Article: Recent and Projected Trends in Oral Tongue Cancer in the United States: A Demographic Shift in Case Burden as Early Onset Increases Among Females Subside.
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2023
Abstract: Background: Oral tongue cancer (OTC) incidence has increased rapidly among young (< 50 years) non-Hispanic White (NHW) individuals in the United States (U.S.) over the last two decades; however, it is unknown if age-associated trajectories have ... ...
Abstract | Background: Oral tongue cancer (OTC) incidence has increased rapidly among young (< 50 years) non-Hispanic White (NHW) individuals in the United States (U.S.) over the last two decades; however, it is unknown if age-associated trajectories have persisted. Furthermore, incidence trends for all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia have never been investigated. Materials and methods: Using U.S. Cancer Statistics data, we investigated incidence trends from 2001-2019, overall and according to age, sex, race/ethnicity, and state of residence. We used age-period-cohort analysis to explore temporal patterns among birth cohorts and to project future trends and case counts. Results: OTC incidence increased across all age, sex, and racial/ethnic groups, with marked increases observed among the NHWs (2.9%/year; 95%CI, 2.2%-3.7%). Incidence among NHWs increased in most U.S. states, particularly in the Southeast. Increases were significantly greater among NHW females compared to males (3.6%/year vs 2.6%/year; Conclusion: The period of rapidly increasing OTC incidence among younger NHW females in the U.S. is tempering and giving way to greater increases among older females, suggesting that a birth cohort effect may have influenced previously observed trends. Recent increases among NHWs aged ≥ 50 of both sexes have matched or outpaced younger age groups. Continuing increases among older individuals, particularly females, will lead to a shift in the OTC patient profile over time. |
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Language | English |
Publishing date | 2023-09-22 |
Publishing country | United States |
Document type | Preprint |
DOI | 10.21203/rs.3.rs-3359293/v1 |
Database | MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE |
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