Article ; Online: Persistent Pandemics.
2021 Volume 43, Page(s) 101044
Abstract: We ask whether mortality from historical pandemics has any predictive content for mortality in the Covid-19 pandemic. We find strong persistence in public health performance. Places that performed worse in terms of mortality in the 1918 influenza ... ...
| Abstract | We ask whether mortality from historical pandemics has any predictive content for mortality in the Covid-19 pandemic. We find strong persistence in public health performance. Places that performed worse in terms of mortality in the 1918 influenza pandemic also have higher Covid-19 mortality today. This is true across countries as well as across a sample of large US cities. Experience with SARS in 2003 is associated with slightly lower mortality today. We discuss some socio-political factors that may account for persistence including distrust of expert advice, lack of cooperation, over-confidence, and health care supply shortages. Multi-generational effects of past pandemics may also matter. |
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| MeSH term(s) | COVID-19 ; Humans ; Pandemics ; Politics ; Public Health ; SARS-CoV-2 |
| Language | English |
| Publishing date | 2021-07-17 |
| Publishing country | Netherlands |
| Document type | Journal Article ; Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural |
| ZDB-ID | 2099749-8 |
| ISSN | 1873-6130 ; 1570-677X |
| ISSN (online) | 1873-6130 |
| ISSN | 1570-677X |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.ehb.2021.101044 |
| Database | MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE |
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