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  1. Article ; Online: Role of internal tide mixing in keeping the deep Andaman Sea warmer than the Bay of Bengal

    A. K. Jithin / P. A. Francis

    Scientific Reports, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-

    2020  Volume 10

    Abstract: Abstract Vertical profiles of temperature obtained from various hydrographic datasets show that deep waters (below 1,200 m) in the Andaman Sea are warmer (about 2 °C) than that of the Bay of Bengal. As a result, the biochemical properties in the deep ... ...

    Abstract Abstract Vertical profiles of temperature obtained from various hydrographic datasets show that deep waters (below 1,200 m) in the Andaman Sea are warmer (about 2 °C) than that of the Bay of Bengal. As a result, the biochemical properties in the deep waters also exhibit significant differences between these two basins. Higher temperature in the deep waters of Andaman Sea compared to the BoB had been widely attributed to the enclosed nature of the Andaman Sea. In this study, we show that strong tidal energy dissipation in the Andaman Sea also plays an important role in maintaining the higher temperatures in the deep waters. Dissipation rates inferred from the hydrographic data and internal tide energy budget suggests that the rate of vertical mixing in the Andaman Sea is about two-orders of magnitude larger than that in the Bay of Bengal. This elevated internal tide induced vertical mixing results in the efficient transfer of heat into the deeper layers, which keeps the deep Andaman Sea warm. Numerical experiments conducted using a high-resolution setup of Regional Ocean Modelling System (ROMS) further confirm the effect of tidal mixing in the Andaman Sea.
    Keywords Medicine ; R ; Science ; Q
    Subject code 551
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-07-01T00:00:00Z
    Publisher Nature Publishing Group
    Document type Article ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  2. Article ; Online: Role of Andaman and Nicobar Islands in eddy formation along western boundary of the Bay of Bengal

    A. Mukherjee / Abhisek Chatterjee / P. A. Francis

    Scientific Reports, Vol 9, Iss 1, Pp 1-

    2019  Volume 10

    Abstract: Abstract Eddies along western boundary of the Bay of Bengal (WBoB) play an important role in regulating regional climate and marine productivity of the north Indian Ocean. In this paper, role of Andaman and Nicobar islands (ANIs) in the formation of ... ...

    Abstract Abstract Eddies along western boundary of the Bay of Bengal (WBoB) play an important role in regulating regional climate and marine productivity of the north Indian Ocean. In this paper, role of Andaman and Nicobar islands (ANIs) in the formation of eddies along the WBoB is studied using an ocean general circulation model. Our analysis shows that, in the absence of ANIs, there is a significant reduction in the total number of mesoscale eddies in this region. The impact is particularly evident for the cyclonic eddies as a reduction of ~50% can be noticed in the absence of the islands. In contrast, influence of ANIs on anticyclonic eddies is not homogeneous in the WBoB; while absence of ANIs significantly increases anticyclonic eddies in the central part of the WBoB, a decrease can be noticed in the southern part. We further show that the reduction in number of cyclonic eddies along the WBoB is primarily driven by reduced baroclinic and barotropic instabilities. This process is more conspicuous during winter (October–January) season compared to summer (June–September) and spring (February–May) seasons.
    Keywords Medicine ; R ; Science ; Q
    Subject code 551
    Language English
    Publishing date 2019-07-01T00:00:00Z
    Publisher Nature Publishing Group
    Document type Article ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  3. Article ; Online: Atmospheric moisture as a proxy for the ISMR variability and associated extreme weather events

    P J Nair / H Varikoden / P A Francis / A Chakraborty / P C Pandey

    Environmental Research Letters, Vol 16, Iss 1, p

    2021  Volume 014045

    Abstract: This study explores the potential of atmospheric moisture content, its transport and its divergence over the ocean and land as proxies for the variability of Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) for the period 1950–2019. The analyses using multiple ... ...

    Abstract This study explores the potential of atmospheric moisture content, its transport and its divergence over the ocean and land as proxies for the variability of Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) for the period 1950–2019. The analyses using multiple linear regression reveal that the interannual and intraseasonal variability of ISMR and the mean ISMR is largely controlled by Arabian Sea moisture flux and Ganga river basin moisture content, and these parameters exhibit statistically significant high correlations in most regions. The regression model and the parameters are statistically significant and the model could explain rainfall variability of about 12%–50% in various regions. The model shows a false alarm rate (FAR) of 0.25–0.45 and a probability of detection (POD) of 0.43–0.50 for wet years in West Central, North West and North Central India. The FAR and POD are about 0.06–0.32 and 0.60–0.70, respectively for dry years in those regions. The model reproduces flood and drought years of about 32%–50% and 55%–70% in those regions. Also, the moisture indices could clearly identify the majority of wet and dry years that occurred during the period. The ISMR variability associated with moisture indices is unaffected by El Niño Southern Oscillation. Henceforth, this study demonstrates the significance of atmospheric moisture on regional rainfall distribution and suggests that these parameters can be used in both statistical and dynamical models to better predict monsoon and global precipitation.
    Keywords ISMR ; moisture transport ; PWC ; MLR ; FAR ; POD ; Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering ; TD1-1066 ; Environmental sciences ; GE1-350 ; Science ; Q ; Physics ; QC1-999
    Subject code 551
    Language English
    Publishing date 2021-01-01T00:00:00Z
    Publisher IOP Publishing
    Document type Article ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  4. Article ; Online: Intensification of tidally generated internal waves in the north-central Bay of Bengal

    A. K. Jithin / M. P. Subeesh / P. A. Francis / S. S. V. S. Ramakrishna

    Scientific Reports, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-

    2020  Volume 11

    Abstract: Abstract Flow of barotropic tidal currents over topographic features, such as continental slopes and submarine ridges, generates internal gravity waves at tidal periods known as internal tides. Amplitude of these waves are generally large near the ... ...

    Abstract Abstract Flow of barotropic tidal currents over topographic features, such as continental slopes and submarine ridges, generates internal gravity waves at tidal periods known as internal tides. Amplitude of these waves are generally large near the generation regions. Analysis of Sea Surface Height (SSH) data, derived from satellite altimeter revealed the amplification of internal tides in the semidiurnal period in the north-central Bay of Bengal (BoB) (around 89$${}^{\circ }$$ ∘ E, 16$${}^{\circ }$$ ∘ N), which is about 450 km away from their generation sites. SSH signals found in the north-central BoB ($$ \sim $$ ~ 3 cm) were comparable to the maximum amplitudes (2.5 to 3.5 cm) observed near their potential generation sites in the BoB such as continental slopes in the head of the bay and Andaman-Nicobar (AN) Ridge. Simulations from a high-resolution regional ocean model also confirmed the presence of large internal tide amplitude in the north-central BoB. Our study revealed that convergence of internal tides, which were generated along the concave-shaped source (continental slopes in the head of the bay and the northern parts of AN Ridge), into its focal region caused their amplification in the north-central BoB. It was also found that internal tide energy dissipation rates in this focal region were about 10 times larger than those in other open ocean regions.
    Keywords Medicine ; R ; Science ; Q
    Subject code 551
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-04-01T00:00:00Z
    Publisher Nature Publishing Group
    Document type Article ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  5. Article: On the relationship between the Indian summer monsoon rainfall and the EQUINOO in the CFSv2

    Vishnu, S / P. A. Francis / S. S. V. S. Ramakrishna / S. S. C. Shenoi

    Climate dynamics. 2019 Jan., v. 52, no. 1-2

    2019  

    Abstract: Several recent studies have shown that positive (negative) phase of Equatorial Indian Ocean Oscillation (EQUINOO) is favourable (unfavourable) to the Indian summer monsoon. However, many ocean–atmosphere global coupled models, including the state-of-the- ... ...

    Abstract Several recent studies have shown that positive (negative) phase of Equatorial Indian Ocean Oscillation (EQUINOO) is favourable (unfavourable) to the Indian summer monsoon. However, many ocean–atmosphere global coupled models, including the state-of-the-art Climate Forecast System (CFS) version 2 have difficulty in reproducing this link realistically. In this study, we analyze the retrospective forecasts by the CFS model for the period 1982–2010 with an objective to identify the reasons behind the failure of the model to simulate the observed links between Indian summer monsoon and EQUINOO. It is found that, in the model hindcasts, the rainfall in the core monsoon region was mainly due to westward propagating synoptic scale systems, that originated from the vicinity of the tropical convergence zone (TCZ). Our analysis shows that unlike in observations, in the CFS, majority of positive (negative) EQUINOO events are associated with El Niño (La Niña) events in the Pacific. In addition to this, there is a strong link between EQUINOO and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in the model. We show that, during the negative phase of EQUINOO/IOD, northward propagating TCZs remained stationary over the Bay of Bengal for longer period compared to the positive phase of EQUINOO/IOD. As a result, compared to the positive phase of EQUINOO/IOD, during a negative phase of EQUINOO/IOD, more westward propagating synoptic scale systems originated from the vicinity of TCZ and moved on to the core monsoon region, which resulted in higher rainfall over this region in the CFS. We further show that frequent, though short-lived, westward propagating systems, generated near the vicinity of TCZ over the Bay moved onto the mainland were responsible for less number of break monsoon spells during the negative phase of EQUINOO/IOD in the model hindcasts. This study underlines the necessity for improving the skill of the coupled models, particularly CFS model, to simulate the links between EQUINOO/IOD and the Indian summer monsoon for reliable predictions of seasonal and intraseasonal variation of Indian summer monsoon rainfall.
    Keywords El Nino ; La Nina ; climate ; monsoon season ; prediction ; rain ; simulation models ; Bay of Bengal ; Indian Ocean
    Language English
    Dates of publication 2019-01
    Size p. 1263-1281.
    Publishing place Springer Berlin Heidelberg
    Document type Article
    ZDB-ID 1471747-5
    ISSN 1432-0894 ; 0930-7575
    ISSN (online) 1432-0894
    ISSN 0930-7575
    DOI 10.1007/s00382-018-4190-7
    Database NAL-Catalogue (AGRICOLA)

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  6. Article ; Online: The local and global climate forcings induced inhomogeneity of Indian rainfall

    P. J. Nair / A. Chakraborty / H. Varikoden / P. A. Francis / J. Kuttippurath

    Scientific Reports, Vol 8, Iss 1, Pp 1-

    2018  Volume 12

    Abstract: Abstract India is home for more than a billion people and its economy is largely based on agrarian society. Therefore, rainfall received not only decides its livelihood, but also influences its water security and economy. This situation warrants ... ...

    Abstract Abstract India is home for more than a billion people and its economy is largely based on agrarian society. Therefore, rainfall received not only decides its livelihood, but also influences its water security and economy. This situation warrants continuous surveillance and analysis of Indian rainfall. These kinds of studies would also help forecasters to better tune their models for accurate weather prediction. Here, we introduce a new method for estimating variability and trends in rainfall over different climate regions of India. The method based on multiple linear regression helps to assess contributions of different remote and local climate forcings to seasonal and regional inhomogeneity in rainfall. We show that the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR) variability is governed by Eastern and Central Pacific El Niño Southern Oscillation, equatorial zonal winds, Atlantic zonal mode and surface temperatures of the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal, and the North East Monsoon Rainfall variability is controlled by the sea surface temperature of the North Atlantic and extratropial oceans. Also, our analyses reveal significant positive trends (0.43 mm/day/dec) in the North West for ISMR in the 1979–2017 period. This study cautions against the significant changes in Indian rainfall in a perspective of global climate change.
    Keywords Medicine ; R ; Science ; Q
    Language English
    Publishing date 2018-04-01T00:00:00Z
    Publisher Nature Publishing Group
    Document type Article ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  7. Article ; Online: On the decreasing trend of the number of monsoon depressions in the Bay of Bengal

    S Vishnu / P A Francis / S S C Shenoi / S S V S Ramakrishna

    Environmental Research Letters, Vol 11, Iss 1, p

    2016  Volume 014011

    Abstract: This study unravels the physical link between the weakening of the monsoon circulation and the decreasing trend in the frequency of monsoon depressions over the Bay of Bengal. Based on the analysis of the terms of Genesis Potential Index, an empirical ... ...

    Abstract This study unravels the physical link between the weakening of the monsoon circulation and the decreasing trend in the frequency of monsoon depressions over the Bay of Bengal. Based on the analysis of the terms of Genesis Potential Index, an empirical index to quantify the relative contribution of large scale environmental variables responsible for the modulation of storms, it is shown here that the reduction in the mid-tropospheric relative humidity is the most important reason for the decrease in the number of monsoon depressions. The net reduction of relative humidity over the Bay of Bengal is primarily due to the decrease in the moisture flux convergence, which is attributed to the weakening of the low level jet, a characteristic feature of monsoon circulation. Further, the anomalous moisture convergence over the western equatorial Indian Ocean associated with the rapid warming of the sea surface, reduces the moisture advection into the Bay of Bengal and hence adversely affect the genesis/intensification of monsoon depressions. Hence, the reduction in the number of monsoon depression over the Bay of Bengal could be one of the manifestations of the differential rates in the observed warming trend of the Indian Ocean basin.
    Keywords monsoon depression ; genesis potential index ; moisture budget ; global warming ; Bay of Bengal ; monsoon ; Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering ; TD1-1066 ; Environmental sciences ; GE1-350 ; Science ; Q ; Physics ; QC1-999
    Subject code 550
    Language English
    Publishing date 2016-01-01T00:00:00Z
    Publisher IOP Publishing
    Document type Article ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  8. Article: Listening to farmers: Participatory assessment of policy reform in Zambia’s agriculture sector

    P.A. Francis / J.T. Milimo / C.A. Njovu / S.P.M. Tembo

    Abstract: Short summary of case for using participatory evaluation ... ...

    Abstract Short summary of case for using participatory evaluation methods
    Keywords households ; World Bank ; housing ; Forecasting ; Afghanistan ; education ; Developing countries ; Sustainability ; world ; evaluation
    Language english
    Document type Article
    Database AGRIS - International Information System for the Agricultural Sciences and Technology

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