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Article ; Online: Spatial model of Ebola outbreaks contained by behavior change.

Halvorsen, Gustav S / Simonsen, Lone / Sneppen, Kim

PloS one

2022  Volume 17, Issue 3, Page(s) e0264425

Abstract: The West African Ebola (2014-2016) epidemic caused an estimated 11.310 deaths and massive social and economic disruption. The epidemic was comprised of many local outbreaks of varying sizes. However, often local outbreaks recede before the arrival of ... ...

Abstract The West African Ebola (2014-2016) epidemic caused an estimated 11.310 deaths and massive social and economic disruption. The epidemic was comprised of many local outbreaks of varying sizes. However, often local outbreaks recede before the arrival of international aid or susceptible depletion. We modeled Ebola virus transmission under the effect of behavior changes acting as a local inhibitor. A spatial model is used to simulate Ebola epidemics. Our findings suggest that behavior changes can explain why local Ebola outbreaks recede before substantial international aid was mobilized during the 2014-2016 epidemic.
MeSH term(s) Africa, Western/epidemiology ; Disease Outbreaks ; Ebolavirus ; Epidemics ; Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola ; Humans
Language English
Publishing date 2022-03-14
Publishing country United States
Document type Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
ZDB-ID 2267670-3
ISSN 1932-6203 ; 1932-6203
ISSN (online) 1932-6203
ISSN 1932-6203
DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0264425
Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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