Article ; Online: Modeling quarantine during epidemics and mass-testing using drones.
PloS one
2020 Volume 15, Issue 6, Page(s) e0235307
Abstract: We extend the classical SIR epidemic spread model by introducing the "quarantined" compartment. We solve (numerically) the differential equations that govern the extended model and quantify how quarantining "flattens the curve" for the proportion of ... ...
Abstract | We extend the classical SIR epidemic spread model by introducing the "quarantined" compartment. We solve (numerically) the differential equations that govern the extended model and quantify how quarantining "flattens the curve" for the proportion of infected population over time. Furthermore, we explore the potential of using drones to deliver tests, enabling mass-testing for the infection; we give a method to estimate the drone fleet needed to deliver the tests in a metropolitan area. Application of our models to COVID-19 spread in Sweden shows how the proposed methods could substantially decrease the peak number of infected people, almost without increasing the duration of the epidemic. |
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MeSH term(s) | Betacoronavirus ; COVID-19 ; Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology ; Disease Outbreaks ; Humans ; Models, Biological ; Pandemics ; Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology ; Quarantine ; Remote Sensing Technology ; SARS-CoV-2 ; Sweden/epidemiology |
Keywords | covid19 |
Language | English |
Publishing date | 2020-06-24 |
Publishing country | United States |
Document type | Journal Article |
ISSN | 1932-6203 |
ISSN (online) | 1932-6203 |
DOI | 10.1371/journal.pone.0235307 |
Database | MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE |
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