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  1. Article ; Online: Potential Selection Bias in Preterm Infant Mortality Study-Reply.

    Venkatesan, Tim / Rees, Philippa / Gardiner, Julian

    JAMA pediatrics

    2023  Volume 178, Issue 2, Page(s) 206

    MeSH term(s) Infant ; Infant, Newborn ; Humans ; Female ; Infant, Premature ; Selection Bias ; Premature Birth ; Infant Mortality ; Bias
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-12-18
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2701223-2
    ISSN 2168-6211 ; 2168-6203
    ISSN (online) 2168-6211
    ISSN 2168-6203
    DOI 10.1001/jamapediatrics.2023.5585
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  2. Article ; Online: Obesity as a driver of international differences in COVID-19 death rates.

    Gardiner, Julian / Oben, Jude / Sutcliffe, Alastair

    Diabetes, obesity & metabolism

    2021  Volume 23, Issue 7, Page(s) 1463–1470

    Abstract: Aim: To determine what proportion of the inter-country variation in death rates can be explained in terms of obesity rates and other known risk factors for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).: Materials and methods: COVID-19 death rates from 30 ... ...

    Abstract Aim: To determine what proportion of the inter-country variation in death rates can be explained in terms of obesity rates and other known risk factors for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
    Materials and methods: COVID-19 death rates from 30 industrialized countries were analysed using linear regression models. Covariates modelled population density, the age structure of the population, obesity, population health, per capita gross domestic product (GDP), ethnic diversity, national temperature and the delay in the government imposing virus control measures.
    Results: The multivariable regression model explained 63% of the inter-country variation in COVID-19 death rates. The initial model was optimized using stepwise selection. In descending order of absolute size of model coefficient, the covariates in the optimized model were the obesity rate, the hypertension rate, population density, life expectancy, the percentage of the population aged older than 65 years, the percentage of the population aged younger than 15 years, the diabetes rate, the delay in imposing national COVID-19 control measures, per capita GDP and mean temperature (with a negative coefficient indicating an association between higher national temperatures and lower death rates).
    Conclusions: A large proportion of the inter-country variation in COVID-19 death rates can be explained by differences in obesity rates, population health, population densities, age demographics, delays in imposing national virus control measures, per capita GDP and climate. Some of the unexplained variation is probably attributable to inter-country differences in the definition of a COVID-19 death and in the completeness of the recording of COVID-19 deaths.
    MeSH term(s) Aged ; COVID-19 ; Diabetes Mellitus ; Humans ; Obesity/epidemiology ; Risk Factors ; SARS-CoV-2
    Language English
    Publishing date 2021-03-15
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
    ZDB-ID 1454944-x
    ISSN 1463-1326 ; 1462-8902
    ISSN (online) 1463-1326
    ISSN 1462-8902
    DOI 10.1111/dom.14357
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  3. Article ; Online: National Trends in Preterm Infant Mortality in the United States by Race and Socioeconomic Status, 1995-2020.

    Venkatesan, Tim / Rees, Philippa / Gardiner, Julian / Battersby, Cheryl / Purkayastha, Mitana / Gale, Chris / Sutcliffe, Alastair G

    JAMA pediatrics

    2023  Volume 177, Issue 10, Page(s) 1085–1095

    Abstract: Importance: Inequalities in preterm infant mortality exist between population subgroups within the United States.: Objective: To characterize trends in preterm infant mortality by maternal race and socioeconomic status to assess how inequalities in ... ...

    Abstract Importance: Inequalities in preterm infant mortality exist between population subgroups within the United States.
    Objective: To characterize trends in preterm infant mortality by maternal race and socioeconomic status to assess how inequalities in preterm mortality rates have changed over time.
    Design, setting, and participants: This was a retrospective longitudinal descriptive study using the US National Center for Health Statistics birth infant/death data set for 12 256 303 preterm infant births over 26 years, between 1995 and 2020. Data were analyzed from December 2022 to March 2023.
    Exposures: Maternal characteristics including race, smoking status, educational attainment, antenatal care, and insurance status were used as reported on an infant's US birth certificate.
    Main outcomes and measures: Preterm infant mortality rate was calculated for each year from 1995 to 2020 for all subgroups, with a trend regression coefficient calculated to describe the rate of change in preterm mortality.
    Results: The average US preterm infant mortality rate (IMR) decreased from 33.71 (95% CI, 33.71 to 34.04) per 1000 preterm births per year between 1995-1997, to 23.32 (95% CI, 23.05 to 23.58) between 2018-2020. Black non-Hispanic infants were more likely to die following preterm births than White non-Hispanic infants (IMR, 31.09; 95% CI, 30.44 to 31.74, vs 21.81; 95% CI, 21.43 to 22.18, in 2018-2020); however, once born, extremely prematurely Black and Hispanic infants had a narrow survival advantage (IMR rate ratio, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.84 to 0.91, in 2018-2020). The rate of decrease in preterm IMR was higher in Black infants (-0.015) than in White (-0.013) and Hispanic infants (-0.010); however, the relative risk of preterm IMR among Black infants compared with White infants remained the same between 1995-1997 vs 2018-2020 (relative risk, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.38 to 1.44, vs 1.43; 95% CI, 1.39 to 1.46). The rate of decrease in preterm IMR was higher in nonsmokers compared with smokers (-0.015 vs -0.010, respectively), in those with high levels of education compared with those with intermediate or low (-0.016 vs - 0.010 or -0.011, respectively), and in those who had received adequate antenatal care compared with those who did not (-0.014 vs -0.012 for intermediate and -0.013 for inadequate antenatal care). Over time, the relative risk of preterm mortality widened within each of these subgroups.
    Conclusions and relevance: This study found that between 1995 and 2020, US preterm infant mortality improved among all categories of prematurity. Inequalities in preterm infant mortality based on maternal race and ethnicity have remained constant while socioeconomic disparities have widened over time.
    MeSH term(s) Infant ; Infant, Newborn ; Humans ; Female ; United States/epidemiology ; Pregnancy ; Infant, Premature ; Retrospective Studies ; Premature Birth/epidemiology ; Public Health ; Infant Mortality/trends ; Social Class
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-09-04
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
    ZDB-ID 2701223-2
    ISSN 2168-6211 ; 2168-6203
    ISSN (online) 2168-6211
    ISSN 2168-6203
    DOI 10.1001/jamapediatrics.2023.3487
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  4. Article ; Online: Population-based screening methods in biliary atresia: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

    Arshad, Adam / Gardiner, Julian / Ho, Carmen / Rees, Philippa / Chadda, Karan / Baker, Alastair / Sutcliffe, Alastair G

    Archives of disease in childhood

    2023  Volume 108, Issue 6, Page(s) 468–473

    Abstract: Objective: The aim of this study was to investigate tested methods of population-based biliary atresia (BA) screening.: Design: We searched 11 databases between 1 January 1975 and 12 September 2022. Data extraction was independently done by two ... ...

    Abstract Objective: The aim of this study was to investigate tested methods of population-based biliary atresia (BA) screening.
    Design: We searched 11 databases between 1 January 1975 and 12 September 2022. Data extraction was independently done by two investigators.
    Main outcome measures: Our primary outcomes were: sensitivity and specificity of screening method in BA detection, age at Kasai, BA associated morbidity and mortality, cost-effectiveness of screening.
    Results: Six methods of BA screening were evaluated: stool colour charts (SCCs), conjugated bilirubin measurements, stool colour saturations (SCSs), measurements of urinary sulfated bile acids (USBAs), assessments of blood spot bile acids and blood carnitine measurements.In a meta-analysis, USBA was the most sensitive and specific, with a pooled sensitivity and specificity of 100.0% (95% CI 2.5% to 100.0%) and 99.5% (95% CI 98.9% to 99.8%) (based on one study). This was followed by conjugated bilirubin measurements: 100.0% (95% CI 0.0% to 100.0%) and 99.3% (95% CI 91.9% to 99.9%), SCS: 100.0% (95% CI 0.00% to 100.0%) and 92.4% (95% CI 83.4% to 96.7%), and SCC: 87.9% (95% CI 80.4% to 92.8%) and 99.9% (95% CI 99.9% to 99.9%).SCC reduced the age of Kasai to ~60 days, compared with 36 days for conjugated bilirubin. Both SCC and conjugated bilirubin improved overall and transplant-free survival. The use of SCC was considerably more cost-effective than conjugated bilirubin measurements.
    Conclusion: Conjugated bilirubin measurements and SCC are the most researched and demonstrate improved sensitivity and specificity in detecting BA. However, their use is expensive. Further research into conjugated bilirubin measurements, as well as alternative methods of population-based BA screening, is required.
    Prospero registration number: CRD42021235133.
    MeSH term(s) Humans ; Infant ; Biliary Atresia/diagnosis ; Biliary Atresia/surgery ; Mass Screening ; Sensitivity and Specificity ; Bilirubin ; Bile Acids and Salts ; Portoenterostomy, Hepatic
    Chemical Substances Bilirubin (RFM9X3LJ49) ; Bile Acids and Salts
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-02-16
    Publishing country England
    Document type Meta-Analysis ; Systematic Review ; Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 524-1
    ISSN 1468-2044 ; 0003-9888 ; 1359-2998
    ISSN (online) 1468-2044
    ISSN 0003-9888 ; 1359-2998
    DOI 10.1136/archdischild-2022-324946
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  5. Article ; Online: Childhood outcomes after low-grade intraventricular haemorrhage: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

    Rees, Philippa / Callan, Caitriona / Chadda, Karan R / Diviney, James / Harnden, Fergus / Gardiner, Julian / Battersby, Cheryl / Gale, Chris / Sutcliffe, Alastair

    Developmental medicine and child neurology

    2023  Volume 66, Issue 3, Page(s) 282–289

    Abstract: Aim: To undertake a systematic review and meta-analysis exploring school-age neurodevelopmental outcomes of children after low-grade intraventricular haemorrhage (IVH).: Method: The published and grey literature was extensively searched to identify ... ...

    Abstract Aim: To undertake a systematic review and meta-analysis exploring school-age neurodevelopmental outcomes of children after low-grade intraventricular haemorrhage (IVH).
    Method: The published and grey literature was extensively searched to identify observational comparative studies exploring neurodevelopmental outcomes after IVH grades 1 and 2. Our primary outcome was neurodevelopmental impairment after 5 years of age, which included cognitive, motor, speech and language, behavioural, hearing, or visual impairments.
    Results: This review included 12 studies and over 2036 infants born preterm with low grade IVH. Studies used 30 different neurodevelopmental tools to determine outcomes. There was conflicting evidence of the composite risk of neurodevelopmental impairment after low-grade IVH. There was evidence of an association between low-grade IVH and lower IQ at school age (-4.23, 95% confidence interval [CI] -7.53, -0.92, I
    Interpretation: This systematic review presents evidence that low-grade IVH is associated with specific neurodevelopmental impairments at school age, lending support to the theory that low-grade IVH is not a benign condition.
    What this paper adds: The functional impact of low-grade intraventricular haemorrhage (IVH) at school age is unknown. Low-grade IVH is associated with a lower IQ at school age. The risk of cerebral palsy is increased after low-grade IVH. Low-grade IVH is not associated with speech and language impairment.
    MeSH term(s) Infant, Newborn ; Infant ; Humans ; Child ; Infant, Premature ; Cerebral Palsy/complications ; Cerebral Hemorrhage/complications ; Cerebral Hemorrhage/epidemiology ; Language Development Disorders ; Infant, Premature, Diseases
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-07-24
    Publishing country England
    Document type Meta-Analysis ; Systematic Review ; Journal Article ; Review
    ZDB-ID 80369-8
    ISSN 1469-8749 ; 0012-1622
    ISSN (online) 1469-8749
    ISSN 0012-1622
    DOI 10.1111/dmcn.15713
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  6. Article: Improving quality of teaching and child development: A randomised controlled trial of the leadership for learning intervention in preschools.

    Siraj, Iram / Melhuish, Edward / Howard, Steven J / Neilsen-Hewett, Cathrine / Kingston, Denise / De Rosnay, Marc / Huang, Runke / Gardiner, Julian / Luu, Betty

    Frontiers in psychology

    2023  Volume 13, Page(s) 1092284

    Abstract: Introduction: Substantial research indicates that high quality early childhood education and care (ECEC) confers a wide range of benefits for children, yet quality in ECEC remains inconsistent. Given the variability in training and qualifications, one ... ...

    Abstract Introduction: Substantial research indicates that high quality early childhood education and care (ECEC) confers a wide range of benefits for children, yet quality in ECEC remains inconsistent. Given the variability in training and qualifications, one strategy for improving ECEC quality is in-service professional development (PD).
    Methods: The current study evaluated an evidence-based in-service PD programme, Leadership for Learning, via a cluster randomised controlled trial involving 83 ECEC services and 1,346 children in their final year of pre-school.
    Results: Results indicated significant improvements in teaching quality across treatment centres and child development outcomes in language, numeracy and social-emotional development.
    Discussion: This study provides strong support for making evidence-informed PD routinely available for ECEC practitioners.
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-01-04
    Publishing country Switzerland
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2563826-9
    ISSN 1664-1078
    ISSN 1664-1078
    DOI 10.3389/fpsyg.2022.1092284
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  7. Article ; Online: School-age outcomes of children after perinatal brain injury: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

    Rees, Philippa / Callan, Caitriona / Chadda, Karan / Vaal, Meriel / Diviney, James / Sabti, Shahad / Harnden, Fergus / Gardiner, Julian / Battersby, Cheryl / Gale, Chris / Sutcliffe, Alastair

    BMJ paediatrics open

    2023  Volume 7, Issue 1

    Abstract: Background: Over 3000 children suffer a perinatal brain injury in England every year according to national surveillance. The childhood outcomes of infants with perinatal brain injury are however unknown.: Methods: A systematic review and meta- ... ...

    Abstract Background: Over 3000 children suffer a perinatal brain injury in England every year according to national surveillance. The childhood outcomes of infants with perinatal brain injury are however unknown.
    Methods: A systematic review and meta-analyses were undertaken of studies published between 2000 and September 2021 exploring school-aged neurodevelopmental outcomes of children after perinatal brain injury compared with those without perinatal brain injury. The primary outcome was neurodevelopmental impairment, which included cognitive, motor, speech and language, behavioural, hearing or visual impairment after 5 years of age.
    Results: This review included 42 studies. Preterm infants with intraventricular haemorrhage (IVH) grades 3-4 were found to have a threefold greater risk of moderate-to-severe neurodevelopmental impairment at school age OR 3.69 (95% CI 1.7 to 7.98) compared with preterm infants without IVH. Infants with perinatal stroke had an increased incidence of hemiplegia 61% (95% CI 39.2% to 82.9%) and an increased risk of cognitive impairment (difference in full scale IQ -24.2 (95% CI -30.73 to -17.67) . Perinatal stroke was also associated with poorer academic performance; and lower mean receptive -20.88 (95% CI -36.66 to -5.11) and expressive language scores -20.25 (95% CI -34.36 to -6.13) on the Clinical Evaluation of Language Fundamentals (CELF) assessment. Studies reported an increased risk of persisting neurodevelopmental impairment at school age after neonatal meningitis. Cognitive impairment and special educational needs were highlighted after moderate-to-severe hypoxic-ischaemic encephalopathy. However, there were limited comparative studies providing school-aged outcome data across neurodevelopmental domains and few provided adjusted data. Findings were further limited by the heterogeneity of studies.
    Conclusions: Longitudinal population studies exploring childhood outcomes after perinatal brain injury are urgently needed to better enable clinicians to prepare affected families, and to facilitate targeted developmental support to help affected children reach their full potential.
    MeSH term(s) Infant ; Pregnancy ; Female ; Humans ; Infant, Newborn ; Child ; Infant, Premature ; Brain Injuries/epidemiology ; Infant, Premature, Diseases ; Cerebral Hemorrhage ; Stroke
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-06-05
    Publishing country England
    Document type Meta-Analysis ; Systematic Review ; Journal Article
    ISSN 2399-9772
    ISSN (online) 2399-9772
    DOI 10.1136/bmjpo-2022-001810
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  8. Article ; Online: Educational Progress of Looked-After Children in England: A Study Using Group Trajectory Analysis.

    Sutcliffe, Alastair G / Gardiner, Julian / Melhuish, Edward

    Pediatrics

    2017  Volume 140, Issue 3

    Abstract: Background: Looked-after children in local authority care are among the most disadvantaged, and measures of their well-being, including educational outcomes, are poorer than other children's.: Methods: The study sample consisted of all children in ... ...

    Abstract Background: Looked-after children in local authority care are among the most disadvantaged, and measures of their well-being, including educational outcomes, are poorer than other children's.
    Methods: The study sample consisted of all children in England born in academic years 1993 to 1994 through 1997 to 1998 who were in local authority care at any point during the academic years 2005 to 2006 through 2012 to 2013 and for whom results of national tests in literacy and numeracy were available at ages 7, 11, and 16 (
    Results: Group trajectory analysis of children's educational progress identified 5 trajectory groups: low achievement, late improvement, late decline, predominant, and high achievement. Being looked after earlier was associated with a higher probability of following a high achievement trajectory and a lower probability of following a late decline trajectory. For children first looked after between ages 7 and 16, having a longer total time looked after by age 16 was associated with a higher probability of following a high achievement trajectory. For children with poor outcomes at ages 7 and 11, being looked after by age 16 was associated with an increased chance of educational improvement by age 16.
    Conclusions: This study provides evidence that early entry into care can reduce the risk of poor educational outcomes. It also establishes group trajectory analysis as an effective method for analyzing the educational progress of looked-after children, with the particular strength that it allows factors associated with a late decline or improvement in educational progress to be identified.
    MeSH term(s) Achievement ; Adolescent ; Adoption ; Age Factors ; Child ; Child Welfare ; Educational Status ; England ; Female ; Foster Home Care ; Humans ; Male ; Orphanages ; Time Factors
    Language English
    Publishing date 2017-08-04
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 207677-9
    ISSN 1098-4275 ; 0031-4005
    ISSN (online) 1098-4275
    ISSN 0031-4005
    DOI 10.1542/peds.2017-0503
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  9. Article ; Online: Reduced Presentation of Biliary Atresia During the COVID-19 Lockdown: A Population Based Observational Study.

    Arshad, Adam / Sutcliffe, Alastair / Jain, Vandana / Alizai, Naved / Rajwal, Sanjay / Kelly, Deidre A / Dhawan, Anil / Sharif, Khalid / Gardiner, Julian / Davenport, Mark / Baker, Alastair

    Journal of pediatric gastroenterology and nutrition

    2023  Volume 76, Issue 4, Page(s) 424–427

    Abstract: Objective: The aim of this study was to assess whether there has been a change in presentations of biliary atresia (BA) in England and Wales during the first and second coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) lockdowns (January-June 2020 and 2021).: ... ...

    Abstract Objective: The aim of this study was to assess whether there has been a change in presentations of biliary atresia (BA) in England and Wales during the first and second coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) lockdowns (January-June 2020 and 2021).
    Design: This population study assessed all confirmed cases of BA, from January 2020 to December 2021 across the 3 UK pediatric liver centers originating from England and Wales. Data was then compared to the incidence of confirmed BA cases from January to December 2017, 2018, and 2019.
    Results: During January-June 2020 and 2021, there were only 8 and 12 presenting cases of BA in England and Wales, compared to 16, 13, and 18 for the same time periods in 2017, 2018, and 2019, respectively. This difference was significant in a two-sided t test for 2020 ( P = 0.035) but not for 2021 ( P = 0.385). There was no difference in the mean days to Kasai procedure in January-June 2020 and 2021 compared to 2017-2019; however average time to Kasai after the lockdown periods was significantly higher.
    Conclusions: There was a significant reduction in the presenting cases of BA during the first COVID-19 lockdown, with an increased time for BA referrals after the pandemic lockdowns were lifted in England and Wales.
    MeSH term(s) Child ; Humans ; Infant ; Biliary Atresia/epidemiology ; Biliary Atresia/surgery ; Liver Transplantation ; COVID-19/epidemiology ; COVID-19/prevention & control ; Communicable Disease Control ; Portoenterostomy, Hepatic
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-01-19
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Observational Study ; Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 603201-1
    ISSN 1536-4801 ; 0277-2116
    ISSN (online) 1536-4801
    ISSN 0277-2116
    DOI 10.1097/MPG.0000000000003706
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  10. Article ; Online: Cohort profile: a national, population-based cohort of children born after assisted conception in the UK (1992-2009): methodology and birthweight analysis.

    Purkayastha, Mitana / Roberts, Stephen A / Gardiner, Julian / Brison, Daniel R / Nelson, Scott M / Lawlor, Deborah / Luke, Barbara / Sutcliffe, Alastair

    BMJ open

    2021  Volume 11, Issue 7, Page(s) e050931

    Abstract: Purpose: To generate a large cohort of children born after assisted reproductive technology (ART) in the UK between 1992 and 2009, their naturally conceived siblings (NCS) and matched naturally conceived population (NCP) controls and linking this with ... ...

    Abstract Purpose: To generate a large cohort of children born after assisted reproductive technology (ART) in the UK between 1992 and 2009, their naturally conceived siblings (NCS) and matched naturally conceived population (NCP) controls and linking this with health outcome data to allow exploration of the effects of ART. The effects of fresh and frozen embryo transfer on birth weight (BW) were analysed to test the validity of the cohort.
    Participants: Children recorded on the Human Fertilisation and Embryology Authority (HFEA) register as being born after ART between 1992 and 2009, their NCS and matched NCP controls linked to Office for National Statistics birth registration dataset (HFEA-ONS cohort). This cohort was further linked to the UK Hospital Episode Statistics database to allow monitoring of the child's post-natal health outcomes up to 2015 (HFEA-ONS-HES subcohort).
    Findings to date: The HFEA-ONS cohort consisted of 75 348 children born after non-donor ART carried out in the UK between 1 April 1992 and 31 July 2009 and successfully linked to birth registration records, 14 763 NCS and 164 823 matched NCP controls. The HFEA-ONS-HES subcohort included 63 877 ART, 11 343 NCS and 127 544 matched NCP controls further linked to health outcome data. The exemplar analysis showed that children born after fresh embryo transfers were lighter (BW difference: -131 g, 95% CI: -140 to -123) and those born after frozen embryo transfers were heavier (BW difference: 35 g, 95% CI: 19 to 52) than the NCP controls. The within-sibling analyses were directionally consistent with the population control analyses, but attenuated markedly for the fresh versus natural conception (BW difference: -54 g; 95% CI: -72 to -36) and increased markedly for the frozen versus natural conception (BW difference: 152 g; 95% CI: 113 to 190) analyses.
    Future plans: To use this cohort to explore the relationship between ART conception and short-term and long-term health outcomes in offspring.
    MeSH term(s) Birth Weight ; Child ; Cohort Studies ; Embryo Transfer ; Fertilization ; Humans ; Reproductive Techniques, Assisted ; United Kingdom/epidemiology
    Language English
    Publishing date 2021-07-19
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
    ZDB-ID 2599832-8
    ISSN 2044-6055 ; 2044-6055
    ISSN (online) 2044-6055
    ISSN 2044-6055
    DOI 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-050931
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