Article ; Online: Disruption of Social Orders in Societal Transitions as Affective Control of Uncertainty
American Behavioral Scientist. 2023 Feb., v. 67, no. 2 p.311-331
2023
Abstract: Bayesian affect control theory is a model of affect-driven social interaction under conditions of uncertainty. In this paper, we investigate how the operationalization of uncertainty in the model can be related to the disruption of social orders—societal ...
Abstract | Bayesian affect control theory is a model of affect-driven social interaction under conditions of uncertainty. In this paper, we investigate how the operationalization of uncertainty in the model can be related to the disruption of social orders—societal pressures to adapt to ongoing environmental and technological change. First, we study the theoretical tradeoffs between three kinds of uncertainty as groups navigate external problems: validity (the predictability of the environment, including of other agents), coherence (the predictability of interpersonal affective dynamics), and dependence (the predictability of affective meanings). Second, we discuss how these uncertainty tradeoffs are related to contemporary political conflict and polarization in the context of societal transitions. To illustrate the potential of our model to analyze the socio-emotional consequences of uncertainty, we present a simulation of diverging individual affective meanings of occupational identities under uncertainty in a climate change mitigation scenario based on events in Germany. Finally, we sketch a possible research agenda to substantiate the novel, but yet mostly conjectural, ideas put forward in this paper. |
---|---|
Keywords | Bayesian theory ; climate change ; models ; politics ; scientists ; social behavior ; technological change ; uncertainty ; Germany ; Bayesian affect control theory ; social order ; societal change |
Language | English |
Dates of publication | 2023-02 |
Size | p. 311-331. |
Publishing place | SAGE Publications |
Document type | Article ; Online |
ISSN | 1552-3381 |
DOI | 10.1177/00027642211066055 |
Database | NAL-Catalogue (AGRICOLA) |
More links
Kategorien
Order via subito
This service is chargeable due to the Delivery terms set by subito. Orders including an article and supplementary material will be classified as separate orders. In these cases, fees will be demanded for each order.
Inter-library loan at ZB MED
Your chosen title can be delivered directly to ZB MED Cologne location if you are registered as a user at ZB MED Cologne.