LIVIVO - The Search Portal for Life Sciences

zur deutschen Oberfläche wechseln
Advanced search

Search results

Result 1 - 10 of total 15

Search options

  1. Article ; Online: Decoding Electroencephalography Signal Response by Stacking Ensemble Learning and Adaptive Differential Evolution.

    Ribeiro, Matheus Henrique Dal Molin / da Silva, Ramon Gomes / Larcher, José Henrique Kleinubing / Mendes, Andre / Mariani, Viviana Cocco / Coelho, Leandro Dos Santos

    Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)

    2023  Volume 23, Issue 16

    Abstract: Electroencephalography (EEG) is an exam widely adopted to monitor cerebral activities regarding external stimuli, and its signals compose a nonlinear dynamical system. There are many difficulties associated with EEG analysis. For example, noise can ... ...

    Abstract Electroencephalography (EEG) is an exam widely adopted to monitor cerebral activities regarding external stimuli, and its signals compose a nonlinear dynamical system. There are many difficulties associated with EEG analysis. For example, noise can originate from different disorders, such as muscle or physiological activity. There are also artifacts that are related to undesirable signals during EEG recordings, and finally, nonlinearities can occur due to brain activity and its relationship with different brain regions. All these characteristics make data modeling a difficult task. Therefore, using a combined approach can be the best solution to obtain an efficient model for identifying neural data and developing reliable predictions. This paper proposes a new hybrid framework combining stacked generalization (STACK) ensemble learning and a differential-evolution-based algorithm called Adaptive Differential Evolution with an Optional External Archive (JADE) to perform nonlinear system identification. In the proposed framework, five base learners, namely, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, a Gaussian Process, Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator, a Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network, and Support Vector Regression with a radial basis function kernel, are trained. The predictions from all these base learners compose STACK's layer-0 and are adopted as inputs of the Cubist model, whose hyperparameters were obtained by JADE. The model was evaluated for decoding the electroencephalography signal response to wrist joint perturbations. The variance accounted for (VAF), root-mean-squared error (RMSE), and Friedman statistical test were used to validate the performance of the proposed model and compare its results with other methods in the literature, including the base learners. The JADE-STACK model outperforms the other models in terms of accuracy, being able to explain around, as an average of all participants, 94.50% and 67.50% (standard deviations of 1.53 and 7.44, respectively) of the data variability for one step ahead and three steps ahead, which makes it a suitable approach to dealing with nonlinear system identification. Also, the improvement over state-of-the-art methods ranges from 0.6% to 161% and 43.34% for one step ahead and three steps ahead, respectively. Therefore, the developed model can be viewed as an alternative and additional approach to well-established techniques for nonlinear system identification once it can achieve satisfactory results regarding the data variability explanation.
    MeSH term(s) Humans ; Learning ; Algorithms ; Artifacts ; Electroencephalography ; Machine Learning
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-08-09
    Publishing country Switzerland
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2052857-7
    ISSN 1424-8220 ; 1424-8220
    ISSN (online) 1424-8220
    ISSN 1424-8220
    DOI 10.3390/s23167049
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

    More links

    Kategorien

  2. Article ; Online: Multi-step ahead meningitis case forecasting based on decomposition and multi-objective optimization methods.

    Ribeiro, Matheus Henrique Dal Molin / Mariani, Viviana Cocco / Coelho, Leandro Dos Santos

    Journal of biomedical informatics

    2020  Volume 111, Page(s) 103575

    Abstract: Epidemiological time series forecasting plays an important role in health public systems, due to its ability to allow managers to develop strategic planning to avoid possible epidemics. In this paper, a hybrid learning framework is developed to forecast ... ...

    Abstract Epidemiological time series forecasting plays an important role in health public systems, due to its ability to allow managers to develop strategic planning to avoid possible epidemics. In this paper, a hybrid learning framework is developed to forecast multi-step-ahead (one, two, and three-month-ahead) meningitis cases in four states of Brazil. First, the proposed approach applies an ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) to decompose the data into intrinsic mode functions and residual components. Then, each component is used as the input of five different forecasting models, and, from there, forecasted results are obtained. Finally, all combinations of models and components are developed, and for each case, the forecasted results are weighted integrated (WI) to formulate a heterogeneous ensemble forecaster for the monthly meningitis cases. In the final stage, a multi-objective optimization (MOO) using the Non-Dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm - version II is employed to find a set of candidates' weights, and then the Technique for Order of Preference by similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) is applied to choose the adequate set of weights. Next, the most adequate model is the one with the best generalization capacity out-of-sample in terms of performance criteria including mean absolute error (MAE), relative root mean squared error (RRMSE), and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (sMAPE). By using MOO, the intention is to enhance the performance of the forecasting models by improving simultaneously their accuracy and stability measures. To access the model's performance, comparisons based on metrics are conducted with: (i) EEMD, heterogeneous ensemble integrated by direct strategy, or simple sum; (ii) EEMD, homogeneous ensemble of components WI; (iii) models without signal decomposition. At this stage, MAE, RRMSE, and sMAPE criteria as well as Diebold-Mariano statistical test are adopted. In all twelve scenarios, the proposed framework was able to perform more accurate and stable forecasts, which showed, on 89.17% of the cases, that the errors of the proposed approach are statistically lower than other approaches. These results showed that combining EEMD, heterogeneous ensemble and WI with weights obtained by optimization can develop precise and stable forecasts. The modeling developed in this paper is promising and can be used by managers to support decision making.
    MeSH term(s) Brazil ; Epidemics ; Forecasting ; Humans ; Meningitis/diagnosis ; Meningitis/epidemiology
    Keywords covid19
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-09-22
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Journal Article ; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
    ZDB-ID 2057141-0
    ISSN 1532-0480 ; 1532-0464
    ISSN (online) 1532-0480
    ISSN 1532-0464
    DOI 10.1016/j.jbi.2020.103575
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

    More links

    Kategorien

  3. Article: Short-term forecasting COVID-19 cumulative confirmed cases: Perspectives for Brazil.

    Ribeiro, Matheus Henrique Dal Molin / da Silva, Ramon Gomes / Mariani, Viviana Cocco / Coelho, Leandro Dos Santos

    Chaos, solitons, and fractals

    2020  Volume 135, Page(s) 109853

    Abstract: The new Coronavirus (COVID-19) is an emerging disease responsible for infecting millions of people since the first notification until nowadays. Developing efficient short-term forecasting models allow forecasting the number of future cases. In this ... ...

    Abstract The new Coronavirus (COVID-19) is an emerging disease responsible for infecting millions of people since the first notification until nowadays. Developing efficient short-term forecasting models allow forecasting the number of future cases. In this context, it is possible to develop strategic planning in the public health system to avoid deaths. In this paper, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), cubist regression (CUBIST), random forest (RF), ridge regression (RIDGE), support vector regression (SVR), and stacking-ensemble learning are evaluated in the task of time series forecasting with one, three, and six-days ahead the COVID-19 cumulative confirmed cases in ten Brazilian states with a high daily incidence. In the stacking-ensemble learning approach, the CUBIST regression, RF, RIDGE, and SVR models are adopted as base-learners and Gaussian process (GP) as meta-learner. The models' effectiveness is evaluated based on the improvement index, mean absolute error, and symmetric mean absolute percentage error criteria. In most of the cases, the SVR and stacking-ensemble learning reach a better performance regarding adopted criteria than compared models. In general, the developed models can generate accurate forecasting, achieving errors in a range of 0.87%-3.51%, 1.02%-5.63%, and 0.95%-6.90% in one, three, and six-days-ahead, respectively. The ranking of models, from the best to the worst regarding accuracy, in all scenarios is SVR, stacking-ensemble learning, ARIMA, CUBIST, RIDGE, and RF models. The use of evaluated models is recommended to forecasting and monitor the ongoing growth of COVID-19 cases, once these models can assist the managers in the decision-making support systems.
    Keywords covid19
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-05-01
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2003919-0
    ISSN 1873-2887 ; 0960-0779
    ISSN (online) 1873-2887
    ISSN 0960-0779
    DOI 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109853
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

    More links

    Kategorien

  4. Article: Forecasting Brazilian and American COVID-19 cases based on artificial intelligence coupled with climatic exogenous variables.

    da Silva, Ramon Gomes / Ribeiro, Matheus Henrique Dal Molin / Mariani, Viviana Cocco / Coelho, Leandro Dos Santos

    Chaos, solitons, and fractals

    2020  Volume 139, Page(s) 110027

    Abstract: The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is a public health problem once according to the World Health Organization up to June 24th, 2020, more than 9.1 million people were infected, and more than 470 thousand have died worldwide. In the current scenario, ...

    Abstract The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is a public health problem once according to the World Health Organization up to June 24th, 2020, more than 9.1 million people were infected, and more than 470 thousand have died worldwide. In the current scenario, the Brazil and the United States of America present a high daily incidence of new cases and deaths. Therefore, it is important to forecast the number of new cases in a time window of one week, once this can help the public health system developing strategic planning to deals with the COVID-19. The application of the forecasting artificial intelligence (AI) models has the potential of deal with dynamical behavior of time-series like of COVID-19. In this paper, Bayesian regression neural network, cubist regression,
    Keywords covid19
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-06-30
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2003919-0
    ISSN 1873-2887 ; 0960-0779
    ISSN (online) 1873-2887
    ISSN 0960-0779
    DOI 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110027
    Database MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

    More links

    Kategorien

  5. Book ; Online: Short-term forecasting of Amazon rainforest fires based on ensemble decomposition model

    da Silva, Ramon Gomes / Ribeiro, Matheus Henrique Dal Molin / Mariani, Viviana Cocco / Coelho, Leandro dos Santos

    2020  

    Abstract: Accurate forecasting is important for decision-makers. Recently, the Amazon rainforest is reaching record levels of the number of fires, a situation that concerns both climate and public health problems. Obtaining the desired forecasting accuracy becomes ...

    Abstract Accurate forecasting is important for decision-makers. Recently, the Amazon rainforest is reaching record levels of the number of fires, a situation that concerns both climate and public health problems. Obtaining the desired forecasting accuracy becomes difficult and challenging. In this paper were developed a novel heterogeneous decomposition-ensemble model by using Seasonal and Trend decomposition based on Loess in combination with algorithms for short-term load forecasting multi-month-ahead, to explore temporal patterns of Amazon rainforest fires in Brazil. The results demonstrate the proposed decomposition-ensemble models can provide more accurate forecasting evaluated by performance measures. Diebold-Mariano statistical test showed the proposed models are better than other compared models, but it is statistically equal to one of them.

    Comment: 6 pages with 3 figures. Submitted to 2020 ESANN ( https://www.esann.org )
    Keywords Computer Science - Machine Learning ; Statistics - Machine Learning
    Subject code 006
    Publishing date 2020-07-15
    Publishing country us
    Document type Book ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

    More links

    Kategorien

  6. Article: Short-term forecasting COVID-19 cumulative confirmed cases: Perspectives for Brazil

    Ribeiro, Matheus Henrique Dal Molin / da Silva, Ramon Gomes / Mariani, Viviana Cocco / Coelho, Leandro Dos Santos

    Chaos Solitons Fractals

    Abstract: The new Coronavirus (COVID-19) is an emerging disease responsible for infecting millions of people since the first notification until nowadays. Developing efficient short-term forecasting models allow forecasting the number of future cases. In this ... ...

    Abstract The new Coronavirus (COVID-19) is an emerging disease responsible for infecting millions of people since the first notification until nowadays. Developing efficient short-term forecasting models allow forecasting the number of future cases. In this context, it is possible to develop strategic planning in the public health system to avoid deaths. In this paper, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), cubist regression (CUBIST), random forest (RF), ridge regression (RIDGE), support vector regression (SVR), and stacking-ensemble learning are evaluated in the task of time series forecasting with one, three, and six-days ahead the COVID-19 cumulative confirmed cases in ten Brazilian states with a high daily incidence. In the stacking-ensemble learning approach, the CUBIST regression, RF, RIDGE, and SVR models are adopted as base-learners and Gaussian process (GP) as meta-learner. The models' effectiveness is evaluated based on the improvement index, mean absolute error, and symmetric mean absolute percentage error criteria. In most of the cases, the SVR and stacking-ensemble learning reach a better performance regarding adopted criteria than compared models. In general, the developed models can generate accurate forecasting, achieving errors in a range of 0.87%-3.51%, 1.02%-5.63%, and 0.95%-6.90% in one, three, and six-days-ahead, respectively. The ranking of models, from the best to the worst regarding accuracy, in all scenarios is SVR, stacking-ensemble learning, ARIMA, CUBIST, RIDGE, and RF models. The use of evaluated models is recommended to forecasting and monitor the ongoing growth of COVID-19 cases, once these models can assist the managers in the decision-making support systems.
    Keywords covid19
    Publisher WHO
    Document type Article
    Note WHO #Covidence: #245196
    Database COVID19

    Kategorien

  7. Article: Forecasting Brazilian and American COVID-19 cases based on artificial intelligence coupled with climatic exogenous variables

    da Silva, Ramon Gomes / Ribeiro, Matheus Henrique Dal Molin / Mariani, Viviana Cocco / Coelho, Leandro dos Santos

    Chaos Solitons Fractals

    Abstract: The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is a public health problem once according to the World Health Organization up to June 24th, 2020, more than 9.1 million people were infected, and more than 470 thousand have died worldwide. In the current scenario, ...

    Abstract The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is a public health problem once according to the World Health Organization up to June 24th, 2020, more than 9.1 million people were infected, and more than 470 thousand have died worldwide. In the current scenario, the Brazil and the United States of America present a high daily incidence of new cases and deaths. Therefore, it is important to forecast the number of new cases in a time window of one week, once this can help the public health system developing strategic planning to deals with the COVID-19. The application of the forecasting artificial intelligence (AI) models has the potential of deal with dynamical behavior of time-series like of COVID-19. In this paper, Bayesian regression neural network, cubist regression, k-nearest neighbors, quantile random forest, and support vector regression, are used stand-alone, and coupled with the recent pre-processing variational mode decomposition (VMD) employed to decompose the time series into several intrinsic mode functions. All AI techniques are evaluated in the task of time-series forecasting with one, three, and six-days-ahead the cumulative COVID-19 cases in five Brazilian and American states, with a high number of cases up to April 28th, 2020. Previous cumulative COVID-19 cases and exogenous variables as daily temperature and precipitation were employed as inputs for all forecasting models. The models’ effectiveness are evaluated based on the performance criteria. In general, the hybridization of VMD outperformed single forecasting models regarding the accuracy, specifically when the horizon is six-days-ahead, the hybrid VMD–single models achieved better accuracy in 70% of the cases. Regarding the exogenous variables, the importance ranking as predictor variables is, from the upper to the lower, past cases, temperature, and precipitation. Therefore, due to the efficiency of evaluated models to forecasting cumulative COVID-19 cases up to six-days-ahead, the adopted models can be recommended as a promising models for forecasting and be used to assist in the development of public policies to mitigate the effects of COVID-19 outbreak.
    Keywords covid19
    Publisher WHO
    Document type Article
    Note WHO #Covidence: #624706
    Database COVID19

    Kategorien

  8. Book ; Online: Forecasting Brazilian and American COVID-19 cases based on artificial intelligence coupled with climatic exogenous variables

    da Silva, Ramon Gomes / Ribeiro, Matheus Henrique Dal Molin / Mariani, Viviana Cocco / Coelho, Leandro dos Santos

    2020  

    Abstract: The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is a public health problem once according to the World Health Organization up to June 10th, 2020, more than 7.1 million people were infected, and more than 400 thousand have died worldwide. In the current scenario, ...

    Abstract The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is a public health problem once according to the World Health Organization up to June 10th, 2020, more than 7.1 million people were infected, and more than 400 thousand have died worldwide. In the current scenario, the Brazil and the United States of America present a high daily incidence of new cases and deaths. It is important to forecast the number of new cases in a time window of one week, once this can help the public health system developing strategic planning to deals with the COVID-19. In this paper, Bayesian regression neural network, cubist regression, k-nearest neighbors, quantile random forest, and support vector regression, are used stand-alone, and coupled with the recent pre-processing variational mode decomposition (VMD) employed to decompose the time series into several intrinsic mode functions. All Artificial Intelligence techniques are evaluated in the task of time-series forecasting with one, three, and six-days-ahead the cumulative COVID-19 cases in five Brazilian and American states up to April 28th, 2020. Previous cumulative COVID-19 cases and exogenous variables as daily temperature and precipitation were employed as inputs for all forecasting models. The hybridization of VMD outperformed single forecasting models regarding the accuracy, specifically when the horizon is six-days-ahead, achieving better accuracy in 70% of the cases. Regarding the exogenous variables, the importance ranking as predictor variables is past cases, temperature, and precipitation. Due to the efficiency of evaluated models to forecasting cumulative COVID-19 cases up to six-days-ahead, the adopted models can be recommended as a promising models for forecasting and be used to assist in the development of public policies to mitigate the effects of COVID-19 outbreak.

    Comment: 24 pages, 6 figures. Published paper
    Keywords Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution ; Computer Science - Machine Learning ; covid19
    Subject code 310 ; 006
    Publishing date 2020-07-21
    Publishing country us
    Document type Book ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

    More links

    Kategorien

  9. Book ; Online: Short-term forecasting COVID-19 cumulative confirmed cases

    Ribeiro, Matheus Henrique Dal Molin / da Silva, Ramon Gomes / Mariani, Viviana Cocco / Coelho, Leandro dos Santos

    Perspectives for Brazil

    2020  

    Abstract: The new Coronavirus (COVID-19) is an emerging disease responsible for infecting millions of people since the first notification until nowadays. Developing efficient short-term forecasting models allow knowing the number of future cases. In this context, ... ...

    Abstract The new Coronavirus (COVID-19) is an emerging disease responsible for infecting millions of people since the first notification until nowadays. Developing efficient short-term forecasting models allow knowing the number of future cases. In this context, it is possible to develop strategic planning in the public health system to avoid deaths. In this paper, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), cubist (CUBIST), random forest (RF), ridge regression (RIDGE), support vector regression (SVR), and stacking-ensemble learning are evaluated in the task of time series forecasting with one, three, and six-days ahead the COVID-19 cumulative confirmed cases in ten Brazilian states with a high daily incidence. In the stacking learning approach, the cubist, RF, RIDGE, and SVR models are adopted as base-learners and Gaussian process (GP) as meta-learner. The models' effectiveness is evaluated based on the improvement index, mean absolute error, and symmetric mean absolute percentage error criteria. In most of the cases, the SVR and stacking ensemble learning reach a better performance regarding adopted criteria than compared models. In general, the developed models can generate accurate forecasting, achieving errors in a range of 0.87% - 3.51%, 1.02% - 5.63%, and 0.95% - 6.90% in one, three, and six-days-ahead, respectively. The ranking of models in all scenarios is SVR, stacking ensemble learning, ARIMA, CUBIST, RIDGE, and RF models. The use of evaluated models is recommended to forecasting and monitor the ongoing growth of COVID-19 cases, once these models can assist the managers in the decision-making support systems.

    Comment: 17 pages, 5 figures. Published paper. arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:2007.10981
    Keywords Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution ; Computer Science - Machine Learning ; covid19
    Subject code 006
    Publishing date 2020-07-21
    Publishing country us
    Document type Book ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

    More links

    Kategorien

  10. Article ; Online: Forecasting Brazilian and American COVID-19 cases based on artificial intelligence coupled with climatic exogenous variables

    da Silva, Ramon Gomes / Ribeiro, Matheus Henrique Dal Molin / Mariani, Viviana Cocco / Coelho, Leandro dos Santos

    Chaos, Solitons & Fractals

    2020  Volume 139, Page(s) 110027

    Keywords General Mathematics ; covid19
    Language English
    Publisher Elsevier BV
    Publishing country us
    Document type Article ; Online
    ZDB-ID 2003919-0
    ISSN 1873-2887 ; 0960-0779
    ISSN (online) 1873-2887
    ISSN 0960-0779
    DOI 10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110027
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

    More links

    Kategorien

To top