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Book ; Online: A Macroeconometric Model for Saudi Arabia

Hasanov, Fakhri J / Joutz, Frederick L / Mikayilov, Jeyhun I / Javid, Muhammad

A Case Study on the World's Largest Oil Exporter

(SpringerBriefs in Economics)

2023

Series title	SpringerBriefs in Economics
Keywords	Econometrics ; Macroeconomics ; Environmental economics ; Energy technology & engineering ; Saudi Arabia ; Macroeconometric model ; Equilibrium correction modeling ; Autometrics ; General-to-specific modeling strategy ; Energy price reform ; Saudi Vision 2030
Language	English
Size	1 electronic resource (169 pages)
Publisher	Springer Nature
Publishing place	Cham
Document type	Book ; Online
Note	English
HBZ-ID	HT030379650
ISBN	9783031122750 ; 3031122755
Database	ZB MED Catalogue: Medicine, Health, Nutrition, Environment, Agriculture

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Book ; Online: A Macroeconometric Model for Saudi Arabia

Hasanov, Fakhri J. / Joutz, Frederick L. / Mikayilov, Jeyhun I. / Javid, Muhammad

A Case Study on the World’s Largest Oil Exporter

(SpringerBriefs in Economics)

2023

Author's details	by Fakhri J. Hasanov, Frederick L. Joutz, Jeyhun I. Mikayilov, Muhammad Javid
Series title	SpringerBriefs in Economics
Keywords	Econometrics ; Macroeconomics ; Power resources ; Environmental economics ; Energy policy ; Energy and state
Subject code	330.015195
Language	English
Size	1 Online-Ressource (XI, 169 p. 16 illus., 14 illus. in color)
Edition	1st ed. 2023
Publisher	Springer International Publishing ; Imprint: Springer
Publishing place	Cham
Document type	Book ; Online
HBZ-ID	HT021680309
ISBN	978-3-031-12275-0 ; 9783031122743 ; 9783031122767 ; 3-031-12275-5 ; 3031122747 ; 3031122763
DOI	10.1007/978-3-031-12275-0
Database	ZB MED Catalogue: Medicine, Health, Nutrition, Environment, Agriculture

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Article ; Online: Estimating different order polynomial logarithmic environmental Kuznets curves.

Hasanov, Fakhri J / Hunt, Lester C / Mikayilov, Jeyhun I

Environmental science and pollution research international

2021 Volume 28, Issue 31, Page(s) 41965–41987

Abstract: This paper contributes to the environmental literature by (i) demonstrating that the estimated coefficients and the statistical significance of the non-leading terms in quadratic, cubic, and quartic logarithmic environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) ... ...

Abstract	This paper contributes to the environmental literature by (i) demonstrating that the estimated coefficients and the statistical significance of the non-leading terms in quadratic, cubic, and quartic logarithmic environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) specifications are arbitrary and should therefore not be used to choose the preferred specification and (ii) detailing a proposed general-to-specific type methodology for choosing the appropriate specifications when attempting to estimate higher-order polynomials such as cubic and quartic logarithmic EKC relationships. Testing for the existence and shape of the well-known EKC phenomenon is a hot topic in the environmental economics literature. The conventional approach widely employs quadratic and cubic specifications and more recently also the quartic specification, where the variables are in logarithmic form. However, it is important that researchers understand whether the estimated EKC coefficients, turning points, and elasticities are statistically acceptable, economically interpretable, and comparable. In addition, it is vital that researchers have a clear structured non-arbitrary methodology for determining the preferred specification and hence shape of the estimated EKC. We therefore show mathematically and empirically the arbitrary nature of estimated non-leading coefficients in quadratic, cubic, and quartic logarithmic EKC specifications, being dependent upon the units of measurement chosen for the independent variables (e.g. dependent upon a rescaling of the variables such as moving from $m to $bn). Consequently, the practice followed in many previously papers, whereby the estimates of the non-leading terms are used in the decision to choose the preferred specification of an estimated EKC relationship, is incorrect and should not be followed since it potentially could lead to misleading conclusions. Instead, it should be based upon the sign and statistical significance of the estimated coefficients of the leading terms, the location of turning point(s), and the sign and statistical significance of the estimated elasticities. Furthermore, we suggest that researchers should follow a proposed general-to-specific type methodology for choosing the appropriate order of polynomials when attempting to estimate higher-order polynomial logarithmic EKCs.
MeSH term(s)	Algorithms ; Carbon Dioxide ; Economic Development ; Humans
Chemical Substances	Carbon Dioxide (142M471B3J)
Language	English
Publishing date	2021-04-01
Publishing country	Germany
Document type	Journal Article
ZDB-ID	1178791-0
ISSN	1614-7499 ; 0944-1344
ISSN (online)	1614-7499
ISSN	0944-1344
DOI	10.1007/s11356-021-13463-y
Database	MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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Article: Cost, emission, and macroeconomic implications of diesel displacement in the Saudi agricultural sector: Options and policy insights

Elshurafa, Amro M. / Alatawi, Hatem / Hasanov, Fakhri J. / Algahtani, Goblan J. / Felder, Frank A.

Energy policy. 2022 Sept., v. 168

2022

Abstract: The Saudi agricultural sector relies on diesel for irrigation that is provided to farmers at a price much lower than the average global price, implying significant opportunity costs. By soft-coupling power and macroeconometric models, we assessed cost ... ...

Abstract	The Saudi agricultural sector relies on diesel for irrigation that is provided to farmers at a price much lower than the average global price, implying significant opportunity costs. By soft-coupling power and macroeconometric models, we assessed cost and economic (macro and sectoral) implications of electrifying irrigation activities in the Saudi agricultural sector via three scenarios: electrifying each individual farm with a dedicated hybrid renewable micro-grid, electrifying the entire farm cluster with central generation, and connecting the entire cluster to the national grid. Compared with the base-case, connecting the farm cluster to the national grid was the most economic but least environmentally friendly. The renewable and central generation scenarios were costlier due to high battery costs and gas infrastructure needed, respectively. Further, the financial viability of the renewable microgrid option depends on the opportunity cost assumption. From an economic (macro and sectoral) perspective, we found that: (i) job and value-added creation effects of saved-diesel spending from export revenues is positive, but quite small implying the more diesel displaced the more benefits realized, (ii) sectoral-specific spending is more growth- and employment-enhancing than general-spending of the government suggesting taking measures to further enhance the efficiency of governmental spending as highlighted in the Fiscal Sustainability Program.
Keywords	agricultural industry ; batteries ; economic sustainability ; energy policy ; exports ; farms ; infrastructure ; irrigation ; macroeconomics ; opportunity costs ; prices ; value added
Language	English
Dates of publication	2022-09
Publishing place	Elsevier Ltd
Document type	Article
ISSN	0301-4215
DOI	10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113090
Database	NAL-Catalogue (AGRICOLA)

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Article: Estimating different order polynomial logarithmic environmental Kuznets curves

Hasanov, Fakhri J. / Hunt, Lester C. / Mikayilov, Jeyhun I.

Environmental science and pollution research. 2021 Aug., v. 28, no. 31

2021

Abstract	This paper contributes to the environmental literature by (i) demonstrating that the estimated coefficients and the statistical significance of the non-leading terms in quadratic, cubic, and quartic logarithmic environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) specifications are arbitrary and should therefore not be used to choose the preferred specification and (ii) detailing a proposed general-to-specific type methodology for choosing the appropriate specifications when attempting to estimate higher-order polynomials such as cubic and quartic logarithmic EKC relationships. Testing for the existence and shape of the well-known EKC phenomenon is a hot topic in the environmental economics literature. The conventional approach widely employs quadratic and cubic specifications and more recently also the quartic specification, where the variables are in logarithmic form. However, it is important that researchers understand whether the estimated EKC coefficients, turning points, and elasticities are statistically acceptable, economically interpretable, and comparable. In addition, it is vital that researchers have a clear structured non-arbitrary methodology for determining the preferred specification and hence shape of the estimated EKC. We therefore show mathematically and empirically the arbitrary nature of estimated non-leading coefficients in quadratic, cubic, and quartic logarithmic EKC specifications, being dependent upon the units of measurement chosen for the independent variables (e.g. dependent upon a rescaling of the variables such as moving from $m to $bn). Consequently, the practice followed in many previously papers, whereby the estimates of the non-leading terms are used in the decision to choose the preferred specification of an estimated EKC relationship, is incorrect and should not be followed since it potentially could lead to misleading conclusions. Instead, it should be based upon the sign and statistical significance of the estimated coefficients of the leading terms, the location of turning point(s), and the sign and statistical significance of the estimated elasticities. Furthermore, we suggest that researchers should follow a proposed general-to-specific type methodology for choosing the appropriate order of polynomials when attempting to estimate higher-order polynomial logarithmic EKCs.
Keywords	environmental Kuznets curve ; pollution ; research
Language	English
Dates of publication	2021-08
Size	p. 41965-41987.
Publishing place	Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Document type	Article
ZDB-ID	1178791-0
ISSN	1614-7499 ; 0944-1344
ISSN (online)	1614-7499
ISSN	0944-1344
DOI	10.1007/s11356-021-13463-y
Database	NAL-Catalogue (AGRICOLA)

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Article: Decoupling of CO2 emissions and GDP: A time-varying cointegration approach

Mikayilov, Jeyhun I / Hasanov, Fakhri J / Galeotti, Marzio

Ecological indicators. 2018 Dec., v. 95

2018

Abstract: The relationship between CO2 emissions, the main gas responsible for global warming, and economic growth is among the most studied themes of environmental economics. Reducing overall emissions while keeping a high pace of economic development is at the ... ...

Abstract	The relationship between CO2 emissions, the main gas responsible for global warming, and economic growth is among the most studied themes of environmental economics. Reducing overall emissions while keeping a high pace of economic development is at the heart of the sustainable development concept. When emissions grow less rapidly than GDP environmental economists speak of relative decoupling; if emissions even decrease relative to the pace of economic growth, then decoupling is absolute. Assessing these options requires an empirical analysis of the emissions-GDP relationship. The study of this nexus has special importance for developed countries, given their historical responsibility towards global warming. At the same time, in the last decades, the same countries have been at the forefront of the fight against climate change in terms of emissions-reduction efforts. By applying cutting-edge econometric techniques, this paper aims to investigate the decoupling options, if any, for a group of European economies which can be considered as pioneers in pursuing the sustainable development goals. This question gains further importance considering that some recent studies have found positive GDP elasticities of emissions for certain developed countries, which may be seen as a cause of concern for the sustainable development path of such countries. Unlike the bulk of the literature, in this paper, we allow the income elasticity of emissions – a critical indicator for the study of decoupling – to vary over time. The reason is that the elasticity might change through the time due to the factors affecting the main drivers of the CO2 emissions. We use a time-varying coefficients cointegration approach to investigate the CO2 emissions-GDP relationship for 12 Western European countries over a long time period ranging from 1861 to 2015. Our main finding is that the income elasticity of CO2 emissions is positive in all investigated countries. In addition, we find evidence in favor of relative decoupling in 8 out of the 12 European countries. This is in line with the fact that the selected European countries have shown more determination in adopting carbon reduction policies before and after the Kyoto protocol period and toward the Paris agreement compared to other leading economies such as China, United States, and Russia. For the remaining 4 cases, the income elasticity of CO2 emissions is in excess of unity. This can be considered as a call for policymakers to take quick and relevant measures to mitigate emissions level without harming the economic development.
Keywords	carbon ; carbon dioxide ; developed countries ; economists ; empirical research ; environmental economics ; environmental indicators ; global warming ; greenhouse gas emissions ; income elasticities ; issues and policy ; protocols ; sustainable development ; China ; Russia ; United States ; Western European region
Language	English
Dates of publication	2018-12
Size	p. 615-628.
Publishing place	Elsevier Ltd
Document type	Article
ZDB-ID	2036774-0
ISSN	1872-7034 ; 1470-160X
ISSN (online)	1872-7034
ISSN	1470-160X
DOI	10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.07.051
Database	NAL-Catalogue (AGRICOLA)

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Article: The impact of economic growth on CO2 emissions in Azerbaijan

Mikayilov, Jeyhun I / Galeotti, Marzio / Hasanov, Fakhri J

Journal of cleaner production. 2018 Oct. 01, v. 197

2018

Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between the economic growth and CO2 emissions in Azerbaijan. A cointegration analysis is conducted over the period 1992–2013. For getting more robust results, Johansen, ARDLBT, DOLS, FMOLS and CCR methods are ... ...

Abstract	This paper investigates the relationship between the economic growth and CO2 emissions in Azerbaijan. A cointegration analysis is conducted over the period 1992–2013. For getting more robust results, Johansen, ARDLBT, DOLS, FMOLS and CCR methods are employed to explore cointegration and estimate long-run coefficients. We use cubic, quadratic and linear specifications and conclude that the last one is an adequate representation for the impact of the economic growth on CO2 emissions in Azerbaijan. The results from the different cointegration methods are consistent with each other and show that the economic growth has a positive and statistically significant impact on the emissions in the long-run implying that the EKC hypothesis does not hold for Azerbaijan. The income elasticity of CO2 emissions, using different methods, is found to be between 0.7 and 0.8. Moreover, we find that any short-run imbalance can be adjusted towards the long-run equilibrium path within less than one year. The paper concludes that measures to increase energy efficiency, carbon pricing instruments in production and international-domestic trade activities, and nationwide social awareness programs to instruct about the negative consequences of pollution can be considered as relevant environmental policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions.
Keywords	carbon ; carbon dioxide ; carbon markets ; economic development ; energy efficiency ; environmental policy ; greenhouse gas emissions ; income elasticities ; pollution ; time series analysis ; trade ; Azerbaijan
Language	English
Dates of publication	2018-1001
Size	p. 1558-1572.
Publishing place	Elsevier Ltd
Document type	Article
ISSN	0959-6526
DOI	10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.06.269
Database	NAL-Catalogue (AGRICOLA)

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Article ; Online: Correction to: Does CO

Hasanov, Fakhri J / Mikayilov, Jeyhun I / Mukhtarov, Shahriyar / Suleymanov, Elchin

Environmental science and pollution research international

2019 Volume 26, Issue 34, Page(s) 35282

Abstract: The article Does ... ...

Abstract	The article Does CO
Language	English
Publishing date	2019-10-16
Publishing country	Germany
Document type	Published Erratum
ZDB-ID	1178791-0
ISSN	1614-7499 ; 0944-1344
ISSN (online)	1614-7499
ISSN	0944-1344
DOI	10.1007/s11356-019-06464-5
Database	MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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Article ; Online: Does CO

Hasanov, Fakhri J / Mikayilov, Jeyhun I / Mukhtarov, Shahriyar / Suleymanov, Elchin

Environmental science and pollution research international

2019 Volume 26, Issue 29, Page(s) 30229–30241

Abstract: This paper investigates the ... ...

Abstract	This paper investigates the CO
MeSH term(s)	Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; Developing Countries ; Economic Development/statistics & numerical data ; Economic Development/trends ; Environmental Policy/economics ; Environmental Pollution/analysis ; Environmental Pollution/economics ; Income ; Kazakhstan ; Renewable Energy/economics ; Renewable Energy/statistics & numerical data
Chemical Substances	Carbon Dioxide (142M471B3J)
Language	English
Publishing date	2019-08-17
Publishing country	Germany
Document type	Journal Article
ZDB-ID	1178791-0
ISSN	1614-7499 ; 0944-1344
ISSN (online)	1614-7499
ISSN	0944-1344
DOI	10.1007/s11356-019-06166-y
Database	MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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Article: Does CO2 emissions–economic growth relationship reveal EKC in developing countries? Evidence from Kazakhstan

Hasanov, Fakhri J / Mikayilov, Jeyhun I / Mukhtarov, Shahriyar / Suleymanov, Elchin

Environmental science and pollution research international. 2019 Oct., v. 26, no. 29

2019

Abstract: This paper investigates the CO2 emissions–economic growth relationship in Kazakhstan for the period 1992–2013. Johansen, ARDLBT, DOLS, FMOLS, and CCR cointegration methods are used for robustness purpose. We start with the cubic functional form to rule ... ...

Abstract	This paper investigates the CO2 emissions–economic growth relationship in Kazakhstan for the period 1992–2013. Johansen, ARDLBT, DOLS, FMOLS, and CCR cointegration methods are used for robustness purpose. We start with the cubic functional form to rule out any misleading results that can be caused by misspecification. Although the estimation results suggest “U”-shaped relationship, the turning point of income is out of the period. It means that the impact of economic growth on CO2 is monotonically increasing in the long run indicating the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis does not hold for Kazakhstan. Moreover, we calculate that the income elasticity of CO2 is about unity. The paper concludes that the Kazakhstani policymakers should focus on less energy-intensive sectors as well as using more renewable energy in order to avoid higher pollution effects of economic growth. They may also set new policy regulations for CO2 reduction.
Keywords	carbon dioxide ; developing countries ; environmental Kuznets curve ; income ; income elasticities ; issues and policy ; pollution ; renewable energy sources ; Kazakhstan
Language	English
Dates of publication	2019-10
Size	p. 30229-30241.
Publishing place	Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Document type	Article
ZDB-ID	1178791-0
ISSN	1614-7499 ; 0944-1344
ISSN (online)	1614-7499
ISSN	0944-1344
DOI	10.1007/s11356-019-06166-y
Database	NAL-Catalogue (AGRICOLA)

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