Article ; Online: Cross-Validation of the Revised Version of the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG-R) in a Sample of Individuals Convicted of Sexual Offenses.
Sexual abuse : a journal of research and treatment
2019 Volume 33, Issue 1, Page(s) 63–87
Abstract: ... of the revised Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG), the VRAG-R. Therefore, VRAG-R ratings were made ... with an average of 7.62 years. The VRAG-R showed large effect sizes for the predictive accuracy of violent (AUC ... for the prediction of violent recidivism but not for sexual recidivism the VRAG-R was incrementally predictive ...
Abstract | The aim of the present study was to examine the psychometric properties of the German version of the revised Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG), the VRAG-R. Therefore, VRAG-R ratings were made retrospectively in an Austrian sample of 534 individuals convicted of a sexual offense who were followed up with an average of 7.62 years. The VRAG-R showed large effect sizes for the predictive accuracy of violent (AUC = .75) and general recidivism (AUC = .78) and significant but rather small effect sizes (AUC = .63 and .61, respectively) in predicting any sexual and sexual contact recidivism. Furthermore, for the prediction of violent recidivism but not for sexual recidivism the VRAG-R was incrementally predictive beyond the Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide (SORAG) and the Static-99. Finally, the VRAG-R absolute recidivism rates for the risk bins showed satisfactory calibration properties. Taken together, the results of the present study support the cross-national utility of the VRAG-R and its use in applied risk assessment settings also in German-speaking countries. |
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MeSH term(s) | Adult ; Female ; Germany ; Humans ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Psychometrics ; Recidivism/statistics & numerical data ; Reproducibility of Results ; Retrospective Studies ; Risk Assessment/statistics & numerical data ; Sex Offenses/statistics & numerical data ; Violence/statistics & numerical data |
Language | English |
Publishing date | 2019-04-22 |
Publishing country | United States |
Document type | Journal Article ; Validation Study |
ZDB-ID | 1283507-9 |
ISSN | 1573-286X ; 1079-0632 |
ISSN (online) | 1573-286X |
ISSN | 1079-0632 |
DOI | 10.1177/1079063219841901 |
Database | MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE |
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