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  1. Article ; Online: A repeatable CT protocol for quantifying caudal vena cava growth in medium and large breed dogs.

    Reeves, Hannah C / Ryan, Stewart D / Firestone, Simon M / Milne, Marjorie

    Veterinary radiology & ultrasound : the official journal of the American College of Veterinary Radiology and the International Veterinary Radiology Association

    2023  Volume 64, Issue 4, Page(s) 632–639

    Abstract: Developmental malformations can cause stunted or abnormal growth and clinical disease in dogs. In humans, measurements of the inferior vena cava are used as methods for detecting abnormal growth trajectories. The objectives of this retrospective, ... ...

    Abstract Developmental malformations can cause stunted or abnormal growth and clinical disease in dogs. In humans, measurements of the inferior vena cava are used as methods for detecting abnormal growth trajectories. The objectives of this retrospective, multicenter, analytical, cross-sectional study were to develop a repeatable protocol to measure the caudal vena cava (CVC) and generate growth curves in medium and large-breed dogs during development. Contrast-enhanced CT DICOM images from 438 normal dogs, aged from 1 to 18 months, from five specific breeds were included. A "best guess" measurement protocol was created. Dogs were stratified into medium or large breed groups based on growth rate trajectories. Linear regression models and logarithmic trend lines were used to evaluate the CVC growth over time. The CVC measurements were analyzed from four anatomical regions: thorax, diaphragm, intra-hepatic, and renal. The thoracic segment produced the most repeatable measurements with the highest explanatory power. The CVC thoracic circumference ranged from 2.5 to 4.9 cm from 1 to 18 months of age. Medium and large breeds had similar CVC growth trajectories, with comparable estimated marginal means, however medium dogs reached 80% of predicted final CVC size approximately 4 weeks earlier than large breed dogs. This new protocol provides a standardized technique for evaluation of the CVC circumference over time using contrast-enhanced CT and is most repeatable when taken at the thoracic level. This approach could be adapted for other vessels to predict their growth trajectories, generating healthy reference population data for comparison against patients with vascular anomalies.
    MeSH term(s) Humans ; Dogs ; Animals ; Vena Cava, Inferior/diagnostic imaging ; Vena Cava, Inferior/abnormalities ; Retrospective Studies ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Vascular Diseases/veterinary ; Tomography, X-Ray Computed/veterinary ; Multicenter Studies as Topic/veterinary
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-04-02
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2142058-0
    ISSN 1740-8261 ; 1058-8183
    ISSN (online) 1740-8261
    ISSN 1058-8183
    DOI 10.1111/vru.13237
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  2. Article ; Online: A repeatable CT protocol for quantifying caudal vena cava growth in medium and large breed dogs

    Reeves, Hannah C / Ryan, Stewart D / Firestone, Simon M / Milne, Marjorie

    Veterinary Radiology & Ultrasound. 2023 July, v. 64, no. 4 p.632-639

    2023  

    Abstract: Developmental malformations can cause stunted or abnormal growth and clinical disease in dogs. In humans, measurements of the inferior vena cava are used as methods for detecting abnormal growth trajectories. The objectives of this retrospective, ... ...

    Abstract Developmental malformations can cause stunted or abnormal growth and clinical disease in dogs. In humans, measurements of the inferior vena cava are used as methods for detecting abnormal growth trajectories. The objectives of this retrospective, multicenter, analytical, cross‐sectional study were to develop a repeatable protocol to measure the caudal vena cava (CVC) and generate growth curves in medium and large‐breed dogs during development. Contrast‐enhanced CT DICOM images from 438 normal dogs, aged from 1 to 18 months, from five specific breeds were included. A "best guess" measurement protocol was created. Dogs were stratified into medium or large breed groups based on growth rate trajectories. Linear regression models and logarithmic trend lines were used to evaluate the CVC growth over time. The CVC measurements were analyzed from four anatomical regions: thorax, diaphragm, intra‐hepatic, and renal. The thoracic segment produced the most repeatable measurements with the highest explanatory power. The CVC thoracic circumference ranged from 2.5 to 4.9 cm from 1 to 18 months of age. Medium and large breeds had similar CVC growth trajectories, with comparable estimated marginal means, however medium dogs reached 80% of predicted final CVC size approximately 4 weeks earlier than large breed dogs. This new protocol provides a standardized technique for evaluation of the CVC circumference over time using contrast‐enhanced CT and is most repeatable when taken at the thoracic level. This approach could be adapted for other vessels to predict their growth trajectories, generating healthy reference population data for comparison against patients with vascular anomalies.
    Keywords cross-sectional studies ; diaphragm ; inferior vena cava ; radiology ; regression analysis ; thorax ; ultrasonics
    Language English
    Dates of publication 2023-07
    Size p. 632-639.
    Publishing place John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
    Document type Article ; Online
    Note JOURNAL ARTICLE
    ZDB-ID 2142058-0
    ISSN 1740-8261 ; 1058-8183
    ISSN (online) 1740-8261
    ISSN 1058-8183
    DOI 10.1111/vru.13237
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  3. Article: Field epidemiology capacity of the national veterinary services of Lao PDR: An online survey.

    Subharat, Supatsak / Meunsene, Dethaloun / Putthana, Vannaphone / Tiwari, Harish / Firestone, Simon M

    Frontiers in veterinary science

    2023  Volume 10, Page(s) 1096554

    Abstract: Introduction: Capacity in veterinary epidemiology is critical to detect, respond and control infectious diseases. Laos veterinary service is limited by having only a small number of veterinarians who graduated from overseas. Animal science graduates ... ...

    Abstract Introduction: Capacity in veterinary epidemiology is critical to detect, respond and control infectious diseases. Laos veterinary service is limited by having only a small number of veterinarians who graduated from overseas. Animal science graduates support the majority of the Laos veterinary services. The veterinary program was established in 2009 at the National University of Laos. We aimed to understand the national veterinary epidemiology capacity and identify gaps and training needs.
    Method: A cross-sectional online study was conducted in 2021 targeting central (DLF), provincial (PAFO) and district (DAFO) government animal health officers and veterinary/animal science academics (
    Results and discussion: In total, 205 respondents completed the questionnaire (61.8% response rate). Respondents reported low or no skills and experience in data management and analysis, epidemiological surveys and One Health. In contrast, higher but limited skills and experiences were reported in outbreak investigation, disease surveillance and biosecurity. Previous epidemiology training was primarily associated with stronger experiences in veterinary epidemiology competencies, followed by respondents that had completed a veterinary degree, highlighting the value of the currently available epidemiology training and veterinary-trained personnel in Lao PDR. This study could help inform the Laos government in its policy planning for field veterinary epidemiology capacity and future training.
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-03-21
    Publishing country Switzerland
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2834243-4
    ISSN 2297-1769
    ISSN 2297-1769
    DOI 10.3389/fvets.2023.1096554
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  4. Article ; Online: Evaluation of Ki-67, goblet cell and MUC2 mucin RNA expression in dogs with lymphoplasmacytic and granulomatous colitis.

    Lim, Chelsea / Dandrieux, Julien R S / Ploeg, Richard / Nowell, Cameron J / Firestone, Simon M / Mansfield, Caroline S

    Veterinary immunology and immunopathology

    2024  Volume 271, Page(s) 110740

    Abstract: Intestinal mucus barrier disruption may occur with chronic inflammatory enteropathies. The lack of studies evaluating mucus health in dogs with chronic colitis arises from inherent challenges with assessment of the intestinal mucus layer. It is therefore ...

    Abstract Intestinal mucus barrier disruption may occur with chronic inflammatory enteropathies. The lack of studies evaluating mucus health in dogs with chronic colitis arises from inherent challenges with assessment of the intestinal mucus layer. It is therefore unknown if reduced goblet cell (GBC) numbers and/or mucin 2 (MUC2) expression, which are responsible for mucus production and secretion, correlate with inflammation severity in dogs with granulomatous colitis (GC) or lymphocytic-plasmacytic colitis (LPC). It is undetermined if Ki-67 immunoreactivity, which has been evaluated in dogs with small intestinal inflammation, similarly correlates to histologic severity in GC and LPC. Study objectives included comparing Ki-67 immunoreactivity, GBC population and MUC2 expression in dogs with GC, LPC and non-inflamed colon; and exploring the use of ribonucleic acid (RNAscope®) in-situ hybridization (ISH) to evaluate MUC2 expression in canine colon. Formalin-fixed endoscopic colonic biopsies were obtained from 48 dogs over an eight-year period. A blinded pathologist reviewed all biopsies. Dogs were classified into the GC (n=19), LPC (n=19) or no colitis (NC) (n=10) group based on final histopathological diagnosis. Ki-67 immunohistochemistry, Alcian-Blue/PAS staining to highlight GBCs, and RNAscope® ISH using customized canine MUC2-targeted probes were performed. At least five microscopic fields per dog were selected to measure Ki-67 labelling index (KI67%), GBC staining percentage (GBC%) and MUC2 expression (MUC2%) using image analysis software. Spearman's correlation coefficients were used to determine associations between World Small Animal Veterinary Association histologic score (WHS) and measured variables. Linear regression models were used to compare relationships between WHS with KI67%, GBC%, and MUC2%; and between GBC% and MUC2%. Median WHS was highest in dogs with GC. Median KI67% normalised to WHS was highest in the NC group (6.69%; range, 1.70-23.60%). Median GBC% did not correlate with colonic inflammation overall. Median MUC2% normalised to WHS in the NC group (10.02%; range, 3.05-39.09%) was two- and three-fold higher than in the GC and LPC groups respectively. With increased colonic inflammation, despite minimal changes in GBC% overall, MUC2 expression markedly declined in the LPC group (-27.4%; 95%-CI, -49.8, 5.9%) and mildly declined in the GC and NC groups. Granulomatous colitis and LPC likely involve different pathways regulating MUC2 expression. Decreased MUC2 gene expression is observed in dogs with chronic colitis compared to dogs without colonic signs. Changes in MUC2 expression appear influenced by GBC activity rather than quantity in GC and LPC.
    MeSH term(s) Animals ; Dogs ; Mucin-2/genetics ; Mucin-2/metabolism ; Goblet Cells/pathology ; Goblet Cells/metabolism ; Ki-67 Antigen/genetics ; Ki-67 Antigen/metabolism ; Dog Diseases/metabolism ; Dog Diseases/genetics ; Dog Diseases/immunology ; Colitis/veterinary ; Colitis/pathology ; Female ; Male ; Colon/pathology ; Granuloma/veterinary ; Granuloma/pathology ; Immunohistochemistry/veterinary
    Chemical Substances Mucin-2 ; Ki-67 Antigen
    Language English
    Publishing date 2024-03-16
    Publishing country Netherlands
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 754160-0
    ISSN 1873-2534 ; 0165-2427
    ISSN (online) 1873-2534
    ISSN 0165-2427
    DOI 10.1016/j.vetimm.2024.110740
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  5. Article ; Online: Exposure to Persistent Organic Pollutants in Australian Waterbirds.

    Nzabanita, Damien / Shen, Hao / Grist, Stephen / Lewis, Phoebe J / Hampton, Jordan O / Firestone, Simon M / Hufschmid, Jasmin / Nugegoda, Dayanthi

    Environmental toxicology and chemistry

    2024  Volume 43, Issue 4, Page(s) 736–747

    Abstract: There is growing worldwide recognition of the threat posed by persistent organic pollutants (POPs) to wildlife populations. We aimed to measure exposure levels to POPs in a Southern Hemisphere aquatic waterbird species, the nomadic gray teal (Anas ... ...

    Abstract There is growing worldwide recognition of the threat posed by persistent organic pollutants (POPs) to wildlife populations. We aimed to measure exposure levels to POPs in a Southern Hemisphere aquatic waterbird species, the nomadic gray teal (Anas gracilis), which is found across Australia. We collected wings from 39 ducks harvested by recreational hunters at two sites (one coastal, one inland) in Victoria, southeastern Australia, in 2021. We examined three groups of POPs: nine congeners of polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), 13 organochlorine pesticides (OCPs), and 12 polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs). The PCBs, OCPs, and PAHs were detected at quantifiable levels in 13%, 72%, and 100% of birds, respectively. Of the congeners we tested for in PCBs, OCPs, and PAHs, 33%, 38%, and 100% were detected at quantifiable levels, respectively. The highest levels of exposure to POPs that we found were to the PAH benzo[b]fluoranthene, occurring at a concentration range of 1.78 to 161.05 ng/g wet weight. There were some trends detected relating to differences between geographical sites, with higher levels of several PAHs at the coastal versus inland site. There were several strong, positive associations among PAHs found. We discuss potential sources for the POPs detected, including industrial and agricultural sources, and the likely role of large-scale forest fires in PAH levels. Our results confirm that while Australian waterbirds are exposed to a variety of POPs, exposure levels are currently relatively low. Additional future investigations are required to further characterize POPs within Australian waterbird species. Environ Toxicol Chem 2024;43:736-747. © 2023 The Authors. Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of SETAC.
    MeSH term(s) Animals ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; Environmental Pollutants/analysis ; Hydrocarbons, Chlorinated/analysis ; Persistent Organic Pollutants ; Pesticides/analysis ; Polychlorinated Biphenyls/analysis ; Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons/analysis ; Victoria ; Ducks
    Chemical Substances Environmental Pollutants ; Hydrocarbons, Chlorinated ; Persistent Organic Pollutants ; Pesticides ; Polychlorinated Biphenyls (DFC2HB4I0K) ; Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons
    Language English
    Publishing date 2024-01-16
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 46234-2
    ISSN 1552-8618 ; 0730-7268
    ISSN (online) 1552-8618
    ISSN 0730-7268
    DOI 10.1002/etc.5804
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  6. Article ; Online: Lead contamination in Australian game meat.

    Hampton, Jordan O / Pain, Deborah J / Buenz, Eric / Firestone, Simon M / Arnemo, Jon M

    Environmental science and pollution research international

    2023  Volume 30, Issue 17, Page(s) 50713–50722

    Abstract: Lead-based ammunition (gunshot and bullets) frequently leaves small lead fragments embedded in the meat of wild-shot game animals. Australia produces several commercial game meat products from wild animals harvested with lead-based ammunition and has a ... ...

    Abstract Lead-based ammunition (gunshot and bullets) frequently leaves small lead fragments embedded in the meat of wild-shot game animals. Australia produces several commercial game meat products from wild animals harvested with lead-based ammunition and has a growing population of recreational hunters. However, no studies have previously investigated the frequency of lead fragments or lead concentrations in Australian game meat. We examined 133 Australian minced game meat items of four types for evidence of lead contamination. Samples were meat from kangaroos (Macropus and Osphranter spp.; n=36) and Bennett's wallabies (Notamacropus rufogriseus; n=28) sold for human consumption, and deer ('venison'; multiple spp.; n=32) and stubble quail (Coturnix pectoralis; n=37) harvested for private consumption by recreational hunters. All packages were studied by digital radiography to detect the presence of radio-dense fragments, assumed to be lead fragments from ammunition. Visible fragments were absent in commercially available kangaroo products, but were present in 4%, 28% and 35% of wallaby, venison and quail, respectively. Mean meat lead concentrations (mg/kg wet weight) were 0.01 ± 0.01 for kangaroo, 0.02 ± 0.01 for wallaby, 0.12 ± 0.07 for venison, and 1.76 ± 3.76 for quail. The Australian food standards threshold for livestock meat (0.1 mg/kg w.w.) was not exceeded by any kangaroo or wallaby products but was exceeded by 53% and 86% of venison and quail, respectively. Radiography only detected 35% of samples that were above the food safety threshold. While average lead concentrations in commercially available macropod (kangaroo and wallaby) meat were low, those in recreationally harvested game meat may pose health risks for hunters and associated consumers.
    MeSH term(s) Humans ; Animals ; Lead/analysis ; Lead Poisoning ; Macropodidae ; Coturnix ; Food Contamination/analysis ; Deer ; Australia ; Meat/analysis ; Animals, Wild ; Quail
    Chemical Substances Lead (2P299V784P)
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-02-17
    Publishing country Germany
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 1178791-0
    ISSN 1614-7499 ; 0944-1344
    ISSN (online) 1614-7499
    ISSN 0944-1344
    DOI 10.1007/s11356-023-25949-y
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  7. Article ; Online: Performance Evaluation and Validation of Air Samplers To Detect Aerosolized Coxiella burnetii.

    Abeykoon, A M Hasanthi / Poon, Megan / Firestone, Simon M / Stevenson, Mark A / Wiethoelter, Anke K / Vincent, Gemma A

    Microbiology spectrum

    2022  Volume 10, Issue 5, Page(s) e0065522

    Abstract: Coxiella burnetii, the etiological agent of Q fever, is an intracellular zoonotic pathogen transmitted via the respiratory route. Once released from infected animals, C. burnetii can travel long distances through air before infecting another host. As ... ...

    Abstract Coxiella burnetii, the etiological agent of Q fever, is an intracellular zoonotic pathogen transmitted via the respiratory route. Once released from infected animals, C. burnetii can travel long distances through air before infecting another host. As such, the ability to detect the presence of C. burnetii in air is important. In this study, three air samplers, AirPort MD8, BioSampler, and the Coriolis Micro, were assessed against a set of predetermined criteria in the presence of three different aerosolized C. burnetii concentrations. Two liquid collection media, phosphate-buffered saline (PBS) and alkaline polyethylene glycol (Alk PEG), were tested with devices requiring a collection liquid. Samples were tested by quantitative polymerase chain reaction assay (qPCR) targeting the single-copy
    MeSH term(s) Coxiella burnetii/isolation & purification ; Air Microbiology ; Bacteriological Techniques/instrumentation
    Language English
    Publishing date 2022-09-08
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2807133-5
    ISSN 2165-0497 ; 2165-0497
    ISSN (online) 2165-0497
    ISSN 2165-0497
    DOI 10.1128/spectrum.00655-22
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  8. Article ; Online: Validation of an Indirect Immunofluorescence Assay and Commercial Q Fever Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay for Use in Macropods.

    Tolpinrud, Anita / Stenos, John / Chaber, Anne-Lise / Devlin, Joanne M / Herbert, Catherine / Pas, An / Dunowska, Magdalena / Stevenson, Mark A / Firestone, Simon M

    Journal of clinical microbiology

    2022  Volume 60, Issue 7, Page(s) e0023622

    Abstract: Kangaroos are considered to be an important reservoir of Q fever in Australia, although there is limited knowledge on the true prevalence and distribution of coxiellosis in Australian macropod populations. Serological tests serve as useful surveillance ... ...

    Abstract Kangaroos are considered to be an important reservoir of Q fever in Australia, although there is limited knowledge on the true prevalence and distribution of coxiellosis in Australian macropod populations. Serological tests serve as useful surveillance tools, but formal test validation is needed to be able to estimate true seroprevalence rates, and few tests have been validated to screen wildlife species for Q fever. In this study, we modified and optimized a phase-specific indirect immunofluorescence assay (IFA) for the detection of IgG antibodies against Coxiella burnetii in macropod sera. The assay was validated against the commercially available ID Screen Q fever indirect multispecies enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) kit (IDVet, Grabels, France) to estimate the diagnostic sensitivity and specificity of each assay, using Bayesian latent class analysis. A direct comparison of the two tests was performed by testing 303 serum samples from 10 macropod populations from the east coast of Australia and New Zealand. The analysis indicated that the IFA had relatively high diagnostic sensitivity (97.6% [95% credible interval [CrI], 88.0 to 99.9]) and diagnostic specificity (98.5% [95% CrI, 94.4 to 99.9]). In comparison, the ELISA had relatively poor diagnostic sensitivity (42.1% [95% CrI, 33.7 to 50.8]) and similar diagnostic specificity (99.2% [95% CrI, 96.4 to 100]) using the cutoff values recommended by the manufacturer. The estimated true seroprevalence of C. burnetii exposure in the macropod populations included in this study ranged from 0% in New Zealand and Victoria, Australia, up to 94.2% in one population from New South Wales, Australia.
    MeSH term(s) Antibodies, Bacterial ; Bayes Theorem ; Coxiella burnetii ; Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay ; Fluorescent Antibody Technique, Indirect ; Humans ; Q Fever/diagnosis ; Q Fever/epidemiology ; Q Fever/veterinary ; Seroepidemiologic Studies ; Victoria
    Chemical Substances Antibodies, Bacterial
    Language English
    Publishing date 2022-06-02
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
    ZDB-ID 390499-4
    ISSN 1098-660X ; 0095-1137
    ISSN (online) 1098-660X
    ISSN 0095-1137
    DOI 10.1128/jcm.00236-22
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  9. Article: Bayesian latent class analysis to estimate the optimal cut-off for the MilA ELISA for the detection of Mycoplasma bovis antibodies in sera, accounting for repeated measures

    Salgadu, Ayesha / Cheung, Allison / Schibrowski, Meghan L. / Wawegama, Nadeeka K. / Mahony, Timothy J. / Stevenson, Mark A. / Browning, Glenn F. / Barnes, Tamsin S. / Firestone, Simon M.

    Preventive veterinary medicine. 2022 Aug., v. 205

    2022  

    Abstract: The MilA ELISA has been identified as a highly effective diagnostic tool for the detection of Mycoplasma bovis specific antibodies and has been validated for serological use in previous studies. This study aimed to estimate the optimal cut-off and ... ...

    Abstract The MilA ELISA has been identified as a highly effective diagnostic tool for the detection of Mycoplasma bovis specific antibodies and has been validated for serological use in previous studies. This study aimed to estimate the optimal cut-off and corresponding estimates of diagnostic sensitivity (DSe) and diagnostic specificity (DSp) of the MilA ELISA for testing bovine serum. Serum samples from 298 feedlot cattle from 14 feedlots across four Australian states were tested on entry into the feedlot and approximately 42 days later. The paired serum samples were tested with the MilA ELISA, BIO K302 (Bio-X Diagnostics, Belgium) and BIO K260 (Bio-X Diagnostics, Belgium). A cut-off of 135 AU was estimated to be optimal using Bayesian latent class analysis with three tests in multiple populations, accounting for conditional dependence between tests. At this cut-off, the DSe and DSp of the MilA ELISA were estimated to be 92.1 % (95 % highest probability density [HPD] interval: 87.4, 95.8) and 95.5 % (95 % HPD: 92.4, 97.8), respectively. The DSes of the BIO K260 and BIO K302 ELISAs were estimated to be 60.5 % (95 % HPD: 54.0, 66.9) and 44.6 % (95 % HPD: 38.7, 50.7), respectively. DSps were 95.6 % (95 % HPD: 92.9, 97.7) and 97.8 % (95 % HPD: 95.9, 99.0), respectively. Mycoplasma bovis seroprevalence was remarkably high at follow-up after 42 days on the feedlots. Overall, this study estimated a cut-off, DSe and DSp for the MilA ELISA with less dependence on prior information than previous analyses and demonstrated that the MilA ELISA has higher DSe than the BIO K260 and BIO K302 assays.
    Keywords Bayesian theory ; Mycoplasma bovis ; blood serum ; cattle ; diagnostic sensitivity ; diagnostic specificity ; diagnostic techniques ; feedlots ; probability distribution ; seroprevalence ; veterinary medicine
    Language English
    Dates of publication 2022-08
    Publishing place Elsevier B.V.
    Document type Article
    ZDB-ID 43399-8
    ISSN 1873-1716 ; 0167-5877
    ISSN (online) 1873-1716
    ISSN 0167-5877
    DOI 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2022.105694
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  10. Article ; Online: Testing the intrinsic mechanisms driving the dynamics of Ross River Virus across Australia.

    Koolhof, Iain S / Beeton, Nicholas / Bettiol, Silvana / Charleston, Michael / Firestone, Simon M / Gibney, Katherine / Neville, Peter / Jardine, Andrew / Markey, Peter / Kurucz, Nina / Warchot, Allan / Krause, Vicki / Onn, Michael / Rowe, Stacey / Franklin, Lucinda / Fricker, Stephen / Williams, Craig / Carver, Scott

    PLoS pathogens

    2024  Volume 20, Issue 2, Page(s) e1011944

    Abstract: The mechanisms driving dynamics of many epidemiologically important mosquito-borne pathogens are complex, involving combinations of vector and host factors (e.g., species composition and life-history traits), and factors associated with transmission and ... ...

    Abstract The mechanisms driving dynamics of many epidemiologically important mosquito-borne pathogens are complex, involving combinations of vector and host factors (e.g., species composition and life-history traits), and factors associated with transmission and reporting. Understanding which intrinsic mechanisms contribute most to observed disease dynamics is important, yet often poorly understood. Ross River virus (RRV) is Australia's most important mosquito-borne disease, with variable transmission dynamics across geographic regions. We used deterministic ordinary differential equation models to test mechanisms driving RRV dynamics across major epidemic centers in Brisbane, Darwin, Mandurah, Mildura, Gippsland, Renmark, Murray Bridge, and Coorong. We considered models with up to two vector species (Aedes vigilax, Culex annulirostris, Aedes camptorhynchus, Culex globocoxitus), two reservoir hosts (macropods, possums), seasonal transmission effects, and transmission parameters. We fit models against long-term RRV surveillance data (1991-2017) and used Akaike Information Criterion to select important mechanisms. The combination of two vector species, two reservoir hosts, and seasonal transmission effects explained RRV dynamics best across sites. Estimated vector-human transmission rate (average β = 8.04x10-4per vector per day) was similar despite different dynamics. Models estimate 43% underreporting of RRV infections. Findings enhance understanding of RRV transmission mechanisms, provide disease parameter estimates which can be used to guide future research into public health improvements and offer a basis to evaluate mitigation practices.
    MeSH term(s) Animals ; Humans ; Ross River virus ; Alphavirus Infections/epidemiology ; Mosquito Vectors ; Australia/epidemiology ; Aedes ; Culex
    Language English
    Publishing date 2024-02-15
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2205412-1
    ISSN 1553-7374 ; 1553-7374
    ISSN (online) 1553-7374
    ISSN 1553-7374
    DOI 10.1371/journal.ppat.1011944
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