Article ; Online: Predictors of 1-year mortality after gastrectomy for gastric cancer.
2023 Volume 48, Issue 1, Page(s) 138–150
Abstract: Purpose: One-year mortality is important for referrals to specialist palliative care or advance care planning (ACP). This helps optimize comfort for those who cannot be cured or have a lower life expectancy. Few studies have investigated the risk ... ...
Abstract | Purpose: One-year mortality is important for referrals to specialist palliative care or advance care planning (ACP). This helps optimize comfort for those who cannot be cured or have a lower life expectancy. Few studies have investigated the risk factors for 1-year mortality after gastrectomy for gastric cancer (GC). Methods: A total of 1415 patients with gastric cancer (stages I-IV) who underwent gastrectomy between 2005 and 2020 were included. The patients were randomly assigned to the investigation group (n = 850) and validation group (n = 565) in a 3:2 ratio. In the investigation group, significant independent prognostic factors for predicting 1-year survival were identified. A scoring system for predicting 1-year mortality was developed which was validated in the validation group. Results: Multivariate analysis revealed that the following seven variables were significant independent factors for 1-year survival: age ≧78, preoperative comorbidity, total gastrectomy, postoperative complication (Clavien-Dindo classification CD ≧ 3a), stage III and IV, and R2 resection. While developing a 1-year mortality score (OMS), an age ≧78 was scored 2, preoperative comorbidity, total gastrectomy, and postoperative complication (CD ≧ 3a) were scored 1, and stage III, IV, and R2-resection were scored 2, 3, and 3, respectively. OMS 3 had a sensitivity of 91% and a specificity of 66% for predicting death within 1 year. In the validation group, OMS 5 had a sensitivity of 55% and a specificity of 93% for predicting death within 1 year. Conclusions: OMS may provide important information and help surgeons select the timing of ACP in patients with GC. |
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MeSH term(s) | Humans ; Stomach Neoplasms/surgery ; Stomach Neoplasms/mortality ; Gastrectomy/mortality ; Gastrectomy/methods ; Gastrectomy/adverse effects ; Male ; Female ; Aged ; Middle Aged ; Risk Factors ; Prognosis ; Aged, 80 and over ; Postoperative Complications/epidemiology ; Postoperative Complications/mortality ; Neoplasm Staging ; Survival Rate ; Retrospective Studies ; Adult ; Time Factors |
Language | English |
Publishing date | 2023-12-13 |
Publishing country | United States |
Document type | Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't |
ZDB-ID | 224043-9 |
ISSN | 1432-2323 ; 0364-2313 |
ISSN (online) | 1432-2323 |
ISSN | 0364-2313 |
DOI | 10.1002/wjs.12005 |
Database | MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE |
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