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Article ; Online: A Spatial Kinetic Model of Crowd Evacuation Dynamics with Infectious Disease Contagion.

Agnelli, Juan Pablo / Buffa, Bruno / Knopoff, Damián / Torres, Germán

Bulletin of mathematical biology

2023  Volume 85, Issue 4, Page(s) 23

Abstract: This paper proposes a kinetic theory approach coupling together the modeling of crowd evacuation from a bounded domain with exit doors and infectious disease contagion. The spatial movement of individuals in the crowd is modeled by a proper description ... ...

Abstract This paper proposes a kinetic theory approach coupling together the modeling of crowd evacuation from a bounded domain with exit doors and infectious disease contagion. The spatial movement of individuals in the crowd is modeled by a proper description of the interactions with people in the crowd and the environment, including walls and exits. At the same time, interactions among healthy and infectious individuals may generate disease spreading if exposure time is long enough. Immunization of the population and individual awareness to contagion is considered as well. Interactions are modeled by tools of game theory, that let us propose the so-called tables of games that are introduced in the general kinetic equations. The proposed model is qualitatively studied and, through a series of case studies, we explore different scenarios related to crowding and gathering formation within indoor venues under the spread of a respiratory infectious disease, obtaining insights on specific policies to reduce contagion that may be implemented.
MeSH term(s) Humans ; Models, Biological ; Mathematical Concepts ; Crowding ; Game Theory ; Communicable Diseases
Language English
Publishing date 2023-02-18
Publishing country United States
Document type Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
ZDB-ID 184905-0
ISSN 1522-9602 ; 0007-4985 ; 0092-8240
ISSN (online) 1522-9602
ISSN 0007-4985 ; 0092-8240
DOI 10.1007/s11538-023-01127-6
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