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  1. Article ; Online: Is multimorbidity a useful concept for public health?

    Gulliford, Martin C / Green, Judith M

    The Lancet. Public health

    2024  Volume 9, Issue 4, Page(s) e210–e211

    MeSH term(s) Humans ; Multimorbidity ; Public Health
    Language English
    Publishing date 2024-03-13
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article
    ISSN 2468-2667
    ISSN (online) 2468-2667
    DOI 10.1016/S2468-2667(24)00050-1
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  2. Article ; Online: Access to COVID-19 vaccination and COVID-19-related hospital admissions and mortality.

    Gulliford, Martin C / Steves, Claire J

    Lancet (London, England)

    2024  Volume 403, Issue 10426, Page(s) 508–509

    MeSH term(s) Humans ; COVID-19 Vaccines ; COVID-19/prevention & control ; Vaccination ; Hospitals ; Hospitalization ; Hospital Mortality
    Chemical Substances COVID-19 Vaccines
    Language English
    Publishing date 2024-01-15
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 3306-6
    ISSN 1474-547X ; 0023-7507 ; 0140-6736
    ISSN (online) 1474-547X
    ISSN 0023-7507 ; 0140-6736
    DOI 10.1016/S0140-6736(23)02622-3
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  3. Article ; Online: Body mass index trajectories and mortality in community-dwelling older adults: population-based cohort study.

    Pai, Hari / Gulliford, Martin C

    BMJ open

    2022  Volume 12, Issue 7, Page(s) e062893

    Abstract: Objective: Both low and high body mass index (BMI) have been associated with greater mortality in older adults. This study aimed to evaluate the trajectory of BMI in the final years of life.: Methods: A population-based cohort study was conducted ... ...

    Abstract Objective: Both low and high body mass index (BMI) have been associated with greater mortality in older adults. This study aimed to evaluate the trajectory of BMI in the final years of life.
    Methods: A population-based cohort study was conducted including community-dwelling adults in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing between 1998 and 2012. BMI was evaluated in relation to age and years before death. Number of long-term conditions, cigarette smoking and socioeconomic position were evaluated as effect modifiers.
    Results: Data were analysed for 16 924 participants with 31 857 BMI records; mean age at study starts, 61.6 (SD 10.9) years; mean BMI, 27.5 (4.7) Kg/m
    Conclusions: In community-dwelling older adults, mean BMI enters an accelerating decline from up to 8 years before death. Multiple long-term conditions, smoking and lower socioeconomic position are associated with BMI decline.
    MeSH term(s) Aged ; Body Mass Index ; Cohort Studies ; Female ; Humans ; Independent Living ; Longitudinal Studies ; Male ; Weight Loss
    Language English
    Publishing date 2022-07-28
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2599832-8
    ISSN 2044-6055 ; 2044-6055
    ISSN (online) 2044-6055
    ISSN 2044-6055
    DOI 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-062893
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  4. Article ; Online: Author's reply to Mathioudakis and colleagues.

    Gulliford, Martin C

    BMJ (Clinical research ed.)

    2016  Volume 354, Page(s) i4256

    MeSH term(s) Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use ; Bacterial Infections/diagnosis ; Bacterial Infections/drug therapy ; Biomarkers/blood ; Calcitonin/blood ; Drug Prescriptions/statistics & numerical data ; England ; Humans ; Primary Health Care ; Respiratory Tract Infections/blood ; Respiratory Tract Infections/diagnosis ; Respiratory Tract Infections/drug therapy
    Chemical Substances Anti-Bacterial Agents ; Biomarkers ; Calcitonin (9007-12-9)
    Language English
    Publishing date 2016-08-05
    Publishing country England
    Document type Letter
    ZDB-ID 1362901-3
    ISSN 1756-1833 ; 0959-8154 ; 0959-8146 ; 0959-8138 ; 0959-535X ; 1759-2151
    ISSN (online) 1756-1833
    ISSN 0959-8154 ; 0959-8146 ; 0959-8138 ; 0959-535X ; 1759-2151
    DOI 10.1136/bmj.i4256
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  5. Article ; Online: Within-episode repeat antibiotic prescriptions in patients with respiratory tract infections: A population-based cohort study.

    Lalmohamed, Arief / Venekamp, Roderick P / Bolhuis, Albert / Souverein, Patrick C / van de Wijgert, Janneke H H M / Gulliford, Martin C / Hay, Alastair D

    The Journal of infection

    2024  Volume 88, Issue 4, Page(s) 106135

    Abstract: Background: Antimicrobial stewardship interventions mainly focus on initial antibiotic prescriptions, with few considering within-episode repeat prescriptions. We aimed to describe the magnitude, type and determinants of within-episode repeat antibiotic ...

    Abstract Background: Antimicrobial stewardship interventions mainly focus on initial antibiotic prescriptions, with few considering within-episode repeat prescriptions. We aimed to describe the magnitude, type and determinants of within-episode repeat antibiotic prescriptions in patients presenting to primary care with respiratory tract infections (RTIs).
    Methods: We conducted a population-based cohort study among 530 sampled English general practices within the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). All individuals with a primary care RTI consultation for which an antibiotic was prescribed between March 2018 and February 2022. Main outcome measurement was repeat antibiotic prescriptions within 28 days of a RTI visit stratified by age (children vs. adults) and RTI type (lower vs. upper RTI). Multivariable logistic regression and principal components analyses were used to identify risk factors and patient clusters at risk for within-episode repeat prescriptions.
    Findings: 905,964 RTI episodes with at least one antibiotic prescription were identified. In adults, 19.9% (95% CI 19.3-20.5%) had at least one within-episode repeat prescription for a lower RTI, compared to 10.5% (95% CI 10.3-10.8%) for an upper RTI. In children, this was around 10% irrespective of RTI type. The majority of repeat prescriptions occurred a median of 10 days after the initial prescription and was the same antibiotic class in 48.3% of cases. Frequent RTI related GP visits and prior within-RTI-episode repeat antibiotic prescriptions were main factors associated with repeat prescriptions in both adults and children irrespective of RTI type. Young (<2 years) and older (65+) age were associated with repeat prescriptions. Among those aged 2-64 years, allergic rhinitis, COPD and oral corticosteroids were associated with repeat prescriptions.
    Interpretations: Repeat within-episode antibiotic use accounts for a significant proportion of all antibiotics prescribed for RTIs, with same class antibiotics unlikely to confer clinical benefit and is therefore a prime target for future antimicrobial stewardship interventions.
    MeSH term(s) Child ; Humans ; Cohort Studies ; Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use ; Practice Patterns, Physicians' ; Respiratory Tract Infections/drug therapy ; Prescriptions ; Drug Prescriptions
    Chemical Substances Anti-Bacterial Agents
    Language English
    Publishing date 2024-03-08
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 424417-5
    ISSN 1532-2742 ; 0163-4453
    ISSN (online) 1532-2742
    ISSN 0163-4453
    DOI 10.1016/j.jinf.2024.106135
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  6. Article ; Online: NSAID prescribing and adverse outcomes in common infections: a population-based cohort study.

    Stuart, Beth / Venekamp, Roderick / Hounkpatin, Hilda / Wilding, Sam / Moore, Michael / Little, Paul / Gulliford, Martin C

    BMJ open

    2024  Volume 14, Issue 1, Page(s) e077365

    Abstract: Objectives: Infections in primary care are often treated with non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs). This study evaluates whether NSAID prescribing is associated with adverse outcomes for respiratory (RTIs) or urinary track (UTI) infections.: ...

    Abstract Objectives: Infections in primary care are often treated with non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs). This study evaluates whether NSAID prescribing is associated with adverse outcomes for respiratory (RTIs) or urinary track (UTI) infections.
    Objectives: To determine whether there is an association between NSAID prescribing and the rate of adverse outcomes for infections for individual consulting in primary care.
    Design: Cohort study of electronic health records.
    Setting: 87 general practices in the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink GOLD.
    Participants: 142 925 patients consulting with RTI or UTI.
    Primary and secondary outcome measures: Repeat consultations, hospitalisation or death within 30 days of the initial consultation for RTI or UTI. Poisson models estimated the associations between NSAID exposure and outcome. Rate ratios were adjusted for gender, age, ethnicity, deprivation, antibiotic use, seasonal influenza vaccination status, comorbidities and general practice. Since prescribing variations by practice are not explained by case mix-hence, less impacted by confounding by indication-both individual-level and practice-level analyses are included.
    Results: There was an increase in hospital admission/death for acute NSAID prescriptions (RR 2.73, 95% CI 2.10 to 3.56) and repeated NSAID prescriptions (6.47, 4.46-9.39) in RTI patients, and for acute NSAID prescriptions for UTI (RR 3.03; 1.92 to 4.76). Practice-level analysis, controlling for practice population characteristics, found that for each percentage point increase in NSAID prescription, the percentages of hospital admission/death within 30 days increased by 0.32 percentage points (95% CI 0.16 to 0.47).
    Conclusions: In this non-randomised study, prescription of NSAIDs at consultations for RTI or UTIs in primary care is infrequent but may be associated with increased risk of hospital admission. This supports other observational and limited trial data that NSAID prescribing might be associated with worse outcomes following acute infection and should be prescribed with caution.
    MeSH term(s) Humans ; Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use ; Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal/adverse effects ; Cohort Studies ; Drug Prescriptions ; Infections/drug therapy ; Infections/epidemiology ; Practice Patterns, Physicians' ; Respiratory Tract Infections/epidemiology ; Urinary Tract Infections/drug therapy ; Urinary Tract Infections/epidemiology ; Urinary Tract Infections/chemically induced ; Male ; Female
    Chemical Substances Anti-Bacterial Agents ; Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal
    Language English
    Publishing date 2024-01-03
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
    ZDB-ID 2599832-8
    ISSN 2044-6055 ; 2044-6055
    ISSN (online) 2044-6055
    ISSN 2044-6055
    DOI 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-077365
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  7. Article ; Online: Mortality of Care Home Residents and Community-Dwelling Controls During the COVID-19 Pandemic in 2020: Matched Cohort Study.

    Gulliford, Martin C / Prevost, A Toby / Clegg, Andrew / Rezel-Potts, Emma

    Journal of the American Medical Directors Association

    2022  Volume 23, Issue 6, Page(s) 923–929.e2

    Abstract: Objective: This study aimed to estimate and compare mortality of care home residents, and matched community-dwelling controls, during the COVID-19 pandemic from primary care electronic health records in England.: Design: Matched cohort study.: ... ...

    Abstract Objective: This study aimed to estimate and compare mortality of care home residents, and matched community-dwelling controls, during the COVID-19 pandemic from primary care electronic health records in England.
    Design: Matched cohort study.
    Setting and participants: Family practices in England in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum database. There were 83,627 care home residents in 2020, with 26,923 deaths; 80,730 (97%) were matched on age, sex, and family practice with 300,445 community-dwelling adults.
    Methods: All-cause mortality was evaluated and adjusted rate ratios by negative binomial regression were adjusted for age, sex, number of long-term conditions, frailty category, region, calendar month or week, and clustering by family practice.
    Results: Underlying mortality of care home residents was higher than community controls (adjusted rate ratio 5.59, 95% confidence interval 5.23‒5.99, P < .001). During April 2020, there was a net increase in mortality of care home residents over that of controls. The mortality rate of care home residents was 27.2 deaths per 1000 patients per week, compared with 2.31 per 1000 for controls. Excess deaths for care home residents, above that predicted from pre-pandemic years, peaked between April 13 and 19 (men, 27.7, 95% confidence interval 25.1‒30.3; women, 17.4, 15.9‒18.8 per 1000 per week). Compared with care home residents, long-term conditions and frailty were differentially associated with greater mortality in community-dwelling controls.
    Conclusions and implications: Individual-patient data from primary care electronic health records may be used to estimate mortality in care home residents. Mortality is substantially higher than for community-dwelling comparators and showed a disproportionate increase in the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. Care home residents require particular protection during periods of high infectious disease transmission.
    MeSH term(s) Adult ; COVID-19 ; Cohort Studies ; Female ; Frailty ; Humans ; Independent Living ; Male ; Nursing Homes ; Pandemics ; SARS-CoV-2
    Language English
    Publishing date 2022-04-13
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
    ZDB-ID 2171030-2
    ISSN 1538-9375 ; 1525-8610
    ISSN (online) 1538-9375
    ISSN 1525-8610
    DOI 10.1016/j.jamda.2022.04.003
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  8. Article ; Online: Reducing antibiotic prescribing in primary care in England from 2014 to 2017: population-based cohort study.

    Sun, Xiaohui / Gulliford, Martin C

    BMJ open

    2019  Volume 9, Issue 7, Page(s) e023989

    Abstract: Objective: To analyse individual-patient electronic health records to evaluate changes in antibiotic (AB) prescribing in England for different age groups, for male and female subjects, and by prescribing indications from 2014 to 2017.: Methods: Data ... ...

    Abstract Objective: To analyse individual-patient electronic health records to evaluate changes in antibiotic (AB) prescribing in England for different age groups, for male and female subjects, and by prescribing indications from 2014 to 2017.
    Methods: Data were analysed for 102 general practices in England that contributed data to the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) from 2014 to 2017. Prescriptions for all ABs and for broad-spectrum β-lactam ABs were evaluated. Relative rate reductions (RRR) were estimated from a random-effects Poisson model, adjusting for age, gender, and general practice.
    Results: Total AB prescribing declined from 608 prescriptions per 1000 person-years in 2014 to 489 per 1000 person-years in 2017; RRR 6.9% (95% CI 6.6% to 7.1%) per year. Broad-spectrum β-lactam AB prescribing decreased from 221 per 1000 person-years in 2014 to 163 per 1000 person-years in 2017; RRR 9.3% (9.0% to 9.6%) per year. Declines in AB prescribing were similar for men and women but the rate of decline was lower over the age of 55 years than for younger patients. All AB prescribing declined by 9.8% (9.6% to 10.1%) per year for respiratory infections, 5.7% (5.2% to 6.2%) for genitourinary infections, but by 3.8% (3.1% to 4.5%) for no recorded indication. Overall, 38.8% of AB prescriptions were associated with codes that did not suggest specific clinical conditions, and 15.3% of AB prescriptions had no medical codes recorded.
    Conclusion: Antibiotic prescribing has reduced and become more selective but substantial unnecessary AB use may persist. Improving the quality of diagnostic coding for AB use will help to support antimicrobial stewardship efforts.
    MeSH term(s) Adolescent ; Adult ; Age Factors ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Animals ; Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use ; Child ; Child, Preschool ; Cohort Studies ; England ; Female ; Female Urogenital Diseases/drug therapy ; Humans ; Infant ; Infant, Newborn ; Male ; Male Urogenital Diseases/drug therapy ; Middle Aged ; Poisson Distribution ; Practice Patterns, Physicians'/statistics & numerical data ; Practice Patterns, Physicians'/trends ; Primary Health Care/statistics & numerical data ; Respiratory Tract Infections/drug therapy ; State Medicine/statistics & numerical data ; State Medicine/trends ; Young Adult
    Chemical Substances Anti-Bacterial Agents
    Language English
    Publishing date 2019-07-09
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
    ZDB-ID 2599832-8
    ISSN 2044-6055 ; 2044-6055
    ISSN (online) 2044-6055
    ISSN 2044-6055
    DOI 10.1136/bmjopen-2018-023989
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  9. Article ; Online: Continuity of care and delivery of diabetes and hypertensive care among regular users of primary care services in Chile: a cross-sectional study.

    Leniz, Javiera / Gulliford, Martin C

    BMJ open

    2019  Volume 9, Issue 10, Page(s) e027830

    Abstract: Objectives: Explore factors related to continuity of care and its association with diabetes and hypertensive care, and disease control.: Design: Cross-sectional study.: Setting: Data from the Chilean Health National Survey 2009-2010.: ... ...

    Abstract Objectives: Explore factors related to continuity of care and its association with diabetes and hypertensive care, and disease control.
    Design: Cross-sectional study.
    Setting: Data from the Chilean Health National Survey 2009-2010.
    Participants: Regular users of primary care services aged 15 or older.
    Primary and secondary outcome measures: Proportion of hypertensive and diabetic patients with a blood pressure <140/90 mm Hg and HbA1c<7.0% respectively, self-report of diagnosis, treatment and recent foot and ophthalmological exams. Associations between continuity of care, sociodemographic characteristics, and primary and secondary outcomes were explored using logistic regression.
    Results: 3887 primary care service users were included. 14.7% recognised a usual GP, 82.3% of them knew their name. Continuity of care was positively associated with age >65 years (OR 4.81, 95% CI 3.16 to 7.32), being female (OR 1.66, 95% CI 1.34 to 2.05), retired (OR 2.22, 95% CI 1.75 to 2.83), obese (OR 1.66, 95% CI 1.29 to 2.14), high cardiovascular risk (OR 2.98, 95% CI 2.13 to 4.17) and widowed (OR 1.50, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.99), and negatively associated with educational level (8-12 vs <8 years OR 0.79, 95% CI 0.64 to 0.97), smoking (OR 0.65, 95% CI 0.52 to 0.82) and physical activity (OR 0.76, 95% CI 0.61 to 0.95). Continuity of care was associated with diagnosis awareness (OR 2.83, 95% CI 1.21 to 6.63), pharmacological treatment (OR 2.04, 95% CI 1.15 to 3.63) and a recent foot (OR 3.17, 95% CI 1.84 to 5.45) and ophthalmological exam (OR 3.20, 95% CI 1.66 to 6.18) in diabetic but not in hypertensive patients.
    Conclusions: Continuity of care was associated with higher odds of having a recent foot and ophthalmological exam in patients with diabetes, but not with better diseases control. Findings suggest patients with chronic conditions have better continuity of care access.
    MeSH term(s) Age Factors ; Aged ; Chile ; Continuity of Patient Care/statistics & numerical data ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Diabetes Complications/diagnosis ; Diabetes Complications/etiology ; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/complications ; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/metabolism ; Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/therapy ; Educational Status ; Female ; Glycated Hemoglobin A/metabolism ; Humans ; Hypertension/therapy ; Logistic Models ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Outcome and Process Assessment, Health Care ; Physical Examination ; Primary Health Care ; Sex Factors
    Chemical Substances Glycated Hemoglobin A ; hemoglobin A1c protein, human
    Language English
    Publishing date 2019-10-28
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
    ZDB-ID 2599832-8
    ISSN 2044-6055 ; 2044-6055
    ISSN (online) 2044-6055
    ISSN 2044-6055
    DOI 10.1136/bmjopen-2018-027830
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  10. Article ; Online: Health checks and cardiovascular risk factor values over six years' follow-up: Matched cohort study using electronic health records in England.

    Alageel, Samah / Gulliford, Martin C

    PLoS medicine

    2019  Volume 16, Issue 7, Page(s) e1002863

    Abstract: Background: The National Health Service (NHS) in England introduced a population-wide programme for cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention in 2009, known as NHS Health Checks. This research aimed to measure the cardiovascular risk management and ... ...

    Abstract Background: The National Health Service (NHS) in England introduced a population-wide programme for cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention in 2009, known as NHS Health Checks. This research aimed to measure the cardiovascular risk management and cardiovascular risk factor outcomes of the health check programme during six years' follow-up.
    Methods and findings: A controlled interrupted time series study was conducted. Participants were registered with general practices in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) in England and received health checks between 1 April 2010 and 31 December 2013. Control participants, who did not receive a health check, were matched for age, sex, and general practice. Outcomes were blood pressure, body mass index (BMI), smoking, and total cholesterol (TC) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL). Analyses estimated the net effect of health check by year, allowing for the underlying trend in risk factor values and baseline differences between cases and controls, adjusting for age, sex, deprivation, and clustering by general practice. There were 127,891 health check participants and 322,910 matched controls. Compared with controls, health check participants had lower BMI (cases mean 27.0, SD 4.8; controls 27.3, SD 5.6, Kg/m2), systolic blood pressure (SBP) (cases 129.0, SD 14.3; controls 129.3, SD 15.0, mm Hg), and smoking (21% in health check participants versus 27% in controls), but total and HDL cholesterol were similar. Health check participants were more likely to receive weight management advice (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 5.03, 4.98 to 5.08, P < 0.001), smoking cessation interventions (HR 3.20, 3.13 to 3.27, P < 0.001), or statins (HR 1.24, 1.21 to 1.27, P < 0.001). There were net reductions in risk factor values up to six years after the check for BMI (-0.30, -0.39 to -0.20 Kg/m2, P < 0.001), SBP (-1.43, -1.70 to -1.16 mm Hg, P < 0.001), and smoking (17% in health check participants versus 25% in controls; odds ratio 0.90, 0.87 to 0.94, P < 0.001). The main study limitation was that residual confounding may be present because randomisation was not employed; health check-associated measurement introduced differential recording that might cause bias.
    Conclusions: Our results suggest that people who take up a health check generally have lower risk factor values than controls and are more likely to receive risk factor interventions. Risk factor values show net reductions up to six years following a health check in BMI, blood pressure, and smoking, which may be of public health importance.
    MeSH term(s) Adult ; Aged ; Biomarkers/blood ; Blood Pressure ; Body Mass Index ; Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnosis ; Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology ; Cardiovascular Diseases/prevention & control ; Case-Control Studies ; Cholesterol, HDL/blood ; Electronic Health Records ; England/epidemiology ; Female ; Follow-Up Studies ; Health Status ; Humans ; Interrupted Time Series Analysis ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Primary Prevention ; Prognosis ; Program Evaluation ; Risk Assessment ; Risk Factors ; Smoking Cessation ; State Medicine ; Time Factors
    Chemical Substances Biomarkers ; Cholesterol, HDL
    Language English
    Publishing date 2019-07-30
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
    ZDB-ID 2185925-5
    ISSN 1549-1676 ; 1549-1277
    ISSN (online) 1549-1676
    ISSN 1549-1277
    DOI 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002863
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