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Article: An SIR epidemic model for COVID-19 spread with fuzzy parameter: the case of Indonesia.

Abdy, Muhammad / Side, Syafruddin / Annas, Suwardi / Nur, Wahyuddin / Sanusi, Wahidah

Advances in difference equations

2021  Volume 2021, Issue 1, Page(s) 105

Abstract: The aim of this research is to construct an SIR model for COVID-19 with fuzzy parameters. The SIR model is constructed by considering the factors of vaccination, treatment, obedience in implementing health protocols, and the corona virus-load. Parameters ...

Abstract The aim of this research is to construct an SIR model for COVID-19 with fuzzy parameters. The SIR model is constructed by considering the factors of vaccination, treatment, obedience in implementing health protocols, and the corona virus-load. Parameters of the infection rate, recovery rate, and death rate due to COVID-19 are constructed as a fuzzy number, and their membership functions are used in the model as fuzzy parameters. The model analysis uses the generation matrix method to obtain the basic reproduction number and the stability of the model's equilibrium points. Simulation results show that differences in corona virus-loads will also cause differences in the transmission of COVID-19. Likewise, the factors of vaccination and obedience in implementing health protocols have the same effect in slowing or stopping the transmission of COVID-19 in Indonesia.
Language English
Publishing date 2021-02-11
Publishing country Germany
Document type Journal Article
ZDB-ID 2132815-8
ISSN 1687-1847 ; 1687-1839
ISSN (online) 1687-1847
ISSN 1687-1839
DOI 10.1186/s13662-021-03263-6
Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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