in India and the United States.
    MeSH term(s) COVID-19/epidemiology ; COVID-19/prevention & control ; Health Personnel ; Humans ; India/epidemiology ; Pandemics/prevention & control ; Psychometrics ; Reproducibility of Results ; Retrospective Studies ; SARS-CoV-2 ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; United States ; Vaccination
    Language English
    Publishing date 2021-10-06
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2664176-8
    ISSN 2164-554X ; 2164-5515
    ISSN (online) 2164-554X
    ISSN 2164-5515
    DOI 10.1080/21645515.2021.1978794
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  5. Article: Development and Initial Validation of the COVID-19 Anxiety Scale.

    Chandu, Viswa Chaitanya / Pachava, Srinivas / Vadapalli, Viswanath / Marella, Yamuna

    Indian journal of public health

    2020  Volume 64, Issue Supplement, Page(s) S201–S204

    Abstract: Background: Safeguarding the psychological well-being of the public is also an integral component of fighting COVID-19. However, there is limited availability of psychometric measures to document COVID-19-related anxiety among the general public.: ... ...

    Abstract Background: Safeguarding the psychological well-being of the public is also an integral component of fighting COVID-19. However, there is limited availability of psychometric measures to document COVID-19-related anxiety among the general public.
    Objectives: This study was aimed at developing a validated scale to measure COVID-19-related anxiety.
    Methods: Three hundred and seven subjects from different gender, educational categories participated in the study. Exploratory factor analysis for the determination of factor structure, Pearson's correlation test, and Kruskal-Wallis ANOVA were employed in data analysis using SPSS version 20 software.
    Results: COVID-19 Anxiety Scale (CAS) demonstrated a two-component structure identified as: "fear of social interaction;" "illness anxiety." The final scale with seven items demonstrated good internal consistency reliability (Cronbach's Alpha 0.736). CAS exhibited good construct validity showing moderately negative correlation (Pearson's r = -0.417) with the self-rated mental health and resulted in higher scores among individuals with lower educational qualification (Kruskal-Wallis ANOVA χ
    Conclusion: CAS is a rapidly administrable, valid, and reliable tool that can be used to measure COVID-19-related anxiety among the Indian population.
    MeSH term(s) Adolescent ; Adult ; Age Factors ; Anxiety/diagnosis ; Anxiety/epidemiology ; Betacoronavirus ; COVID-19 ; Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology ; Coronavirus Infections/psychology ; Fear ; Female ; Humans ; India/epidemiology ; Interpersonal Relations ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Pandemics ; Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology ; Pneumonia, Viral/psychology ; Psychometrics ; Reproducibility of Results ; SARS-CoV-2 ; Sex Factors ; Socioeconomic Factors ; Surveys and Questionnaires/standards ; Young Adult
    Keywords covid19
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-06-04
    Publishing country India
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 800737-8
    ISSN 2229-7693 ; 0019-557X
    ISSN (online) 2229-7693
    ISSN 0019-557X
    DOI 10.4103/ijph.IJPH_492_20
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  6. Article ; Online: Development and Initial Validation of the COVID-19 Anxiety Scale

    Viswa Chaitanya Chandu / Srinivas Pachava / Viswanath Vadapalli / Yamuna Marella

    Indian Journal of Public Health, Vol 64, Iss 6, Pp 201-

    2020  Volume 204

    Abstract: Background: Safeguarding the psychological well-being of the public is also an integral component of fighting COVID-19. However, there is limited availability of psychometric measures to document COVID-19-related anxiety among the general public. ... ...

    Abstract Background: Safeguarding the psychological well-being of the public is also an integral component of fighting COVID-19. However, there is limited availability of psychometric measures to document COVID-19-related anxiety among the general public. Objectives: This study was aimed at developing a validated scale to measure COVID-19-related anxiety. Methods: Three hundred and seven subjects from different gender, educational categories participated in the study. Exploratory factor analysis for the determination of factor structure, Pearson's correlation test, and Kruskal–Wallis ANOVA were employed in data analysis using SPSS version 20 software. Results: COVID-19 Anxiety Scale (CAS) demonstrated a two-component structure identified as: “fear of social interaction;” “illness anxiety.” The final scale with seven items demonstrated good internal consistency reliability (Cronbach's Alpha 0.736). CAS exhibited good construct validity showing moderately negative correlation (Pearson's r = −0.417) with the self-rated mental health and resulted in higher scores among individuals with lower educational qualification (Kruskal–Wallis ANOVA χ2 [2, 303] = 38.01; P = 0.001). Conclusion: CAS is a rapidly administrable, valid, and reliable tool that can be used to measure COVID-19-related anxiety among the Indian population.
    Keywords coronavirus ; principal component analysis ; psychometrics ; Public aspects of medicine ; RA1-1270 ; covid19
    Subject code 150
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-01-01T00:00:00Z
    Publisher Wolters Kluwer Medknow Publications
    Document type Article ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  7. Article ; Online: Is the profession of dentistry losing its yesteryear's glory? An exploratory study from dental students' perspective.

    Bommireddy, Vikram Simha / Chandu, Viswa Chaitanya / Kommineni, Harish Chowdary / Vijaykumar, Anu / Ravoori, Srinivas / Neeli, Gayathri Spandana

    Indian journal of dental research : official publication of Indian Society for Dental Research

    2021  Volume 32, Issue 1, Page(s) 35–38

    Abstract: Introduction: The regard for dentistry as a profession has been declining over the recent years in light of the increasing number of dental students graduating per year with negligible improvement in the utilization of oral health care services. In this ...

    Abstract Introduction: The regard for dentistry as a profession has been declining over the recent years in light of the increasing number of dental students graduating per year with negligible improvement in the utilization of oral health care services. In this context, it is important to document the perceptions and apprehensions of the current dental students as these feelings would have an influence on the roles they assume as dentists in future.
    Aim: With this background, this study attempts to document the willingness of dental students from three South Indian states to re-choose dentistry given an opportunity.
    Materials and methods: This cross-sectional survey was conducted among house surgeons from 12 dental institutions, 4 each from the southern Indian states of Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, and Tamilnadu. The semi-structured questionnaire used in this study consisted of five primary questions along with details on the participants' gender, type of admission. It aimed at documenting the willingness to re-choose dentistry given an opportunity, and the reasons for their willingness or otherwise. A total of 822 students constituted the final sample. SPSS version 20 software was used to analyse the data.
    Results: Majority of the study participants were from Tamil Nadu, not reported dentistry as their primary career choice, and demonstrated reluctance in re-choosing dentistry given an opportunity. A significantly higher percentage of dental students from Tamil Nadu reported dentistry as their first professional choice. This observation persisted in the response of students for the question on their willingness to re-choose dentistry.
    Conclusion: The study results demonstrate the declining interest and regard for dentistry among the current dental students with nominal variations between students from the three South Indian states.
    MeSH term(s) Career Choice ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Dentistry ; Humans ; India ; Students, Dental ; Surveys and Questionnaires
    Language English
    Publishing date 2021-07-16
    Publishing country India
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 1354886-4
    ISSN 1998-3603 ; 0970-9290
    ISSN (online) 1998-3603
    ISSN 0970-9290
    DOI 10.4103/ijdr.IJDR_111_20
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  8. Article ; Online: The Influence of Dissonance Induction and Assessment Reactivity in Improving Adherence to COVID-19 Precautionary Measures: A Cluster Randomised Controlled Trial.

    Chandu, Viswa Chaitanya / Lingamaneni, Krishna Prasad / Pachava, Srinivas / Baddam, Venkat Ramana Reddy / Marella, Yamuna

    International dental journal

    2021  Volume 72, Issue 1, Page(s) 141–148

    Abstract: Background: During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, adherence to suggested precautionary measures has been emphasized as important in preventing and curtailing its spread. However, strict adherence to precautionary measures can be ... ...

    Abstract Background: During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, adherence to suggested precautionary measures has been emphasized as important in preventing and curtailing its spread. However, strict adherence to precautionary measures can be demanding.
    Methods: This cluster randomised controlled trial done among 1517 undergraduate dental students tested the effectiveness of 'dissonance induction' (DI) and 'assessment reactivity' (AR) in improving adherence to World Health Organization (WHO) measures as compared to a control group. At baseline, participants in the DI group were tested for their knowledge of precautionary measures, immediately followed by assessment of their adherence to them. This methodology was adapted to systematically reveal the poor adherence of the participants in their self-held cognitions, should there be any. The magnitude of dissonance was measured as the proportion of such dissonant cognitions held by an individual. In the AR group, at baseline, participants were asked about their attitudes alone toward measures. The control group was neither assessed for knowledge and adherence nor for attitudes toward the measures at baseline. Two weeks after the administration of these interventions in the DI and AR groups, the 3 study groups were assessed for adherence.
    Results: The follow-up adherence scores in the DI group were found to be significantly higher (15.11 ± 4.1) compared to the AR (13.13 ± 2.01) and control (12.87 ± 2.97) groups as analysed by Kruskal-Wallis analysis of variance (H = 243.5; P < .001). Wilcoxon signed-rank test showed that the adherence scores significantly improved in the DI group from baseline to follow-up (z = -8.84; P < .001). Magnitude of dissonance at baseline was found to be a significant predictor of follow-up adherence scores (R
    Conclusion: This study found that DI is an easy intervention to bring an immediate and significant change in adherence to precautionary measures.
    MeSH term(s) COVID-19 ; Humans ; Pandemics ; SARS-CoV-2
    Language English
    Publishing date 2021-03-20
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article ; Randomized Controlled Trial
    ZDB-ID 218262-2
    ISSN 1875-595X ; 0020-6539
    ISSN (online) 1875-595X
    ISSN 0020-6539
    DOI 10.1016/j.identj.2021.03.001
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  9. Article: Measuring the Impact of COVID-19 on Mental Health: A Scoping Review of the Existing Scales.

    Chandu, Viswa Chaitanya / Marella, Yamuna / Panga, Gnana Sarita / Pachava, Srinivas / Vadapalli, Viswanath

    Indian journal of psychological medicine

    2020  Volume 42, Issue 5, Page(s) 421–427

    Abstract: Background: The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, associated with the economic consequences of non-pharmaceutical interventions such as lockdown, has led to mental health consequences among people worldwide. Protecting the mental well-being of ... ...

    Abstract Background: The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, associated with the economic consequences of non-pharmaceutical interventions such as lockdown, has led to mental health consequences among people worldwide. Protecting the mental well-being of populations is an imperative component of fighting the COVID-19 pandemic. This scoping review attempts to present an overview of the existing tools to measure COVID-19-related mental health problems.
    Methods: Literature search was conducted in the PubMed electronic database using developed key search terms. Reference lists of the identified eligible articles were reviewed to locate relevant articles missed from the electronic database search. Fifteen scales measuring COVID-19-associated mental health problems, validated among diverse populations across the world, were included in this review.
    Results: The majority of these scales were validated among middle-aged adults in Turkey. Only a few validated scales encompass the negative socioeconomic consequences of COVID-19. None of the available scales focused on the aspects of suicidal ideation or behavioral responses/coping strategies, neither were they inclusive of participants from diverse age, geographic, and COVID-19 exposure groups.
    Conclusion: This scoping review highlights the need for future research to develop and validate comprehensive psychometric tools to assess COVID-19-associated mental health problems. Also, in view of the vulnerable nature of healthcare professionals for developing mental health concerns in the course of providing services for COVID-19-affected individuals, future psychometric research needs to concentrate on the development of measures specific for these professionals.
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-08-18
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2622378-8
    ISSN 0975-1564 ; 0253-7176
    ISSN (online) 0975-1564
    ISSN 0253-7176
    DOI 10.1177/0253717620946439
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  10. Article: Development and psychometric evaluation of COVID-19 Psychological Burden Scale for Indian Health Care Workers.

    Chandu, Viswa Chaitanya / Lingamaneni, Krishna Prasad / Baddam, Venkat Ramana Reddy / Pachava, Srinivas / Marella, Yamuna / Bommireddy, Vikram Simha

    Industrial psychiatry journal

    2021  Volume 30, Issue 2, Page(s) 240–248

    Abstract: Background: It is beyond doubt that the health care systems across the globe have been experiencing burdens of unprecedented magnitude in the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) era. However, no psychometric tools were validated in India to assess the impact ...

    Abstract Background: It is beyond doubt that the health care systems across the globe have been experiencing burdens of unprecedented magnitude in the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) era. However, no psychometric tools were validated in India to assess the impact of COVID-19 on the psychological well-being exclusively among health care workers, given their obvious risk for exposure.
    Objectives: This study was conducted to develop the first of its kind psychometric tool that measures the psychological burden posed by COVID-19 on Indian health care workers.
    Materials and methods: One hundred and sixty-nine health care workers attending COVID-19 duties in four different states of India took part in the study. The initial scale designed was tested for face and content validity. Exploratory factor analysis using direct oblimin rotation with Kaiser normalization was employed to determine the factor structure. Differential item functioning (DIF) analysis with ordinal regression based on the type of COVID-19 facility at which the participant is serving, educational background was done for identification of item bias.
    Results: COVID-19 Psychological Burden Scale for Indian Health Care Workers (CPBS-IHCW), with 17 items loaded on four components, demonstrated good internal consistency reliability (Cronbach's Alpha 0.873). DIF revealed no item bias based on type of facility and educational background. Significant differences in CPBS-IHCW scores were noted between health care workers serving at different COVID-19 facilities and belonging to different educational backgrounds.
    Conclusion: CPBS-IHCW is a 17-item, rapidly administrable scale, demonstrating good internal consistency reliability, and temporal stability, which can be used in the assessment of psychological burden among health care professionals catering to the needs of the COVID-19 affected.
    Language English
    Publishing date 2021-09-24
    Publishing country India
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2580355-4
    ISSN 0976-2795 ; 0972-6748
    ISSN (online) 0976-2795
    ISSN 0972-6748
    DOI 10.4103/ipj.ipj_71_21
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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