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  1. AU="Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan"
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  1. Book ; Online ; E-Book: Dynamics of Energy, Environment and Economy

    Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan / Asif, Muhammad

    A Sustainability Perspective

    (Lecture Notes in Energy, ; 77)

    2020  

    Abstract: The book addresses the vital and interwoven areas of energy, environment, and the economy within the field of sustainability research. Fundamental technical details, empirical data, and case studies taking into account local and international ... ...

    Author's details edited by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah, Muhammad Asif
    Series title Lecture Notes in Energy, ; 77
    Abstract The book addresses the vital and interwoven areas of energy, environment, and the economy within the field of sustainability research. Fundamental technical details, empirical data, and case studies taking into account local and international perspectives are included. Issues such as energy security, depleting fossil fuel reserves, global warming and climate change, as well as novel energy technologies are covered. The dynamic global response will be discussed from the perspective of policy, technology, and economics. Vital details in the form of text boxes, illustrations, graphs, tables and appendices are included. The book will serve as reference book for upper-level undergraduate and graduate students, researchers, academics, policy makers, NGOs and developmental sector professionals within the field. .
    Keywords Energy security ; Sustainable development ; Natural resources ; Climate change ; Renewable energy resources ; Energy Security ; Sustainable Development ; Natural Resource and Energy Economics ; Climate Change/Climate Change Impacts ; Renewable and Green Energy
    Subject code 333.794
    Language English
    Size 1 online resource (X, 338 p. 91 illus., 66 illus. in color.)
    Edition 1st ed. 2020.
    Publisher Springer International Publishing ; Imprint: Springer
    Publishing place Cham
    Document type Book ; Online ; E-Book
    Note Includes index.
    Remark Zugriff für angemeldete ZB MED-Nutzerinnen und -Nutzer
    ISBN 3-030-43578-4 ; 3-030-43577-6 ; 978-3-030-43578-3 ; 978-3-030-43577-6
    DOI 10.1007/978-3-030-43578-3
    Database ZB MED Catalogue: Medicine, Health, Nutrition, Environment, Agriculture

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  2. Article: A review and analysis of renewable energy policies and CO2 emissions of Pakistan

    Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan

    Energy. 2022 Jan. 01, v. 238

    2022  

    Abstract: Pakistan's electricity sector is facing challenges including the demand-supply gap and frequent power outages, increasing power-related fuel import bills, and increasing environmental emissions. The electricity sector is the biggest contributor to the ... ...

    Abstract Pakistan's electricity sector is facing challenges including the demand-supply gap and frequent power outages, increasing power-related fuel import bills, and increasing environmental emissions. The electricity sector is the biggest contributor to the overall emissions in Pakistan. To meet its carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions reduction target as agreed in the Paris Agreement, Pakistan has initiated various energy policy incentives and mechanisms to support renewable power generation. However, currently, the share of thermal generation in the electricity supply mix is over 63%. Therefore, it necessitates having a log-term assessment of these policy incentives and mechanisms to ascertain whether or not the CO₂ emissions reduction target will be met. We utilized a dynamic model to analyze the endogenous interactions among generation technologies, fuel resources, demand, capital investments, CO₂ emissions, production costs, and electricity prices. We developed and evaluated a reference scenario focused on current policies and local conditions and an alternate scenario focused on the use of indigenous resources and low carbon technologies. Contrary to the expectations of policymakers, the reference scenario neither helps Pakistan to achieve the CO₂ emissions reduction target by the compliance year 2030 nor provides any relief to the users of electricity. On the other hand, in an alternate scenario, Pakistan can sustainably achieve the emission target and the users of electricity can save about 23% per annum on their electricity bills. Finally, policy implications and recommendations for the policymakers are presented that can equally be applied to other countries with similar electricity system dynamics.
    Keywords United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change ; capital ; carbon ; carbon dioxide ; compliance ; dynamic models ; electricity ; energy ; energy policy ; imports ; power generation ; Pakistan
    Language English
    Dates of publication 2022-0101
    Publishing place Elsevier Ltd
    Document type Article
    ZDB-ID 2019804-8
    ISSN 0360-5442 ; 0360-5442
    ISSN (online) 0360-5442
    ISSN 0360-5442
    DOI 10.1016/j.energy.2021.121849
    Database NAL-Catalogue (AGRICOLA)

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  3. Book: Energy policy modeling in the 21st century

    Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan

    (Springer: complexity ; Understanding complex systems)

    2013  

    Author's details Hassan Qudrat-Ullah, editor
    Series title Springer: complexity
    Understanding complex systems
    Keywords Energy policy/Decision making ; Energy policy/Mathematical models ; Energiepolitik ; Politische Entscheidung ; Modellierung ; Dynamisches System ; Fuzzy-Set-Theorie ; Mathematische Optimierung ; Theorie
    Language English
    Size xiii, 273 Seiten, Illustrationen, 24 cm
    Publisher Springer
    Publishing place New York
    Document type Book
    Note Enthält 12 Beiträge ; Includes bibliographical references and index
    ISBN 146148605X ; 9781461486053 ; 9781461486060 ; 1461486068
    Database ECONomics Information System

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  4. Article: How to enhance the future use of energy policy simulation models through ex post validation

    Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan

    Energy. 2017 Feb. 01, v. 120

    2017  

    Abstract: Although simulation and modeling in general and system dynamics models in particular has long served the energy policy domain, ex post validation of these energy policy models is rarely addressed. In fact, ex post validation is a valuable area of ... ...

    Abstract Although simulation and modeling in general and system dynamics models in particular has long served the energy policy domain, ex post validation of these energy policy models is rarely addressed. In fact, ex post validation is a valuable area of research because it offers modelers a chance to enhance the future use of their simulation models by validating them against the field data. This paper contributes by presenting (i) a system dynamics simulation model, which was developed and used to do a three dimensional, socio-economical and environmental long-term assessment of Pakistan's energy policy in 1999, (ii) a systematic analysis of the 15-years old predictive scenarios produced by a system dynamics simulation model through ex post validation. How did the model predictions compare with the actual data? We report that the ongoing crisis of the electricity sector of Pakistan is unfolding, as the model-based scenarios had projected.
    Keywords electricity ; energy policy ; simulation models ; Pakistan
    Language English
    Dates of publication 2017-0201
    Size p. 58-66.
    Publishing place Elsevier Ltd
    Document type Article
    ZDB-ID 2019804-8
    ISSN 0360-5442 ; 0360-5442
    ISSN (online) 0360-5442
    ISSN 0360-5442
    DOI 10.1016/j.energy.2016.12.095
    Database NAL-Catalogue (AGRICOLA)

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  5. Article: How to improve learners’ (mis) understanding of CO2 accumulations through the use of human-facilitated interactive learning environments?

    Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan / Aymen Kayal

    Elsevier Ltd Journal of cleaner production. 2018 May 20, v. 184

    2018  

    Abstract: On a global scale, the need for CO2 mitigation and adaptation strategies is both compelling and urgent. While there are several challenges including political, economic, and technological, IPPC has identified the lack of mitigation and adaptation ... ...

    Abstract On a global scale, the need for CO2 mitigation and adaptation strategies is both compelling and urgent. While there are several challenges including political, economic, and technological, IPPC has identified the lack of mitigation and adaptation strategies and the lack of “flows of knowledge and information relevant for adaptation decisions” as the fundamental barriers to adaptation. In fact, there exists much scientific evidence of how environmental emissions (e.g., CO2) are contributing to the global warming and climate change phenomena, yet subjects in numerous experimental studies show a poor understanding of, and engagement with, environmental accumulations. How can learners' understanding of environmental accumulations be improved? We argue that the adoption of the stock and flow perspective, which provides effective tools such as System Dynamics based Interactive Learning Environments (SDILEs) for education and engagement can address this challenge effectively. In our experiments, we assessed the impact of three interventions and found that education and training with human-facilitated SDILE improved learners’ understanding of, and ability to apply, the basic principle of accumulation much more than of those who were trained only with standalone SDILE or those who had a traditional lecture-based session. Such an improved understanding about CO2 accumulation is expected to support the design and implementation of mitigation and adaptation strategies needed for our sustainable future.
    Keywords carbon dioxide ; education ; emissions ; global warming ; learning ; politics
    Language English
    Dates of publication 2018-0520
    Size p. 188-197.
    Publishing place Elsevier Ltd
    Document type Article
    ISSN 0959-6526
    DOI 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.02.244
    Database NAL-Catalogue (AGRICOLA)

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  6. Book ; Online: Better Decision Making in Complex, Dynamic Tasks

    Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan

    Training with Human-Facilitated Interactive Learning Environments

    (Understanding Complex Systems)

    2015  

    Abstract: This book describes interactive learning environments (ILEs) and their underlying concepts. It explains how ILEs can be used to improve the decision-making process and how these improvements can be empirically verified. The objective of this book is to ... ...

    Author's details by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
    Series title Understanding Complex Systems
    Abstract This book describes interactive learning environments (ILEs) and their underlying concepts. It explains how ILEs can be used to improve the decision-making process and how these improvements can be empirically verified. The objective of this book is to enhance our understanding of and to gain insights into the process by which human facilitated ILEs are effectively designed and used in improving users’ decision making in complex, dynamic tasks. This book is divided into four major parts. Part I serves as an introduction to the importance and complexity of decision making in dynamic tasks. Part II provides background material, drawing upon relevant literature, for the development of an integrated process model on the effectiveness of human facilitated ILEs in improving decision making in dynamic tasks. Part III focuses on the design, development, and application of FishBankILE in laboratory experiments to gather empirical evidence for the validity of the process model. Finally, part IV presents a comprehensive analysis of the gathered data to illustrate the lessons to be learned. Better Decision Making in Complex, Dynamic Tasks will be useful for managers and practitioners, researchers, and students of dynamic decision making. Praise for Better Decision Making in Complex, Dynamic Tasks: "..rich in content, full with unique insights, and a self-sufficient volume on the design, development and application of system dynamics based simulations that are implemented as interactive learning environments (ILEs). Practitioners and researchers interested in seeking evidence for the efficacy of ILEs’ use in decision-making will find this book a must read." Prof. Carmine Bianchi, Scientific Coordinator of CED4-System Dynamics Group, University of Palermo, Italy
    Keywords Computer science ; Education ; Operations research ; Physics
    Language English
    Size Online-Ressource (XX, 252 p. 69 illus., 59 illus. in color), online resource
    Publisher Springer International Publishing
    Publishing place Cham ;s.l
    Document type Book ; Online
    ISBN 9783319079851 ; 9783319079868 ; 3319079859 ; 3319079867
    DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-07986-8
    Database Former special subject collection: coastal and deep sea fishing

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  7. Article: Independent power (or pollution) producers? Electricity reforms and IPPs in Pakistan

    Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan

    Energy. 2015 Apr. 01, v. 83

    2015  

    Abstract: This paper examines Pakistan's experience with electricity reforms pertaining to the various energy policies enacted in Pakistan over the past two decades. The effects of privatization in general and IPPs' investments in Pakistan's electricity sector in ... ...

    Abstract This paper examines Pakistan's experience with electricity reforms pertaining to the various energy policies enacted in Pakistan over the past two decades. The effects of privatization in general and IPPs' investments in Pakistan's electricity sector in particular are analyzed. For long-term integrated assessment of electricity reforms and IPPs' investments, the development, validation, and application of a unique dynamic model is demonstrated. Contrary to the generally perceived positive effects of privatization and IPPs' investment, Pakistan's electricity sector is enduring severe gaps between demand and supply, higher electricity rates, and increasing CO2, SO2, and NO (nitrogen oxide) emissions. IPPs, due to their major investments in pro-oil generation, are the major electricity-related pollution producers. Through an immediate government intervention, a pro indigenous resource-focused alternate energy policy appears to provide cheaper and cleaner electricity in Pakistan.
    Keywords carbon dioxide ; dynamic models ; electricity ; emissions ; energy policy ; nitric oxide ; pollution ; privatization ; sulfur dioxide ; Pakistan
    Language English
    Dates of publication 2015-0401
    Size p. 240-251.
    Publishing place Elsevier Ltd
    Document type Article
    ZDB-ID 2019804-8
    ISSN 0360-5442 ; 0360-5442
    ISSN (online) 0360-5442
    ISSN 0360-5442
    DOI 10.1016/j.energy.2015.02.018
    Database NAL-Catalogue (AGRICOLA)

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  8. Article: Green power in Ontario: A dynamic model-based analysis

    Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan

    Energy. 2014 Dec. 01, v. 77

    2014  

    Abstract: Adequate supply of cleaner, affordable, and reliable electricity is critical for the growth and prosperity of any economy. The Government of Ontario, Canada's largest province both by population and by electricity generation capacity, has enacted a long- ... ...

    Abstract Adequate supply of cleaner, affordable, and reliable electricity is critical for the growth and prosperity of any economy. The Government of Ontario, Canada's largest province both by population and by electricity generation capacity, has enacted a long-term energy plan in 2007 to ensure reliable, sustainable and cost-effective supply of electricity. To better understand the long-term dynamics of Ontario's electricity system in socio-economic and CO2 emissions dimensions, this research develops, validates, and applies a dynamic simulation model. The dynamic model endogenously represents Ontario's supply mix and demand side initiatives, and their interactions with pricing, profitability, investments, and electricity intensity sectors. Model-based results show that the current plan (i) will continue to increase the share of “green power” but Ontarians, even with “excess capacity” at hand, will continue to face rising rates of electricity for a long time, and (ii) is not likely to achieve the expected improvements in electricity consumption intensity and level of imports of electricity in the next decade. On the other hand, model-based results point to an alternative plan, focused on the reduction of thermal generation, addition of renewable generation, and investments in research and development of electricity system, which can lead Ontario towards a future with “more” and affordable “green power”.
    Keywords carbon dioxide ; cost effectiveness ; dynamic models ; electric energy consumption ; electricity ; electricity generation ; greenhouse gas emissions ; imports ; prices ; profitability ; renewable energy sources ; research and development ; simulation models ; socioeconomics ; Ontario
    Language English
    Dates of publication 2014-1201
    Size p. 859-870.
    Publishing place Elsevier Ltd
    Document type Article
    ZDB-ID 2019804-8
    ISSN 0360-5442 ; 0360-5442
    ISSN (online) 0360-5442
    ISSN 0360-5442
    DOI 10.1016/j.energy.2014.09.072
    Database NAL-Catalogue (AGRICOLA)

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  9. Article: Behaviour validity of a simulation model for sustainable development

    Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan

    International journal of management and decision making : IJMDM Vol. 9, No. 2 , p. 129-140

    2008  Volume 9, Issue 2, Page(s) 129–140

    Author's details Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
    Keywords Energiepolitik ; Nachhaltige Entwicklung ; Simulation ; System Dynamics ; Pakistan
    Language English
    Size graph. Darst.
    Publisher Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.
    Publishing place Geneva
    Document type Article
    ZDB-ID 2083012-9
    Database ECONomics Information System

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  10. Article: Future directions on complex decision making using modeling and simulation decision support

    Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan

    Complex decision making : theory and practice ; with 22 tables , p. 323-337

    2008  , Page(s) 323–337

    Author's details Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
    Keywords Entscheidung ; Komplexitätsmanagement ; Simulation
    Language English
    Publisher Springer
    Publishing place Berlin [u.a.]
    Document type Article
    ISBN 978-354-07366-4-6 ; 354-07366-4-6
    Database ECONomics Information System

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