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  1. Article: Diagnosis and Management of Adult Tuberculosis Patients Admitted to a Rural Hospital in Ethiopia.

    Comeche, Belén / Pérez-Butragueño, Mario / Górgolas, Miguel / Ramos-Rincón, José-Manuel

    Cureus

    2023  Volume 15, Issue 2, Page(s) e35519

    Abstract: Background  Ethiopia is one of the countries in the world with the highest rate of tuberculosis (TB). The aim of this study is to describe the characteristics of the patients with TB admitted to a rural hospital in Ethiopia in terms of both diagnosis and ...

    Abstract Background  Ethiopia is one of the countries in the world with the highest rate of tuberculosis (TB). The aim of this study is to describe the characteristics of the patients with TB admitted to a rural hospital in Ethiopia in terms of both diagnosis and clinical management. Methods A retrospective descriptive observational study was conducted. Data were collected from patients older than 13 years who were admitted to the Gambo General Hospital for TB between May 2016 and September 2017. The variables studied were age, sex, symptoms, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) serology, nutritional status, presence of anemia, chest x-ray or other complementary tests, type of diagnosis (smear microscopy, Xpert MTB-RIF (Cepheid, Sunnyvale, California, USA), or clinical diagnosis), treatment received, outcome, and days of admission. Results One hundred eighty-six patients, aged 13 years and older, were admitted to the TB unit. About 51.6% were female, and the median age was 35 years (interquartile range (IQR) 25-50). Cough was the most frequent symptom on admission (88.7%), and contact with a TB patient was only recognized by 22 patients (11.8%). HIV serology was performed in 148 patients (79.6%); seven were positive (4.7%). About 69.3% met the criteria for malnutrition (body mass index (BMI) <18.5). Most patients, 173 (93%), presented with pulmonary TB and were new cases (94.1%). Patients were diagnosed by clinical parameters in 75% of cases. Smear microscopy was performed in 148 patients, of which 46 (31.1%) were positive, and Xpert MTB-RIF results were only obtained in 16 patients, of which 6 (37.5%) were positive. Chest x-rays were performed in most patients (71%) and were suggestive of TB in 111 (84.1%). The average length of hospital stay was 32 days (confidence interval (CI) 13-50.5). Women tend to be younger than men, have more extrapulmonary TB, and were admitted longer. Nineteen patients died during admission (10.2%). Patients who die were more frequently malnourished (92.9% of those who die were malnourished compared to 67.1% of those who did not die, p = 0.036), tend to be admitted for a shorter time than the survivors and receive more concomitant antibiotic treatment. Conclusions In this rural Ethiopian setting, patients admitted to the hospital for TB are often malnourished (67.1%), the main presentation is pulmonary, mortality is one in 10 admissions and very often receive antibiotics in association with TB treatment (40%).
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-02-27
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2747273-5
    ISSN 2168-8184
    ISSN 2168-8184
    DOI 10.7759/cureus.35519
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  2. Article ; Online: Impact of Xpert MTB/RIF in the Diagnosis of Childhood Tuberculosis in Rural Ethiopia.

    Pérez-Butragueño, Mario / Ramos-Rincón, José-Manuel / Tesfamariam, Abraham / Comeche, Belén / Mohammed, Nurih / Tiziano, Gebre / Endirays, Jacob / Biru, Dejene / Elala, Tamasghen / Edri, Abu / Prieto, Laura / Górgolas, Miguel

    Journal of tropical pediatrics

    2022  Volume 68, Issue 4

    Abstract: Background: This study assesses the impact of the Xpert MTB/RIF in the diagnosis of childhood tuberculosis (TB) in a rural hospital in a resource-constrained setting.: Methods: Retrospective cross-sectional study in children evaluated for presumptive ...

    Abstract Background: This study assesses the impact of the Xpert MTB/RIF in the diagnosis of childhood tuberculosis (TB) in a rural hospital in a resource-constrained setting.
    Methods: Retrospective cross-sectional study in children evaluated for presumptive TB from 1 June 2016 to 31 May 2017 at the Gambo General Hospital in rural Southern Ethiopia. Children were evaluated according to a defined protocol based on national guidelines. Samples were submitted for Xpert MTB/RIF assay to the nearest reference laboratory.
    Results: Of the 201 children assessed for presumptive TB, 46.3% (93/201) were diagnosed with TB. Of these, 49.5% (46/93) were microbiologically confirmed, mostly by Xpert MTB/RIF (only one patient was diagnosed by smear alone). The rest were clinically diagnosed. Microbiologically confirmed patients had a higher mean age, longer duration of fever and cough and lymphadenopathy more frequently than those clinically diagnosed. Gastric aspirates were Xpert MTB/RIF-positive in 18.2% of the samples (26/143); none were smear-positive (0/140). Sputum samples were Xpert MTB/RIF-positive in 27.1% (13/35) of the samples and smear-positive in 8.6% (3/35). There were no HIV-positive patients and just one case of rifampicin-resistant TB. A long delay (median 15 days) was detected in returning the results.
    Conclusion: Xpert MTB/RIF serves as an important adjunctive test for diagnosing childhood TB in rural settings, with microbiological confirmation in up to half the TB cases. Processes need to be optimized to achieve an early diagnosis. The diagnosis of childhood TB in high-burden countries such as Ethiopia still relies largely upon diagnostic algorithms and the clinician's skills.Lay summaryWorld Health Organization recommends the use of Xpert MTB/RIF to improve the microbiological diagnosis of childhood tuberculosis (TB) since 2014, but the impact of this test under real conditions in rural areas of low-income countries is not clear. We conducted a cross-sectional study in children evaluated for presumptive TB from 1 June 2016 to 31 May 2017 at the Gambo General Hospital in rural Southern Ethiopia. Children were evaluated according to a clinical protocol based on national guidelines and samples were submitted for Xpert MTB/RIF assay to the nearest reference laboratory.Of the 201 children assessed, 46.3% (93/201) were diagnosed with tuberculosis. Of these, 48.4% (45/93) were microbiologically confirmed by Xpert MTB/RIF [smear microscopy only diagnosed the 5.4% (5/93)]. Patients with microbiologically confirmed tuberculosis had a higher mean age, longer duration of fever and cough and had lymphadenopathy more frequently than those clinically diagnosed. A long delay in returning the results (median 15 days) was detected. Xpert MTB/RIF serves as an important test for diagnosing childhood TB in rural settings, with microbiological confirmation in up to half the cases. Processes need to be optimized to achieve an early diagnosis. The diagnosis of childhood TB in high-burden countries still relies largely upon diagnostic algorithms and the clinician's skills.
    MeSH term(s) Child ; Cough ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Ethiopia/epidemiology ; Humans ; Lymphadenopathy ; Mycobacterium tuberculosis/genetics ; Retrospective Studies ; Rifampin ; Sensitivity and Specificity ; Sputum/microbiology ; Tuberculosis/diagnosis ; Tuberculosis/epidemiology ; Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/diagnosis
    Chemical Substances Rifampin (VJT6J7R4TR)
    Language English
    Publishing date 2022-07-18
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 800065-7
    ISSN 1465-3664 ; 0449-3281 ; 0142-6338
    ISSN (online) 1465-3664
    ISSN 0449-3281 ; 0142-6338
    DOI 10.1093/tropej/fmac055
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  3. Article ; Online: Sex differences and HIV status of tuberculosis in adults at a rural hospital in southern Ethiopia: an 18-year retrospective cross-sectional study.

    Ramos, José M / Comeche, Belén / Tesfamariam, Abraham / Reyes, Francisco / Tiziano, Gebre / Balcha, Seble / Edada, Tamasghen / Biru, Dejene / Pérez-Butragueño, Mario / Górgolas, Miguel

    African health sciences

    2020  Volume 20, Issue 2, Page(s) 605–614

    Abstract: Background: The aim of the study was to compare the epidemiology, clinical characteristics and treatment outcome of tuberculosis (TB), including HIV status, in women and men in southern rural Ethiopia.: Methods: We conducted a register-based ... ...

    Abstract Background: The aim of the study was to compare the epidemiology, clinical characteristics and treatment outcome of tuberculosis (TB), including HIV status, in women and men in southern rural Ethiopia.
    Methods: We conducted a register-based retrospective cohort study covering the period from September 1998 to August 2015.
    Result: We included records of 2252 registered TB patients: 1080 (48%) women and 1172 (52%) men. Median age was similar for women and men: 27.5 years and 25.0 years, respectively. Median weight in women was 43.0 kg (interquartile range IQR: 38.0, 49.0), significantly lower than in men (50.0 kg, IQR 44.0, 55.0; p = 0.01). Extrapulmonary TB was significantly more common in women than in men (34.1% versus 28.7%; p=0.006). Treatment outcomes were similar in both sexes: in 70.3% of women and 68.9% of men, TB mortality was slightly lower in women than men (4.7% vs. 6.5%; p=0.08). In patients with TB, female sex was independently associated with low weight (adjusted aOR: 0.91; 95% CI 0.90, 0.92), less mortality (aOR: 0.54; 95% CI 0.36, 0.81), and lymph node TB (aOR: 1.57; 95% CI 1.13, 2.19).
    Conclusion: Lymph node TB was more common in women. Treatment outcomes were similar in both sexes, but women had a lower mortality rate.
    MeSH term(s) Adolescent ; Adult ; Antitubercular Agents/therapeutic use ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Ethiopia/epidemiology ; Female ; HIV Infections/complications ; HIV Infections/drug therapy ; HIV Infections/epidemiology ; Hospitals, Rural ; Humans ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Retrospective Studies ; Rural Population ; Sex Factors ; Treatment Outcome ; Tuberculosis/complications ; Tuberculosis/drug therapy ; Tuberculosis/mortality ; Tuberculosis, Lymph Node
    Chemical Substances Antitubercular Agents
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-10-14
    Publishing country Uganda
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2240308-5
    ISSN 1729-0503 ; 1680-6905
    ISSN (online) 1729-0503
    ISSN 1680-6905
    DOI 10.4314/ahs.v20i2.8
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  4. Article: Age-Adjusted Endothelial Activation and Stress Index for Coronavirus Disease 2019 at Admission Is a Reliable Predictor for 28-Day Mortality in Hospitalized Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019.

    Pérez-García, Felipe / Bailén, Rebeca / Torres-Macho, Juan / Fernández-Rodríguez, Amanda / Jiménez-Sousa, Maria Ángeles / Jiménez, Eva / Pérez-Butragueño, Mario / Cuadros-González, Juan / Cadiñanos, Julen / García-García, Irene / Jiménez-González, María / Ryan, Pablo / Resino, Salvador

    Frontiers in medicine

    2021  Volume 8, Page(s) 736028

    Abstract: Background: ...

    Abstract Background:
    Language English
    Publishing date 2021-09-08
    Publishing country Switzerland
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2775999-4
    ISSN 2296-858X
    ISSN 2296-858X
    DOI 10.3389/fmed.2021.736028
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  5. Article ; Online: Comparing tuberculosis in children aged under 5 versus 5 to 14 years old in a rural hospital in southern Ethiopia: an 18-year retrospective cross-sectional study.

    Ramos, José M / Pérez-Butragueño, Mario / Tesfamariam, Abraham / Reyes, Francisco / Tiziano, Gebre / Endirays, Jacob / Balcha, Seble / Elala, Tamasghen / Biru, Dejene / Comeche, Belén / Górgolas, Miguel

    BMC public health

    2019  Volume 19, Issue 1, Page(s) 856

    Abstract: Background: There are few data available about childhood tuberculosis (TB) in rural hospitals in low-income countries. We assessed differences in epidemiological characteristics and treatment outcomes in children with TB aged 0-4 versus 5-14 years in ... ...

    Abstract Background: There are few data available about childhood tuberculosis (TB) in rural hospitals in low-income countries. We assessed differences in epidemiological characteristics and treatment outcomes in children with TB aged 0-4 versus 5-14 years in rural Ethiopia.
    Methods: For this retrospective cross-sectional study, we analyzed childhood TB registers from a rural Ethiopian hospital. We collected data on the number of cases, type of TB, and treatment outcomes using standard definitions. By means of binary and logistic regression analyses, data were compared from 1998 to 2015 in children aged under 5 versus those aged 5-14 years.
    Results: We included 1282 TB patients: 583 (45.5%) were under 5 years old, and 699 (54.5%) were aged 5-14 years. More than half (67.2%, n = 862) had pulmonary TB (PTB), which was more common in younger children (82.5%, 481/583) than in older ones (54.5%, 381/699; p < 0.001). Most cases of PTB (87.5%, 754/862) were smear negative, including virtually all (99.6%, 479/481) younger children and most older ones (72.2%, n = 275/381; p < 0.001). The most common types of extrapulmonary TB (EPTB) were TB adenitis (54.5%, 229/420) and bone TB (20%, 84/420). Children under five showed a lower prevalence of adenitis TB (9.9% [58/583] versus 24.5% [171/699], p < 0.001), bone TB (2.9% [17/583] versus 9.6% [69/699], p < 0.001), and abdominal TB (0.9% [5/583] versus 6.3% [44/699], p < 0.001). Most diagnoses were new cases of TB (98.2%, 1259/1282). Overall, 63.5% (n = 814) of the children successfully completed treatment (< 5 years: 56.6%, 330/583; 5-14 years: 69.2%, 489/699; p < 0.001). In total, 16.3% (n = 209) transferred to another center (< 5 years: 19.4%, 113/583; 5-14 years: 13.7%, 96/699; p = 0.006). Thirteen percent of patients (n = 167) were lost to follow-up (< 5 years: 16.0%, 93/583; 5-14 years: 10.4%, 74/699; p = 0.004). Fifty-two (4.1%) children died (no age differences). Being aged 5-14 years was independently associated with successful treatment outcomes (adjusted odds ratio 1.59; 95% confidence interval: 1.16, 1.94, p = 0.002).
    Conclusions: We observed a very low diagnostic yield for spontaneous sputum smear in children with TB. In this rural setting in Ethiopia, very young children tend to present with new cases of smear-negative PTB. They have less EPTB than older children but more TB meningitis and show lower rates of treatment success.
    MeSH term(s) Adolescent ; Age Distribution ; Child ; Child, Preschool ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Ethiopia/epidemiology ; Female ; Hospitals, Rural ; Humans ; Infant ; Infant, Newborn ; Male ; Prevalence ; Registries ; Retrospective Studies ; Treatment Outcome ; Tuberculosis/epidemiology ; Tuberculosis/therapy ; Tuberculosis, Lymph Node/epidemiology ; Tuberculosis, Lymph Node/therapy ; Tuberculosis, Osteoarticular/epidemiology ; Tuberculosis, Osteoarticular/therapy ; Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/epidemiology ; Tuberculosis, Pulmonary/therapy
    Language English
    Publishing date 2019-07-02
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article
    ISSN 1471-2458
    ISSN (online) 1471-2458
    DOI 10.1186/s12889-019-7206-2
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  6. Article: The PANDEMYC Score. An Easily Applicable and Interpretable Model for Predicting Mortality Associated With COVID-19.

    Torres-Macho, Juan / Ryan, Pablo / Valencia, Jorge / Pérez-Butragueño, Mario / Jiménez, Eva / Fontán-Vela, Mario / Izquierdo-García, Elsa / Fernandez-Jimenez, Inés / Álvaro-Alonso, Elena / Lazaro, Andrea / Alvarado, Marta / Notario, Helena / Resino, Salvador / Velez-Serrano, Daniel / Meca, Alejandro

    Journal of clinical medicine

    2020  Volume 9, Issue 10

    Abstract: This study aimed to build an easily applicable prognostic model based on routine clinical, radiological, and laboratory data available at admission, to predict mortality in coronavirus 19 disease (COVID-19) hospitalized patients.: Methods: We ... ...

    Abstract This study aimed to build an easily applicable prognostic model based on routine clinical, radiological, and laboratory data available at admission, to predict mortality in coronavirus 19 disease (COVID-19) hospitalized patients.
    Methods: We retrospectively collected clinical information from 1968 patients admitted to a hospital. We built a predictive score based on a logistic regression model in which explicative variables were discretized using classification trees that facilitated the identification of the optimal sections in order to predict inpatient mortality in patients admitted with COVID-19. These sections were translated into a score indicating the probability of a patient's death, thus making the results easy to interpret.
    Results: Median age was 67 years, 1104 patients (56.4%) were male, and 325 (16.5%) died during hospitalization. Our final model identified nine key features: age, oxygen saturation, smoking, serum creatinine, lymphocytes, hemoglobin, platelets, C-reactive protein, and sodium at admission. The discrimination of the model was excellent in the training, validation, and test samples (AUC: 0.865, 0.808, and 0.883, respectively). We constructed a prognostic scale to determine the probability of death associated with each score.
    Conclusions: We designed an easily applicable predictive model for early identification of patients at high risk of death due to COVID-19 during hospitalization.
    Keywords covid19
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-09-23
    Publishing country Switzerland
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2662592-1
    ISSN 2077-0383
    ISSN 2077-0383
    DOI 10.3390/jcm9103066
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  7. Article: Evaluation of Ziehl-Neelsen smear for diagnosis of pulmonary tuberculosis in childhood in a rural hospital in Ethiopia.

    Ramos, José Manuel / Pérez-Butragueño, Mario / Tisiano, Gabriel / Yohannes, Tafese / Reyes, Francisco / Górgolas, Miguel

    International journal of mycobacteriology

    2013  Volume 2, Issue 3, Page(s) 171–173

    Abstract: The goal of this study is to describe the experience with smear microscopy examination for acid-fast bacilli (AFB) of spontaneous sputum from children in a district hospital located in a rural zone of Ethiopia. All sputum reports of children were ... ...

    Abstract The goal of this study is to describe the experience with smear microscopy examination for acid-fast bacilli (AFB) of spontaneous sputum from children in a district hospital located in a rural zone of Ethiopia. All sputum reports of children were retrospectively reviewed from July 2007 until June 2012. During the period of study, 875 children less than 15years old were screened and 48 (5.5%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.1-7.3%) were diagnosed with pulmonary tuberculosis sputum smear positive. The mean age of the children with sputum positive for AFB was significantly higher than children with sputum negative for AFB (11.4 versus 10.4) (p=0.001). Only 1 out of 47 (1.3%) children of 6years or less had sputum positive for AFB. In 13- and 14-year-old children, 8.7% had sputum positive for AFB (20 of 229) (p=0.03). Spontaneous sputum has a low diagnostic yield in childhood in low-income countries. Alternative methods should be implemented in rural areas to improve diagnosis of pulmonary TB, particularly in children less than 12years old.
    Language English
    Publishing date 2013-09
    Publishing country Netherlands
    Document type Journal Article
    ISSN 2212-5531
    ISSN 2212-5531
    DOI 10.1016/j.ijmyco.2013.04.007
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  8. Article ; Online: Characteristics, complications and outcomes among 1549 patients hospitalised with COVID-19 in a secondary hospital in Madrid, Spain: a retrospective case series study.

    Jiménez, Eva / Fontán-Vela, Mario / Valencia, Jorge / Fernandez-Jimenez, Ines / Álvaro-Alonso, Elena Alba / Izquierdo-García, Elsa / Lazaro Cebas, Andrea / Gallego Ruiz-Elvira, Elisa / Troya, Jesús / Tebar-Martinez, Ana Josefa / Garcia-Marina, Belén / Peña-Lillo, Gabriela / Abad-Motos, Ane / Macaya, Laura / Ryan, Pablo / Pérez-Butragueño, Mario

    BMJ open

    2020  Volume 10, Issue 11, Page(s) e042398

    Abstract: Objectives: To describe demographic, clinical, radiological and laboratory characteristics, as well as outcomes, of patients admitted for COVID-19 in a secondary hospital.: Design and setting: Retrospective case series of sequentially hospitalised ... ...

    Abstract Objectives: To describe demographic, clinical, radiological and laboratory characteristics, as well as outcomes, of patients admitted for COVID-19 in a secondary hospital.
    Design and setting: Retrospective case series of sequentially hospitalised patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2, at Infanta Leonor University Hospital (ILUH) in Madrid, Spain.
    Participants: All patients attended at ILUH testing positive to reverse transcriptase-PCR on nasopharyngeal swabs and diagnosed with COVID-19 between 1 March 2020 and 28 May 2020.
    Results: A total of 1549 COVID-19 cases were included (median age 69 years (IQR 55.0-81.0), 57.5% men). 78.2% had at least one underlying comorbidity, the most frequent was hypertension (55.8%). Most frequent symptoms at presentation were fever (75.3%), cough (65.7%) and dyspnoea (58.1%). 81 (5.8%) patients were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) (median age 62 years (IQR 51-71); 74.1% men; median length of stay 9 days (IQR 5-19)) 82.7% of them needed invasive ventilation support. 1393 patients had an outcome at the end of the study period (case fatality ratio: 21.2% (296/1393)). The independent factors associated with fatality (OR; 95% CI): age (1.07; 1.06 to 1.09), male sex (2.86; 1.85 to 4.50), neurological disease (1.93; 1.19 to 3.13), chronic kidney disease (2.83; 1.40 to 5.71) and neoplasia (4.29; 2.40 to 7.67). The percentage of hospital beds occupied with COVID-19 almost doubled (702/361), with the number of patients in ICU quadrupling its capacity (32/8). Median length of stay was 9 days (IQR 6-14).
    Conclusions: This study provides clinical characteristics, complications and outcomes of patients with COVID-19 admitted to a European secondary hospital. Fatal outcomes were similar to those reported by hospitals with a higher level of complexity.
    MeSH term(s) Acute Kidney Injury/physiopathology ; Acute Kidney Injury/therapy ; Adrenal Cortex Hormones/therapeutic use ; Age Factors ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized/therapeutic use ; Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use ; Betacoronavirus ; COVID-19 ; Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology ; Comorbidity ; Coronavirus Infections/complications ; Coronavirus Infections/mortality ; Coronavirus Infections/physiopathology ; Coronavirus Infections/therapy ; Cough/physiopathology ; Dyspnea/physiopathology ; Female ; Fever/physiopathology ; Hospitalization ; Humans ; Hypertension/epidemiology ; Intensive Care Units ; Length of Stay ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Neoplasms ; Nervous System Diseases/epidemiology ; Pandemics ; Pneumonia, Viral/complications ; Pneumonia, Viral/mortality ; Pneumonia, Viral/physiopathology ; Pneumonia, Viral/therapy ; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/epidemiology ; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/epidemiology ; Respiration, Artificial ; Respiratory Distress Syndrome/physiopathology ; Respiratory Distress Syndrome/therapy ; Retrospective Studies ; SARS-CoV-2 ; Sex Factors ; Spain/epidemiology
    Chemical Substances Adrenal Cortex Hormones ; Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized ; Antiviral Agents ; tocilizumab (I031V2H011)
    Keywords covid19
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-11-10
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2599832-8
    ISSN 2044-6055 ; 2044-6055
    ISSN (online) 2044-6055
    ISSN 2044-6055
    DOI 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-042398
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  9. Article: The PANDEMYC Score. An Easily Applicable and Interpretable Model for Predicting Mortality Associated With COVID-19

    Torres-Macho, Juan / Ryan, Pablo / Valencia, Jorge / Pérez-Butragueño, Mario / Jiménez, Eva / Fontán-Vela, Mario / Izquierdo-García, Elsa / Fernandez-Jimenez, Inés / Álvaro-Alonso, Elena / Lazaro, Andrea / Alvarado, Marta / Notario, Helena / Resino, Salvador / Velez-Serrano, Daniel / Meca, Alejandro

    Abstract: This study aimed to build an easily applicable prognostic model based on routine clinical, radiological, and laboratory data available at admission, to predict mortality in coronavirus 19 disease (COVID-19) hospitalized patients. METHODS: We ... ...

    Abstract This study aimed to build an easily applicable prognostic model based on routine clinical, radiological, and laboratory data available at admission, to predict mortality in coronavirus 19 disease (COVID-19) hospitalized patients. METHODS: We retrospectively collected clinical information from 1968 patients admitted to a hospital. We built a predictive score based on a logistic regression model in which explicative variables were discretized using classification trees that facilitated the identification of the optimal sections in order to predict inpatient mortality in patients admitted with COVID-19. These sections were translated into a score indicating the probability of a patient's death, thus making the results easy to interpret. RESULTS: Median age was 67 years, 1104 patients (56.4%) were male, and 325 (16.5%) died during hospitalization. Our final model identified nine key features: age, oxygen saturation, smoking, serum creatinine, lymphocytes, hemoglobin, platelets, C-reactive protein, and sodium at admission. The discrimination of the model was excellent in the training, validation, and test samples (AUC: 0.865, 0.808, and 0.883, respectively). We constructed a prognostic scale to determine the probability of death associated with each score. CONCLUSIONS: We designed an easily applicable predictive model for early identification of patients at high risk of death due to COVID-19 during hospitalization.
    Keywords covid19
    Publisher WHO
    Document type Article
    Note WHO #Covidence: #906429
    Database COVID19

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  10. Article: The PANDEMYC Score. An Easily Applicable and Interpretable Model for Predicting Mortality Associated With COVID-19

    Torres-Macho, Juan / Ryan, Pablo / Valencia, Jorge / Pérez-Butragueño, Mario / Jiménez, Eva / Fontán-Vela, Mario / Izquierdo-García, Elsa / Fernandez-Jimenez, Inés Álvaro-Alonso Elena / Lazaro, Andrea / Alvarado, Marta / Notario, Helena / Resino, Salvador / Velez-Serrano, Daniel / Meca, Alejandro

    Journal of Clinical Medicine

    Abstract: This study aimed to build an easily applicable prognostic model based on routine clinical, radiological, and laboratory data available at admission, to predict mortality in coronavirus 19 disease (COVID-19) hospitalized patients Methods: We ... ...

    Abstract This study aimed to build an easily applicable prognostic model based on routine clinical, radiological, and laboratory data available at admission, to predict mortality in coronavirus 19 disease (COVID-19) hospitalized patients Methods: We retrospectively collected clinical information from 1968 patients admitted to a hospital We built a predictive score based on a logistic regression model in which explicative variables were discretized using classification trees that facilitated the identification of the optimal sections in order to predict inpatient mortality in patients admitted with COVID-19 These sections were translated into a score indicating the probability of a patient’s death, thus making the results easy to interpret Results Median age was 67 years, 1104 patients (56 4%) were male, and 325 (16 5%) died during hospitalization Our final model identified nine key features: age, oxygen saturation, smoking, serum creatinine, lymphocytes, hemoglobin, platelets, C-reactive protein, and sodium at admission The discrimination of the model was excellent in the training, validation, and test samples (AUC: 0 865, 0 808, and 0 883, respectively) We constructed a prognostic scale to determine the probability of death associated with each score Conclusions: We designed an easily applicable predictive model for early identification of patients at high risk of death due to COVID-19 during hospitalization
    Keywords covid19
    Publisher WHO
    Document type Article
    Note WHO #Covidence: #784034
    Database COVID19

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