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  1. AU="Mihaylov, Emil"
  2. AU="Ishida, Takuya"
  3. AU="Psaila, Bethan"
  4. AU="Saletti, Veronica"
  5. AU=Le Tortorec Anna AU=Le Tortorec Anna
  6. AU="Dong, Jing"
  7. AU="Wang, Mengdie"
  8. AU=Lock R J
  9. AU="Nghiem, Long D"
  10. AU="Xuanchen Wan"
  11. AU="Munaf S. Majeed"
  12. AU="Jashari, Ramadan"
  13. AU="Aryanpour, Mahshid"
  14. AU="Mattea, Violeta"
  15. AU="De Chiara, Annarosaria"
  16. AU=He Yunxia
  17. AU="Pérez-Samartín, Alberto"
  18. AU="Satapathy, Sujata"
  19. AU="Peate, David W"
  20. AU="Myers, Andrew G"
  21. AU=Wu Yu-Ping
  22. AU="Mann, Hashim"
  23. AU="Dahl, Jim Andre"
  24. AU="Chiu, Peter Ka-Fung"
  25. AU=Agbehadji Israel Edem
  26. AU="Canard, Naomie"
  27. AU="Buhl Sebastian"
  28. AU="Haller, Gunther"

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  1. Buch ; Artikel ; Online: Working from Home in the Netherlands

    Mihaylov, Emil

    Looking Inside the Blackbox of Work and Occupations

    2022  

    Abstract: The paper provides new evidence on the ability to work from home (WFH) for hundreds of Dutch occupations and examines how WFH is related to various occupation-specific characteristics. This is done by linking several publicly available datasets from ... ...

    Abstract The paper provides new evidence on the ability to work from home (WFH) for hundreds of Dutch occupations and examines how WFH is related to various occupation-specific characteristics. This is done by linking several publicly available datasets from Statistics Netherlands, which contain different occupation-specific information (e.g., tasks descriptions, measures of physical and socio-psychological workload, autonomy of work, computer use at work, workplace accidents and injuries, job satisfaction and job turnover, actual WFH, etc.). The paper finds that WFH is possible only in high and mid-skilled occupations such as managers, professionals, technicians and associate professionals, and clerical support workers, while it is nearly impossible in low-skilled professions such as plant and machine operators and elementary occupations. Around 16% of the employed persons in the Netherlands work in occupations that cannot be done from home, 24% work in occupations that can be performed entirely from home, and 54% are employed in occupations with significant possibilities to WFH (i.e., their occupations contain 50% or more teleworkable tasks). Furthermore, the ability to WFH is negatively related to physical work, repetitive work, and dangerous work and positively related to working on screens and independence at work. The potential to WFH is also positively correlated with job satisfaction and negatively correlated with victimisation at work (i.e., intimidation, violence, bullying, unwanted sexual attention), incidence and duration of sick leave, and work-related reasons for sick leave. The analyses in the paper are of a descriptive nature.
    Schlagwörter ddc:330 ; J21 ; J22 ; J24 ; J29 ; J81 ; working from home ; occupations ; job tasks ; Netherlands ; Covid-19
    Thema/Rubrik (Code) 331
    Sprache Englisch
    Verlag Amsterdam and Rotterdam: Tinbergen Institute
    Erscheinungsland de
    Dokumenttyp Buch ; Artikel ; Online
    Datenquelle BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (Lebenswissenschaftliche Auswahl)

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  2. Buch ; Artikel ; Online: Returns to routine job tasks in the German labour market

    Mihaylov, Emil

    An instrumental variables approach

    2021  

    Abstract: This paper studies the impact of routine job tasks on workers wages in the German labour market. Using nationally representative data from the German Employment Survey, the paper finds that routine job tasks are negatively and significantly associated ... ...

    Abstract This paper studies the impact of routine job tasks on workers wages in the German labour market. Using nationally representative data from the German Employment Survey, the paper finds that routine job tasks are negatively and significantly associated with workers hourly wages; the negative effect of routine tasks is most pronounced in high-skilled non-routine occupations where routine tasks are found to carry a substantial wage penalty. In order to account for the endogeneity of routine job tasks, the analysis employs an instrumental variable approach. The individual routine task-intensity of German workers in 2012 is instrumented with the routine task-intensity of the father's occupation in 1979 and the routine task-intensity of the workers' own occupation in 1979. The estimation procedure rests on the assumption that the two instruments are uncorrelated with the error term in the wage equation, conditional on a detailed set of individual, job, firm, industry and occupation-specific variables. Although the exogeneity of the instruments cannot be tested formally, the paper provides an extensive discussion of the instruments' validity and shows that the estimated negative effect is not sensitive to different model specifications, different definitions of the endogenous and instrumental variables, and different sample selection rules.
    Schlagwörter ddc:330 ; J01 ; J24 ; J30 ; job tasks ; wages ; instrumental variables ; parents' occupation ; Germany
    Thema/Rubrik (Code) 331
    Sprache Englisch
    Verlag Amsterdam and Rotterdam: Tinbergen Institute
    Erscheinungsland de
    Dokumenttyp Buch ; Artikel ; Online
    Datenquelle BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (Lebenswissenschaftliche Auswahl)

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  3. Artikel ; Online: Pandemic-era uncertainty

    Meyer, Brent / Mihaylov, Emil / Barrero, Jose Maria / Davis, Steven J. / Altig, David / Bloom, Nicholas

    2022  

    Abstract: We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one-year VIX and our ... ...

    Abstract We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level uncertainty at a one-year forecast horizon doubled at the onset of the pandemic and then fell about half-way back to pre-pandemic levels by mid-2021. Second, and in contrast, the 1-month VIX, a Twitter-based Economic Uncertainty Index, and macro forecaster disagreement all rose sharply in reaction to the pandemic but retrenched almost completely by mid-2021. Third, Categorical Policy Uncertainty Indexes highlight the changing sources of uncertainty-from healthcare and fiscal policy uncertainty in spring 2020 to elevated uncertainty around monetary policy and national security as of May 2022. Fourth, firm-level risk perceptions skewed heavily to the downside in spring 2020 but shifted rapidly to the upside from fall 2020 onwards. Perceived upside uncertainty remains highly elevated as of early 2022. Fifth, our survey evidence suggests that elevated uncertainty is exerting only mild restraint on capital investment plans for 2022 and 2023, perhaps because perceived risks are so skewed to the upside.
    Schlagwörter ddc:650 ; uncertainty ; business expectations ; capital investments ; subjective forecast distributions
    Thema/Rubrik (Code) 338
    Sprache Englisch
    Verlag Basel: MDPI
    Erscheinungsland de
    Dokumenttyp Artikel ; Online
    Datenquelle BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (Lebenswissenschaftliche Auswahl)

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  4. Buch ; Artikel ; Online: The Shift to Remote Work Lessens Wage-Growth Pressures

    Barrero, Jose Maria / Bloom, Nicholas / Davis, Steven J. / Meyer, Brent / Mihaylov, Emil

    2022  

    Abstract: The recent shift to remote work raised the amenity value of employment. As compensation adjusts to share the amenity-value gains with employers, wage-growth pressures moderate. We find empirical support for this mechanism in the wage-setting behavior of ... ...

    Abstract The recent shift to remote work raised the amenity value of employment. As compensation adjusts to share the amenity-value gains with employers, wage-growth pressures moderate. We find empirical support for this mechanism in the wage-setting behavior of U.S. employers, and we develop novel survey data to quantify its force. Our data imply a cumulative wage-growth moderation of 2.0 percentage points over two years. This moderation offsets more than half the real-wage catchup effect that Blanchard (2022) highlights in his analysis of near- term inflation pressures. The amenity-values gains associated with the recent rise of remote work also lower labor's share of national income by 1.1 percentage points. In addition, the "unexpected compression" of wages since early 2020 (Autor and Dube, 2022) is partly explained by the same amenity-value effect, which operates differentially across the earnings distribution.
    Schlagwörter ddc:330 ; J3 ; E31 ; D22 ; E24 ; E25 ; inflation dynamics ; wage growth ; amenity value ; remote work ; recession risk ; business expectations ; labor’s share of national income ; wage compression
    Thema/Rubrik (Code) 331
    Sprache Englisch
    Verlag Bonn: Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
    Erscheinungsland de
    Dokumenttyp Buch ; Artikel ; Online
    Datenquelle BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (Lebenswissenschaftliche Auswahl)

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  5. Buch ; Artikel ; Online: Pandemic-Era Uncertainty

    Meyer, Brent / Mihaylov, Emil / Barrero, Jose Maria / Davis, Steven J. / Altig, David / Bloom, Nicholas

    2022  

    Abstract: We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one-year VIX and our ... ...

    Abstract We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level uncertainty at a one-year forecast horizon doubled at the onset of the pandemic and then fell about half-way back to pre-pandemic levels by mid 2021. Second, and in contrast, the 1-month VIX, a Twitter-based Economic Uncertainty Index, and macro forecaster disagreement all rose sharply in reaction to the pandemic but retrenched almost completely by mid 2021. Third, Categorical Policy Uncertainty Indexes highlight the changing sources of uncertainty – from healthcare and fiscal policy uncertainty in spring 2020 to elevated uncertainty around monetary policy and national security as of March 2022. Fourth, firm-level risk perceptions skewed heavily to the downside in spring 2020 but shifted rapidly to the upside from fall 2020 onwards. Perceived upside uncertainty remains highly elevated as of early 2022. Fifth, our survey evidence suggests that elevated uncertainty is exerting only mild restraint on capital investment plans for 2022 and 2023, perhaps because perceived risks are so skewed to the upside.
    Schlagwörter ddc:330 ; D80 ; E22 ; E32 ; business expectations ; uncertainty ; subjective forecast distributions ; capital investments ; COVID-19
    Thema/Rubrik (Code) 338
    Sprache Englisch
    Verlag Bonn: Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
    Erscheinungsland de
    Dokumenttyp Buch ; Artikel ; Online
    Datenquelle BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (Lebenswissenschaftliche Auswahl)

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  6. Buch ; Artikel ; Online: The shift to remote work lessens wage-growth pressures

    Barrero, Jose Maria / Bloom, Nicholas / Davis, Steven J. / Meyer, Brent / Mihaylov, Emil

    2022  

    Abstract: The recent shift to remote work raised the amenity value of employment. As compensation adjusts to share the amenity-value gains with employers, wage-growth pressures moderate. We find empirical support for this mechanism in the wage-setting behavior of ... ...

    Abstract The recent shift to remote work raised the amenity value of employment. As compensation adjusts to share the amenity-value gains with employers, wage-growth pressures moderate. We find empirical support for this mechanism in the wage-setting behavior of US employers, and we develop novel survey data to quantify its force. Our data imply a cumulative wage-growth moderation of 2.0 percentage points over two years. This moderation offsets more than half the real-wage catchup effect that Blanchard (2022) highlights in his analysis of near-term inflation pressures. The amenity-values gains associated with the recent rise of remote work also lower labor's share of national income by 1.1 percentage points. In addition, the "unexpected compression" of wages since early 2020 (Autor and Dube, 2022) is partly explained by the same amenity-value effect, which operates differentially across the earnings distribution.
    Schlagwörter ddc:330 ; J3 ; E31 ; D22 ; E24 ; E25 ; remote work ; amenity value ; wage growth ; inflation dynamics ; recession risk ; business expectations ; labor's share of national income ; wage compression ; Telearbeit ; Lohnbildung ; Lohnniveau ; Lohnquote ; USA
    Thema/Rubrik (Code) 331
    Sprache Englisch
    Verlag Atlanta, GA: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
    Erscheinungsland de
    Dokumenttyp Buch ; Artikel ; Online
    Datenquelle BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (Lebenswissenschaftliche Auswahl)

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  7. Artikel ; Online: Economic growth and the environment: reassessing the environmental Kuznets Curve for air pollution emissions in OECD countries

    Georgiev, Emil / Mihaylov, Emil

    Letters in spatial and resource sciences : LSRS Vol. 8, No. 1 , p. 29-47

    2015  Band 8, Heft 1, Seite(n) 29–47

    Verfasserangabe Emil Georgiev; Emil Mihaylov
    Schlagwörter Environmental Kuznets curve ; Air pollutants ; OECD ; Special Durbin model
    Sprache Englisch
    Umfang Online-Ressource, graph. Darst.
    Verlag Springer
    Erscheinungsort Berlin ; Heidelberg
    Dokumenttyp Artikel ; Online
    ZDB-ID 2436019-3
    ISSN 1864-404X
    Datenquelle ECONomics Information System

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  8. Buch ; Artikel ; Online: Pandemic-era uncertainty on Main Street and Wall Street

    Meyer, Brent / Mihaylov, Emil / Davis, Steven J. / Parker, Nicholas / Altig, David / Barrero, Jose Maria / Bloom, Nicholas

    2021  

    Abstract: We draw on the monthly Survey of Business Uncertainty (SBU) to make three observations about pandemic-era uncertainty in the U.S. economy. First, equity market traders and executives of nonfinancial firms share similar assessments about uncertainty at ... ...

    Abstract We draw on the monthly Survey of Business Uncertainty (SBU) to make three observations about pandemic-era uncertainty in the U.S. economy. First, equity market traders and executives of nonfinancial firms share similar assessments about uncertainty at one-year lookahead horizons. That is, the one-year VIX has moved similarly to our survey-based measure of (average) firm-level subjective uncertainty at one-year forecast horizons. Second, looking within the distribution of beliefs in the SBU reveals that firm-level expectations shifted towards upside risk in the latter part of 2020. In this sense, decision makers in nonfinancial businesses share some of the optimism that seems manifest in equity markets. Third, and despite the positive shift in tail risks, overall uncertainty continues to substantially dampen capital spending plans, pointing to a source of weak growth in demand and in potential gross domestic product.
    Schlagwörter ddc:330 ; L2 ; M2 ; O32 ; O33 ; business expectations ; uncertainty ; subjective forecast distributions
    Thema/Rubrik (Code) 338
    Sprache Englisch
    Verlag Atlanta, GA: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
    Erscheinungsland de
    Dokumenttyp Buch ; Artikel ; Online
    Datenquelle BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (Lebenswissenschaftliche Auswahl)

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  9. Artikel: Economic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

    Altig, Dave / Baker, Scott / Barrero, Jose Maria / Bloom, Nicholas / Bunn, Philip / Chen, Scarlet / Davis, Steven J / Leather, Julia / Meyer, Brent / Mihaylov, Emil / Mizen, Paul / Parker, Nicholas / Renault, Thomas / Smietanka, Pawel / Thwaites, Gregory

    Journal of public economics

    2020  Band 191, Seite(n) 104274

    Abstract: We consider several economic uncertainty indicators for the US and UK before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: implied stock market volatility, newspaper-based policy uncertainty, Twitter chatter about economic uncertainty, subjective uncertainty about ... ...

    Abstract We consider several economic uncertainty indicators for the US and UK before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: implied stock market volatility, newspaper-based policy uncertainty, Twitter chatter about economic uncertainty, subjective uncertainty about business growth, forecaster disagreement about future GDP growth, and a model-based measure of macro uncertainty. Four results emerge. First, all indicators show huge uncertainty jumps in reaction to the pandemic and its economic fallout. Indeed, most indicators reach their highest values on record. Second, peak amplitudes differ greatly - from a 35% rise for the model-based measure of US economic uncertainty (relative to January 2020) to a 20-fold rise in forecaster disagreement about UK growth. Third, time paths also differ: Implied volatility rose rapidly from late February, peaked in mid-March, and fell back by late March as stock prices began to recover. In contrast, broader measures of uncertainty peaked later and then plateaued, as job losses mounted, highlighting differences between Wall Street and Main Street uncertainty measures. Fourth, in Cholesky-identified VAR models fit to monthly U.S. data, a COVID-size uncertainty shock foreshadows peak drops in industrial production of 12-19%.
    Schlagwörter covid19
    Sprache Englisch
    Erscheinungsdatum 2020-09-09
    Erscheinungsland Netherlands
    Dokumenttyp Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 1460611-2
    ISSN 1879-2316 ; 0047-2727
    ISSN (online) 1879-2316
    ISSN 0047-2727
    DOI 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104274
    Datenquelle MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  10. Artikel ; Online: Demand for tourism in Greece

    Chasapopoulos, Panagiotis / Den Butter, Frank A.G. / Mihaylov, Emil

    International Journal of Tourism Policy

    A panel data analysis using the gravity model

    2014  Band 5, Heft 3

    Abstract: Tourism is one of the major drivers of the Greek economy. The contribution of tourism to the Greek economy has proved especially relevant during the period of the credit and Euro crises with a high budgetary and balance of payment deficits. From that ... ...

    Abstract Tourism is one of the major drivers of the Greek economy. The contribution of tourism to the Greek economy has proved especially relevant during the period of the credit and Euro crises with a high budgetary and balance of payment deficits. From that perspective, this study examines the impact of the socio-economic and geographical determinants of foreign tourism demand in Greece. For the empirical analysis, a panel dataset of 31 countries is used over the period 2001-2010. The panel data estimation indicates that distance and trade have more explanatory power than relative prices and other determinants such as transport infrastructure. Income is statistically significant in three out of the eight specifications. Also, political stability seems to play an important role in tourism demand. The results are mixed for the competitive prices between Greece and its main tourism competitors. An interesting finding is that the Olympic Games of 2004 seem to have had a negative impact on international tourist arrivals in Greece in that year.
    Schlagwörter Gravity model ; Greece ; Panel data analysis ; System GMM ; Tourism demand
    Thema/Rubrik (Code) 910
    Sprache Englisch
    Erscheinungsland nl
    Dokumenttyp Artikel ; Online
    ISSN 1750-4090
    Datenquelle BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (Lebenswissenschaftliche Auswahl)

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