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  1. Article: Meeting Paris agreement objectives will temper seabird winter distribution shifts in the North Atlantic Ocean

    Clairbaux, Manon / Cheung, William W. L / Mathewson, Paul / Porter, Warren / Courbin, Nicolas / Fort, Jérôme / Strøm, Hallvard / Moe, Børge / Fauchald, Per / Descamps, Sebastien / Helgason, Hálfdán / Bråthen, Vegard S / Merkel, Benjamin / Anker‐Nilssen, Tycho / Bringsvor, Ingar S / Chastel, Olivier / Christensen‐Dalsgaard, Signe / Danielsen, Jóhannis / Daunt, Francis /
    Dehnhard, Nina / Erikstad, Kjell‐Einar / Ezhov, Alexeï / Gavrilo, Maria / Krasnov, Yuri / Langset, Magdalene / Lorentsen, Svein‐Håkon / Newell, Mark / Olsen, Bergur / Reiertsen, Tone Kirstin / Systad, Geir / Þórarinsson, Þorkell L / Baran, Mark / Diamond, Tony / Fayet, Annette L / Fitzsimmons, Michelle G / Frederiksen, Morten / Gilchrist, Grant H / Guilford, Tim / Huffeldt, Nicholas P / Jessopp, Mark / Johansen, Kasper L / Kouwenberg, Amy L / Linnebjerg, Jannie F / McFarlane Tranquilla, Laura / Mallory, Mark / Merkel, Flemming R / Montevecchi, William / Mosbech, Anders / Petersen, Aevar / Grémillet, David

    Global change biology. 2021 Apr., v. 27, no. 7

    2021  

    Abstract: We explored the implications of reaching the Paris Agreement Objective of limiting global warming to <2°C for the future winter distribution of the North Atlantic seabird community. We predicted and quantified current and future winter habitats of five ... ...

    Abstract We explored the implications of reaching the Paris Agreement Objective of limiting global warming to <2°C for the future winter distribution of the North Atlantic seabird community. We predicted and quantified current and future winter habitats of five North Atlantic Ocean seabird species (Alle alle, Fratercula arctica, Uria aalge, Uria lomvia and Rissa tridactyla) using tracking data for ~1500 individuals through resource selection functions based on mechanistic modeling of seabird energy requirements, and a dynamic bioclimate envelope model of seabird prey. Future winter distributions were predicted to shift with climate change, especially when global warming exceed 2°C under a “no mitigation” scenario, modifying seabird wintering hotspots in the North Atlantic Ocean. Our findings suggest that meeting Paris agreement objectives will limit changes in seabird selected habitat location and size in the North Atlantic Ocean during the 21st century. We thereby provide key information for the design of adaptive marine‐protected areas in a changing ocean.
    Keywords Fratercula ; Rissa tridactyla ; United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change ; Uria aalge ; Uria lomvia ; bioclimate ; energy ; habitats ; seabirds ; Atlantic Ocean
    Language English
    Dates of publication 2021-04
    Size p. 1457-1469.
    Publishing place John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
    Document type Article
    Note NAL-AP-2-clean ; JOURNAL ARTICLE
    ZDB-ID 1281439-8
    ISSN 1365-2486 ; 1354-1013
    ISSN (online) 1365-2486
    ISSN 1354-1013
    DOI 10.1111/gcb.15497
    Database NAL-Catalogue (AGRICOLA)

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  2. Article ; Online: Meeting Paris agreement objectives will temper seabird winter distribution shifts in the North Atlantic Ocean.

    Clairbaux, Manon / Cheung, William W L / Mathewson, Paul / Porter, Warren / Courbin, Nicolas / Fort, Jérôme / Strøm, Hallvard / Moe, Børge / Fauchald, Per / Descamps, Sebastien / Helgason, Hálfdán / Bråthen, Vegard S / Merkel, Benjamin / Anker-Nilssen, Tycho / Bringsvor, Ingar S / Chastel, Olivier / Christensen-Dalsgaard, Signe / Danielsen, Jóhannis / Daunt, Francis /
    Dehnhard, Nina / Erikstad, Kjell-Einar / Ezhov, Alexeï / Gavrilo, Maria / Krasnov, Yuri / Langset, Magdalene / Lorentsen, Svein-Håkon / Newell, Mark / Olsen, Bergur / Reiertsen, Tone Kirstin / Systad, Geir / Þórarinsson, Þorkell L / Baran, Mark / Diamond, Tony / Fayet, Annette L / Fitzsimmons, Michelle G / Frederiksen, Morten / Gilchrist, Grant H / Guilford, Tim / Huffeldt, Nicholas P / Jessopp, Mark / Johansen, Kasper L / Kouwenberg, Amy L / Linnebjerg, Jannie F / McFarlane Tranquilla, Laura / Mallory, Mark / Merkel, Flemming R / Montevecchi, William / Mosbech, Anders / Petersen, Aevar / Grémillet, David

    Global change biology

    2021  Volume 27, Issue 7, Page(s) 1457–1469

    Abstract: We explored the implications of reaching the Paris Agreement Objective of limiting global warming to <2°C for the future winter distribution of the North Atlantic seabird community. We predicted and quantified current and future winter habitats of five ... ...

    Abstract We explored the implications of reaching the Paris Agreement Objective of limiting global warming to <2°C for the future winter distribution of the North Atlantic seabird community. We predicted and quantified current and future winter habitats of five North Atlantic Ocean seabird species (Alle alle, Fratercula arctica, Uria aalge, Uria lomvia and Rissa tridactyla) using tracking data for ~1500 individuals through resource selection functions based on mechanistic modeling of seabird energy requirements, and a dynamic bioclimate envelope model of seabird prey. Future winter distributions were predicted to shift with climate change, especially when global warming exceed 2°C under a "no mitigation" scenario, modifying seabird wintering hotspots in the North Atlantic Ocean. Our findings suggest that meeting Paris agreement objectives will limit changes in seabird selected habitat location and size in the North Atlantic Ocean during the 21st century. We thereby provide key information for the design of adaptive marine-protected areas in a changing ocean.
    MeSH term(s) Animals ; Atlantic Ocean ; Climate Change ; Ecosystem ; Humans ; Paris ; Seasons
    Language English
    Publishing date 2021-01-20
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 1281439-8
    ISSN 1365-2486 ; 1354-1013
    ISSN (online) 1365-2486
    ISSN 1354-1013
    DOI 10.1111/gcb.15497
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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