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Article: Modeling the Impact of Unreported Cases of the COVID-19 in the North African Countries

Djilali, Salih Benahmadi Lahbib Tridane Abdessamad Niri Khadija

Biology

Abstract: In this paper, we study a mathematical model investigating the impact of unreported cases of the COVID-19 in three North African countries: Algeria, Egypt, and Morocco To understand how the population respects the restriction of population mobility ... ...

Abstract In this paper, we study a mathematical model investigating the impact of unreported cases of the COVID-19 in three North African countries: Algeria, Egypt, and Morocco To understand how the population respects the restriction of population mobility implemented in each country, we use Google and Apple’s mobility reports These mobility reports help to quantify the effect of the population movement restrictions on the evolution of the active infection cases We also approximate the number of the population infected unreported, the proportion of those that need hospitalization, and estimate the end of the epidemic wave Moreover, we use our model to estimate the second wave of the COVID-19 Algeria and Morocco and to project the end of the second wave Finally, we suggest some additional measures that can be considered to reduce the burden of the COVID-19 and would lead to a second wave of the spread of the virus in these countries
Keywords covid19
Publisher WHO
Document type Article
Note WHO #Covidence: #896283
Database COVID19

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