Article ; Online: The COVID-19 wave in Belgium during the Fall of 2020 and its association with higher education.
2022 Volume 17, Issue 2, Page(s) e0264516
Abstract: Soon after SARS-CoV-2 emerged in late 2019, Belgium was confronted with a first COVID-19 wave in March-April 2020. SARS-CoV-2 circulation declined in the summer months (late May to early July 2020). Following a successfully trumped late July-August peak, ...
Abstract | Soon after SARS-CoV-2 emerged in late 2019, Belgium was confronted with a first COVID-19 wave in March-April 2020. SARS-CoV-2 circulation declined in the summer months (late May to early July 2020). Following a successfully trumped late July-August peak, COVID-19 incidence fell slightly, to then enter two successive phases of rapid incline: in the first half of September, and then again in October 2020. The first of these coincided with the peak period of returning summer travelers; the second one coincided with the start of higher education's academic year. The largest observed COVID-19 incidence occurred in the period 16-31 October, particularly in the Walloon Region, the southern, French-speaking part of Belgium. We examine the potential association of the higher education population with spatio-temporal spread of COVID-19, using Bayesian spatial Poisson models for confirmed test cases, accounting for socio-demographic heterogeneity in the population. We find a significant association between the number of COVID-19 cases in the age groups 18-29 years and 30-39 years and the size of the higher education student population at the municipality level. These results can be useful towards COVID-19 mitigation strategies, particularly in areas where virus transmission from higher education students into the broader community could exacerbate morbidity and mortality of COVID-19 among populations with prevalent underlying conditions associated with more severe outcomes following infection. |
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MeSH term(s) | Adolescent ; Adult ; Belgium ; COVID-19/epidemiology ; Humans ; Incidence ; Pandemics ; Prevalence ; Students ; Universities ; Young Adult |
Language | English |
Publishing date | 2022-02-25 |
Publishing country | United States |
Document type | Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't |
ZDB-ID | 2267670-3 |
ISSN | 1932-6203 ; 1932-6203 |
ISSN (online) | 1932-6203 |
ISSN | 1932-6203 |
DOI | 10.1371/journal.pone.0264516 |
Database | MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE |
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