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  1. Article: Early evidence of the impacts of COVID-19 on minority unemployment.

    Couch, Kenneth A / Fairlie, Robert W / Xu, Huanan

    Journal of public economics

    2020  Volume 192, Page(s) 104287

    Abstract: This paper provides early evidence of the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on minority unemployment in the United States. In the first month following March adoptions of social distancing measures by states, unemployment rose to 14.5% but a much higher ... ...

    Abstract This paper provides early evidence of the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on minority unemployment in the United States. In the first month following March adoptions of social distancing measures by states, unemployment rose to 14.5% but a much higher 24.4% when we correct for potential data misclassification noted by the BLS. Using the official definition, unemployment in April 2020 among African-Americans rose by less than what would have been anticipated (to 16.6%) based on previous recessions, and the long-term ordering of unemployment across racial/ethnic groups was altered with Latinx unemployment (18.2%) rising for the first time to the highest among major groups. Difference-in-difference estimates confirm that the initial gap in unemployment between whites and blacks in April was not different than in periods prior to the pandemic; however, the racial gap expanded as unemployment for whites declined in the next two months but was largely stagnant for blacks. The initially large gap in unemployment between whites and Latinx in April was sustained in May and June as unemployment declined similarly for both groups. Non-linear decompositions show a favorable industry distribution partly protected black employment during the early stages of the pandemic, but that an unfavorable occupational distribution and lower average skills levels placed them at higher risk of job losses. An unfavorable occupational distribution and lower skills contributed to a sharply widened Latinx-white unemployment gap that moderated over time as rehiring occurred. These findings of disproportionate impacts on minority unemployment raise important concerns regarding lost earnings and wealth, and longer-term consequences of the pandemic on racial inequality in the United States.
    Keywords covid19
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-09-14
    Publishing country Netherlands
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 1460611-2
    ISSN 1879-2316 ; 0047-2727
    ISSN (online) 1879-2316
    ISSN 0047-2727
    DOI 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104287
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  2. Article ; Online: The Growing Socioeconomic Gap in Lifetime Social Security Retirement Benefits: Current and Future Retirees.

    Tamborini, Christopher R / Reznik, Gayle L / Iams, Howard M / Couch, Kenneth A

    The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences

    2021  Volume 77, Issue 4, Page(s) 803–814

    Abstract: Objectives: Increasing socioeconomic disparities, including in life expectancy, have important implications for the U.S. Social Security program. This study examined inter- and intracohort trends in Social Security retirement benefits, paying special ... ...

    Abstract Objectives: Increasing socioeconomic disparities, including in life expectancy, have important implications for the U.S. Social Security program. This study examined inter- and intracohort trends in Social Security retirement benefits, paying special attention to how lifetime benefit trajectories by socioeconomic circumstance shift across cohorts encompassing current and future retirees.
    Methods: Using a dynamic microsimulation model based on representative survey data linked to administrative records, we developed a set of cohort-specific projections that estimate monthly and lifetime Social Security retirement benefits for retirees spanning the early baby boom (1945-1954) to Generation X (1965-1974) cohorts.
    Results: We found a widening socioeconomic gap in projected monthly and lifetime benefits for men and women, especially on a lifetime basis. This divergence is associated with stagnation of benefit levels among lower socioeconomic status groups coupled with upward shifts among higher strata groups. Distributional changes are linked with increasing differential mortality, but other factors also likely play a role such as rising education premiums, growing earnings inequality, and changes in women's work and relationship histories.
    Discussion: Widening mortality differentials can lead to distributional changes in the U.S. Social Security program. Microsimulation methodology lends insights into how the socioeconomic gap in monthly and lifetime benefit distributions may change among future older Americans in the context of differential mortality and other demographic changes. Moving forward in time, these complex patterns could offset some of the progressivity built into the system.
    MeSH term(s) Aged ; Female ; Humans ; Income ; Life Expectancy ; Male ; Retirement ; Social Class ; Social Security ; Socioeconomic Factors ; United States
    Language English
    Publishing date 2021-10-27
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 1223664-0
    ISSN 1758-5368 ; 1079-5014
    ISSN (online) 1758-5368
    ISSN 1079-5014
    DOI 10.1093/geronb/gbab201
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  3. Article: Early Evidence of the Impacts of COVID-19 on Minority Unemployment

    Couch, Kenneth A / Fairlie, Robert W / Xu, Huanan

    J Public Econ

    Abstract: This paper provides early evidence of the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on minority unemployment in the United States. In the first month following March adoptions of social distancing measures by states, unemployment rose to 14.5 percent but a much ... ...

    Abstract This paper provides early evidence of the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on minority unemployment in the United States. In the first month following March adoptions of social distancing measures by states, unemployment rose to 14.5 percent but a much higher 24.4 percent when we correct for potential data misclassification noted by the BLS. Using the official definition, unemployment in April 2020 among African-Americans rose by less than what would have been anticipated (to 16.6 percent) based on previous recessions, and the long-term ordering of unemployment across racial/ethnic groups was altered with Latinx unemployment (18.2 percent) rising for the first time to the highest among major groups. Difference-in-difference estimates confirm that the initial gap in unemployment between whites and blacks in April was not different than in periods prior to the pandemic; however, the racial gap expanded as unemployment for whites declined in the next two months but was largely stagnant for blacks. The initially large gap in unemployment between whites and Latinx in April was sustained in May and June as unemployment declined similarly for both groups. Non-linear decompositions show a favorable industry distribution partly protected black employment during the early stages of the pandemic, but that an unfavorable occupational distribution and lower average skills levels placed them at higher risk of job losses. An unfavorable occupational distribution and lower skills contributed to a sharply widened Latinx-white unemployment gap that moderated over time as rehiring occurred. These findings of disproportionate impacts on minority unemployment raise important concerns regarding lost earnings and wealth, and longer-term consequences of the pandemic on racial inequality in the United States.
    Keywords covid19
    Publisher WHO
    Document type Article
    Note WHO #Covidence: #756842
    Database COVID19

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  4. Article ; Online: The Impacts of COVID-19 on Minority Unemployment

    Couch, Kenneth A. / Fairlie, Robert W. / Xu, Huanan

    SSRN Electronic Journal ; ISSN 1556-5068

    First Evidence from April 2020 CPS Microdata

    2020  

    Keywords covid19
    Language English
    Publisher Elsevier BV
    Publishing country us
    Document type Article ; Online
    DOI 10.2139/ssrn.3604814
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  5. Book ; Article ; Online: The Impacts of COVID-19 on Minority Unemployment

    Couch, Kenneth A. / Fairlie, Robert W. / Xu, Huanan

    First Evidence from April 2020 CPS Microdata

    2020  

    Abstract: COVID-19 abruptly impacted the labor market with the unemployment rate jumping to 14.7 percent less than two months after state governments began adopting social distancing measures. Unemployment of this magnitude has not been seen since the Great ... ...

    Abstract COVID-19 abruptly impacted the labor market with the unemployment rate jumping to 14.7 percent less than two months after state governments began adopting social distancing measures. Unemployment of this magnitude has not been seen since the Great Depression. This paper provides the first study of how the pandemic impacted minority unemployment using CPS microdata through April 2020. African-Americans experienced an increase in unemployment to 16.6 percent, less than anticipated based on previous recessions. In contrast, Latinx, with an unemployment rate of 18.2 percent, were disproportionately hard hit by COVID-19. Adjusting for concerns of the BLS regarding misclassification of unemployment, we create an upper-bound measure of the national unemployment rate of 26.5 percent, which is higher than the peak observed in the Great Depression. The April 2020 upper-bound unemployment rates are an alarming 31.8 percent for blacks and 31.4 percent for Latinx. Difference-in-difference estimates suggest that blacks were, at most, only slightly disproportionately impacted by COVID-19. Non-linear decomposition estimates indicate that a slightly favorable industry distribution partly protected them being hit harder by COVID-19. The most impacted group are Latinx. Difference-in-difference estimates unequivocally indicate that Latinx were disproportionately impacted by COVID-19. An unfavorable occupational distribution and lower skills contributed to why Latinx experienced much higher unemployment rates than whites. These findings of early impacts of COVID-19 on unemployment raise important concerns about long-term economic effects for minorities.
    Keywords ddc:330 ; J60 ; J70 ; J15 ; unemployment ; inequality ; labor ; race ; minorities ; COVID-19 ; coronavirus ; shelter-in-place ; social distancing ; covid19
    Subject code 331
    Language English
    Publisher Munich: Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)
    Publishing country de
    Document type Book ; Article ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  6. Book ; Article ; Online: The Impacts of COVID-19 on Minority Unemployment

    Couch, Kenneth A. / Fairlie, Robert W. / Xu, Huanan

    First Evidence from April 2020 CPS Microdata

    2020  

    Abstract: COVID-19 abruptly impacted the labor market with the unemployment rate jumping to 14.7 percent less than two months after state governments began adopting social distancing measures. Unemployment of this magnitude has not been seen since the Great ... ...

    Abstract COVID-19 abruptly impacted the labor market with the unemployment rate jumping to 14.7 percent less than two months after state governments began adopting social distancing measures. Unemployment of this magnitude has not been seen since the Great Depression. This paper provides the first study of how the pandemic impacted minority unemployment using CPS microdata through April 2020. African-Americans experienced an increase in unemployment to 16.6 percent, less than anticipated based on previous recessions. In contrast, Latinx, with an unemployment rate of 18.2 percent, were disproportionately hard hit by COVID-19. Adjusting for concerns of the BLS regarding misclassification of unemployment, we create an upper-bound measure of the national unemployment rate of 26.5 percent, which is higher than the peak observed in the Great Depression. The April 2020 upper-bound unemployment rates are an alarming 31.8 percent for blacks and 31.4 percent for Latinx. Difference-in-difference estimates suggest that blacks were, at most, only slightly disproportionately impacted by COVID-19. Non-linear decomposition estimates indicate that a slightly favorable industry distribution partly protected them being hit harder by COVID-19. The most impacted group are Latinx. Difference-in-difference estimates unequivocally indicate that Latinx were disproportionately impacted by COVID-19. An unfavorable occupational distribution and lower skills contributed to why Latinx experienced much higher unemployment rates than whites. These findings of early impacts of COVID-19 on unemployment raise important concerns about long-term economic effects for minorities.
    Keywords ddc:330 ; J6 ; J7 ; J15 ; unemployment ; inequality ; labor ; race ; minorities ; COVID-19 ; coronavirus ; shelter-in-place ; social distancing ; covid19
    Subject code 331
    Language English
    Publisher Bonn: Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
    Publishing country de
    Document type Book ; Article ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  7. Article ; Online: Early evidence of the impacts of COVID-19 on minority unemployment

    Couch, Kenneth A. / Fairlie, Robert W. / Xu, Huanan

    Journal of Public Economics

    2020  Volume 192, Page(s) 104287

    Keywords Economics and Econometrics ; Finance ; covid19
    Language English
    Publisher Elsevier BV
    Publishing country us
    Document type Article ; Online
    ZDB-ID 1460611-2
    ISSN 1879-2316 ; 0047-2727
    ISSN (online) 1879-2316
    ISSN 0047-2727
    DOI 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104287
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  8. Article: Expanding work programs in child support

    Couch, Kenneth A

    Journal of policy analysis and management : the journal of the Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management Vol. 29, No. 3 , p. 603-604

    whether and how

    2010  Volume 29, Issue 3, Page(s) 603–604

    Author's details Kenneth A. Couch, ed
    Keywords Väter ; Unterhaltsrecht ; Lohnsubvention ; Niedriglohn ; USA
    Language English
    Publisher Wiley-Blackwell
    Publishing place Hoboken, NJ
    Document type Article
    ZDB-ID 797148-5 ; 2001670-0
    ISSN 1520-6688 ; 0276-8739
    ISSN (online) 1520-6688
    ISSN 0276-8739
    Database ECONomics Information System

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  9. Book: Counting the poor

    Besharov, Douglas J / Couch, Kenneth A.%AACR: Couch, Kenneth A

    new thinking about European poverty measures and lessons for the United States

    (International policy exchange series)

    2012  

    Author's details ed.by Douglas J. Besharov; Kenneth A. Couch
    Series title International policy exchange series
    Keywords Poverty ; Sozialpolitik ; Soziale Lage ; Einkommensverteilung ; Vermögensverteilung ; Armut ; Messung ; Welt
    Language English
    Size XII, 434 S., graph. Darst., 24 cm
    Publisher Oxford Univ. Press
    Publishing place Oxford u.a.
    Document type Book
    Note Includes bibliographical references and index. - Enth. 18 Beitr.
    ISBN 0199860580 ; 9780199860586
    Database ECONomics Information System

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  10. Book ; Online: Racial differences in labor market transitions and the Great Recession

    Couch, Kenneth A / Fairlie, Robert W / Xu, Huanan

    (CESifo working paper : Category 4, Labour markets ; no. 5772)

    2016  

    Abstract: Labor force transitions are empirically examined using CPS data matched across months from 1996-2012 for Hispanics, African-Americans and whites. Transition probabilities are contrasted prior to the Great Recession and afterwards. Estimates indicate that ...

    Author's details Kenneth A. Couch, Robert Fairlie, Huanan Xu
    Series title CESifo working paper : Category 4, Labour markets ; no. 5772
    Abstract Labor force transitions are empirically examined using CPS data matched across months from 1996-2012 for Hispanics, African-Americans and whites. Transition probabilities are contrasted prior to the Great Recession and afterwards. Estimates indicate that minorities are more likely to be fired as business cycle conditions worsen. Estimates also show that minorities are usually more likely to be hired when business cycle conditions are weak. During the Great Recession, the odds of losing a job increased for minorities although cyclical sensitivity of the transition declined. Odds of becoming re-employed declined dramatically for blacks, by 2-4 percent, while the probability was unchanged for Hispanics.
    Keywords unemployment ; race ; minorities ; labor market ; labor force ; dynamics ; Great Recession
    Language English
    Size 1 Online-Ressource (circa 59 Seiten), Illustrationen
    Publisher CESifo, Center for Economic Studies & Ifo Institute
    Publishing place München
    Document type Book ; Online
    Database ECONomics Information System

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