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  1. Article ; Online: Relative Survival After Adult Cardiac Surgery: Analysis of the Italian Nationwide Registry Data.

    Rosato, Stefano / Biancari, Fausto / D'Errigo, Paola / Manno, Valerio / Seccareccia, Fulvia / Cuomo, Marcello / Duranti, Giorgia / Baglio, Giovanni

    Journal of cardiothoracic and vascular anesthesia

    2023  Volume 37, Issue 11, Page(s) 2223–2227

    Abstract: Objective: The authors aimed to investigate life expectancy after adult cardiac surgery.: Setting: Nationwide study including University and non-University hospitals.: Participants: Consecutive adult patients who underwent heart valve and coronary ...

    Abstract Objective: The authors aimed to investigate life expectancy after adult cardiac surgery.
    Setting: Nationwide study including University and non-University hospitals.
    Participants: Consecutive adult patients who underwent heart valve and coronary artery surgery from a nationwide administrative registry.
    Interventions: Surgical procedures on the heart valves and coronary arteries.
    Methods: The authors estimated the 10-year relative survival of adult patients who underwent surgery for heart valve diseases and coronary artery disease taken from a nationwide administrative registry.
    Measurements and results: Overall, data on 415,472 patients were available for this study. Among them, 394,445 (94.9%) survived 90 days after surgery, and their 10-year survival was 58.0% (95% CI 57.8-58.3); the expected survival was 70.1%, and the relative survival was 0.83 (95% CI 0.82-0.83). Patients who underwent surgical repair of the mitral valve and aortic valve had relative survival of 0.96 and 0.92, respectively. Isolated coronary artery bypass grafting had a relative survival of 0.88. Surgical replacement of the heart valves had a relative survival below 0.80. Poor results with relative survival <0.70 were observed after complex cardiac surgery. Relative survival was <0.60 in patients who underwent double- or triple-valve surgery combined with coronary artery surgery. The authors observed markedly lower relative survival among women (0.77, 95% CI 0.77-0.78) compared with men (0.86, 95% CI 0.85-0.86) at 10 years. Such a difference was observed after almost all different procedures.
    Conclusions: The present findings provided a picture of the real expectation in terms of the late survival of patients after having undergone adult cardiac surgery. This information should be communicated to patients and their relatives before surgery, and it may be relevant in the decision-making process and in planning tertiary prevention.
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-07-18
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 1067317-9
    ISSN 1532-8422 ; 1053-0770
    ISSN (online) 1532-8422
    ISSN 1053-0770
    DOI 10.1053/j.jvca.2023.07.016
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  2. Article ; Online: Bilateral Internal Thoracic Arteries Improve 10-Year Outcomes of Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting.

    Barili, Fabio / Onorati, Francesco / D'Errigo, Paola / Rosato, Stefano / Biancari, Fausto / Baglio, Giovanni / Badoni, Gabriella / Parolari, Alessandro / Seccareccia, Fulvia

    The Annals of thoracic surgery

    2023  Volume 116, Issue 1, Page(s) 52–60

    Abstract: Background: This observational cohort study was designed by the PRIORITY (PRedictIng long-term Outcomes afteR Isolated coronary arTery bypass surgery) steering committee to evaluate the 10-year follow-up outcome of bilateral internal thoracic arteries ( ... ...

    Abstract Background: This observational cohort study was designed by the PRIORITY (PRedictIng long-term Outcomes afteR Isolated coronary arTery bypass surgery) steering committee to evaluate the 10-year follow-up outcome of bilateral internal thoracic arteries (BITA) versus single internal thoracic artery.
    Methods: The PRIORITY project was designed to evaluate long-term outcome of 2 large prospective multicenter cohort studies of coronary artery bypass grafting. Clinical data on isolated coronary artery bypass grafting were merged with administrative data to collect follow-up information. The primary endpoint was the composite outcome of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events at 10-year follow-up. Secondary endpoints were individual components of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events at 10 years and surgical site complications or infections. A propensity score-based inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW) was used to overcome the selection bias related to the observational nature of the study.
    Results: The study population consisted of 10,988 patients who underwent isolated coronary artery bypass grafting. BITA was used in 23.5%. The use of BITA is related to lower incidence of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events at 10 years (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.88, 95% CI 0.79-0.98, P < .001). BITA correlated with better 10-year survival (IPTW adjusted HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.78-1.00, P = .05), re-revascularization (IPTW adjusted HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.74-0.92, P < .001), and myocardial infarction (IPTW adjusted HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.77-0.95, P = .005) but to increased incidence of surgical site complications or infections (HR 2.12, 95% CI 1.39-3.24, P < .001).
    Conclusions: In propensity-matched patients, use of BITA was associated with improved 10-year survival, freedom from repeat revascularization, and myocardial infarction but also higher incidence of surgical site complications.
    MeSH term(s) Humans ; Mammary Arteries/transplantation ; Prospective Studies ; Treatment Outcome ; Coronary Artery Bypass/adverse effects ; Myocardial Infarction/etiology ; Coronary Artery Disease ; Retrospective Studies
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-02-22
    Publishing country Netherlands
    Document type Observational Study ; Multicenter Study ; Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 211007-6
    ISSN 1552-6259 ; 0003-4975
    ISSN (online) 1552-6259
    ISSN 0003-4975
    DOI 10.1016/j.athoracsur.2023.02.035
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  3. Article: Impact of COVID-19 Diagnosis on Mortality in Patients with ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction Hospitalized during the National Outbreak in Italy.

    De Luca, Leonardo / Rosato, Stefano / D'Errigo, Paola / Giordani, Barbara / Mureddu, Gian Francesco / Badoni, Gabriella / Seccareccia, Fulvia / Baglio, Giovanni

    Journal of clinical medicine

    2022  Volume 11, Issue 24

    Abstract: Background. We sought to assess the clinical impact of COVID-19 infection on mortality in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) admitted during the national outbreak in Italy. Methods. We analysed a nationwide, comprehensive, and ... ...

    Abstract Background. We sought to assess the clinical impact of COVID-19 infection on mortality in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) admitted during the national outbreak in Italy. Methods. We analysed a nationwide, comprehensive, and universal administrative database of consecutive STEMI patients admitted during lockdown for COVID-19 infection (11 March−3 May 2020) and the equivalent periods of the previous 5 years in Italy. The observed rate of 30-day and 6-month all-cause mortality of STEMI patients with and without COVID-19 infection during the lockdown was compared with the expected rate of death, according to the trend of the previous 5 years. Results. During the study period, 32.910 STEMI hospitalizations occurred in Italy. Among these, 4048 STEMI patients were admitted during the 2020 outbreak: 170 (4.2%) with and 3878 (95.8%) without a COVID-19 diagnosis. According to the 5-year trend, the 2020 expected rates of 30-day and 6-month all-cause mortality were 9.2% and 12.6%, while the observed incidences of death were 10.8% (p = 0.016) and 14.4% (p = 0.017), respectively. Excluding STEMI patients with a COVID-19 diagnosis, the mortality rate resulted in accordance with the prior 5-year trend. After multiple corrections, the presence of COVID-19 diagnosis was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality at 30 days [adjusted odds ratio (OR) 4.5; 95% confidence intervals (CI) 3.09−6.45; p < 0.0001] and 6 months (adjusted OR 3.6; 95% CI: 2.47−5.12; p < 0.0001). Conclusions.During the 2020 national outbreak in Italy, COVID-19 infection significantly increased the mortality trend in patients with STEMI.
    Language English
    Publishing date 2022-12-10
    Publishing country Switzerland
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2662592-1
    ISSN 2077-0383
    ISSN 2077-0383
    DOI 10.3390/jcm11247350
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  4. Article ; Online: Covid-19 diagnosis and mortality in patients with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction admitted in Italy during the national outbreak.

    De Luca, Leonardo / Rosato, Stefano / D'Errigo, Paola / Giordani, Barbara / Mureddu, Gian Francesco / Badoni, Gabriella / Seccareccia, Fulvia / Baglio, Giovanni

    International journal of cardiology

    2022  Volume 370, Page(s) 447–453

    Abstract: Introduction: We sought to assess the clinical impact of Covid-19 infection on mortality in patients with Non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) admitted during the national outbreak in Italy.: Methods: We analysed a nationwide, ... ...

    Abstract Introduction: We sought to assess the clinical impact of Covid-19 infection on mortality in patients with Non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) admitted during the national outbreak in Italy.
    Methods: We analysed a nationwide, comprehensive, and universal administrative database of consecutive NSTEMI patients admitted during lockdown for Covid-19 infection (March,11st - May 3rd, 2020) and the equivalent periods of the previous 5 years in Italy. The observed rate of 30-day and 6-month all-cause mortality of NSTEMI patients with and without Covid-19 infection during the lockdown was compared with the expected rate of death according to the trend of the previous 5 years.
    Results: During the period of observation, 48.447 NSTEMI hospitalizations occurred in Italy. Among these, 4981 NSTEMI patients were admitted during the 2020 outbreak: 173 (3.5%) with and 4808 (96.5%) without a Covid-19 diagnosis. According to the 5-year trend, the 2020 expected rate of 30-day and 6-month all-cause mortality was 6.5% and 12.2%, while the observed incidence of death was 8.3% (p = 0.001) and 13.6% (p = 0.041), respectively. Excluding NSTEMI patients with a Covid-19 diagnosis, the 6-month mortality rate resulted in accordance with the prior 5-year trend. After multiple corrections, the presence of Covid-19 diagnosis resulted one of the independent predictors of all-cause mortality at 30 days [adjusted odds ratio (OR) 4.3; 95% confidence intervals (CI) 2.90-6.23; p < 0.0001] and 6 months (adjusted OR 3.5; 95% CI: 2.43-5.03; p < 0.0001).
    Conclusions: During the 2020 national outbreak in Italy, a concomitant diagnosis of Covid-19 in NSTEMI was associated with a significantly higher rate of mortality.
    MeSH term(s) Humans ; Non-ST Elevated Myocardial Infarction/diagnosis ; Non-ST Elevated Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology ; Non-ST Elevated Myocardial Infarction/etiology ; Myocardial Infarction/diagnosis ; COVID-19 Testing ; COVID-19/diagnosis ; Communicable Disease Control ; Percutaneous Coronary Intervention/adverse effects ; Risk Factors ; Treatment Outcome
    Language English
    Publishing date 2022-11-07
    Publishing country Netherlands
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 779519-1
    ISSN 1874-1754 ; 0167-5273
    ISSN (online) 1874-1754
    ISSN 0167-5273
    DOI 10.1016/j.ijcard.2022.11.008
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  5. Article: Impact of myocardial revascularization on long-term outcomes in a nationwide cohort of first acute myocardial infarction survivors.

    De Luca, Leonardo / D'Errigo, Paola / Rosato, Stefano / Mureddu, Gian Francesco / Badoni, Gabriella / Seccareccia, Fulvia / Baglio, Giovanni

    European heart journal supplements : journal of the European Society of Cardiology

    2022  Volume 24, Issue Suppl C, Page(s) C225–C232

    Abstract: The long-term clinical benefits of myocardial revascularization in a contemporary, nationwide cohort of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) survivors are unclear. We aimed to compare the mortality rates and clinical outcomes at 8 years of patients admitted ...

    Abstract The long-term clinical benefits of myocardial revascularization in a contemporary, nationwide cohort of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) survivors are unclear. We aimed to compare the mortality rates and clinical outcomes at 8 years of patients admitted in Italy for a first AMI managed with or without myocardial revascularization during the index event. This is a national retrospective cohort study that enrolled patients admitted for a first AMI in 2012 in all Italian hospitals who survived at 30 days. The outcomes of interest were all-cause mortality, major cardio-cerebrovascular events (MACCE), and re-hospitalization for heart failure (HF) at 8 years. Time to events was analysed using a Cox and Fine and Gray multivariate regression model. A total of 127 431 patients with AMI were admitted to Italian hospitals in 2012. The study cohort consisted of 62 336 AMI events, of whom 63.8% underwent percutaneous or surgical revascularization ≤30 days of the index hospital admission. At 8 years, the cumulative incidence of all-cause death was 36.5% (24.6% in revascularized and 57.6% in not revascularized patients). After multiple corrections, the hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality in revascularized vs. not revascularized patients was 0.61 (
    Language English
    Publishing date 2022-05-18
    Publishing country England
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 1463769-8
    ISSN 1554-2815 ; 1520-765X
    ISSN (online) 1554-2815
    ISSN 1520-765X
    DOI 10.1093/eurheartj/suac013
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  6. Article: Impact of COVID-19 Diagnosis on Mortality in Patients with Ischemic Stroke Admitted during the 2020 Pandemic in Italy.

    De Luca, Leonardo / D'Errigo, Paola / Rosato, Stefano / Badoni, Gabriella / Giordani, Barbara / Mureddu, Gian Francesco / Tavilla, Andrea / Seccareccia, Fulvia / Baglio, Giovanni

    Journal of clinical medicine

    2023  Volume 12, Issue 14

    Abstract: Aims: The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the event rate of patients with ischemic stroke has been poorly investigated. We sought to evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 infection on mortality in patients with ischemic stroke admitted during the 2020 ... ...

    Abstract Aims: The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the event rate of patients with ischemic stroke has been poorly investigated. We sought to evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 infection on mortality in patients with ischemic stroke admitted during the 2020 pandemic in Italy.
    Methods: We analyzed a nationwide, comprehensive, and universal administrative database of patients who were admitted for ischemic stroke during and after the national lockdown for the COVID-19 infection in 2020, and the equivalent periods over the previous 5 years in Italy. The 2020 observed hospitalization and mortality rates of stroke patients with and without COVID-19 infection were compared with the expected rates, in accordance with the trend of the previous 5 years.
    Results: During the period of observation, 300,890 hospitalizations for ischemic stroke occurred in Italy. In 2020, 41,302 stroke patients (1102 with concomitant COVID-19 infection) were admitted at 771 centers. The rate of admissions for ischemic stroke during the 2020 pandemic was markedly reduced compared with previous years (percentage change vs. 2015: -23.5). Based on the 5 year trend, the 2020 expected 30 day and 1 year mortality rates were 9.8% and 23.9%, respectively, and the observed incidence of death rates were 12.2% and 26.7%, respectively (both
    Conclusions: During the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 in Italy, the rate of hospitalizations for ischemic stroke was dramatically reduced, although both the 30 day and 1 year mortality rates increased compared with the previous 5 year trend.
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-07-08
    Publishing country Switzerland
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2662592-1
    ISSN 2077-0383
    ISSN 2077-0383
    DOI 10.3390/jcm12144560
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  7. Article ; Online: Vent’anni di epidemiologia delle sindromi coronariche acute in Italia: come l’epidemiologia cardiovascolare può orientare la clinica e le strategie di prevenzione secondaria.

    Mureddu, Gian Francesco / D'Errigo, Paola / Rosato, Stefano / Ceravolo, Roberto / Altamura, Vito / Di Martino, Mirko / Fileti, Luca / Faggiano, Pompilio / De Luca, Leonardo / Seccareccia, Fulvia

    Giornale italiano di cardiologia (2006)

    2023  Volume 24, Issue 5, Page(s) 365–372

    Abstract: Over the last 20 years the epidemiology of acute coronary syndromes (ACS) has significantly changed, affecting both the acute and post-acute phases. In particular, although the progressive reduction in in-hospital mortality, the trend in post-hospital ... ...

    Title translation Twenty years of epidemiology of acute coronary syndromes in Italy: how cardiovascular epidemiology can guide secondary prevention strategies.
    Abstract Over the last 20 years the epidemiology of acute coronary syndromes (ACS) has significantly changed, affecting both the acute and post-acute phases. In particular, although the progressive reduction in in-hospital mortality, the trend in post-hospital mortality was found to be stable or increasing. This trend was at least in part attributed to the improved short-term prognosis due to coronary interventions in the acute phase, which ultimately have increased the population of survivors at high risk of relapse. Thus, while hospital management of ACS has shown great progress in terms of diagnostic and therapeutic efficacy, post-hospital care has not had a parallel development. This is certainly partly attributable to the inadequacy of post-discharge cardiologic facilities, so far not planned according to the level of risk of individual patients. Hence, it is crucial that patients at high risk of relapse are identified and initiated into more intensive secondary prevention strategies. On the basis of epidemiological data, the cornerstones of post-ACS prognostic stratification are represented on the one hand by the identification of heart failure (HF) at index hospitalization, on the other hand by the assessment of residual ischemic risk. In patients presenting with HF at index hospitalization, the fatal rehospitalization rate increases by 0.90% per year from 2001 to 2011, with a mortality between discharge and the first year which in 2011 was equal to 10%. The risk of fatal readmission at 1 year is therefore strongly conditioned by the presence of HF which, together with age, is the major predictor of new events. The effect of high residual ischemic risk on subsequent mortality shows increasing trend up to the second year of follow-up, moderately increasing over the years until reaching a plateau around the fifth year. These observations confirm the need for long-term secondary prevention programs and implementation of a continuous surveillance in selected patients.
    MeSH term(s) Humans ; Acute Coronary Syndrome/epidemiology ; Acute Coronary Syndrome/prevention & control ; Secondary Prevention ; Aftercare ; Patient Discharge ; Heart Failure/epidemiology ; Heart Failure/prevention & control ; Italy/epidemiology ; Risk Factors
    Language Italian
    Publishing date 2023-04-27
    Publishing country Italy
    Document type English Abstract ; Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 2272414-X
    ISSN 1972-6481 ; 1827-6806
    ISSN (online) 1972-6481
    ISSN 1827-6806
    DOI 10.1714/4026.40010
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  8. Article ; Online: Impact of Chronic Coronary Artery Disease and Revascularization Strategy in Patients with Severe Aortic Stenosis Who Underwent Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation.

    Aurigemma, Cristina / Massussi, Mauro / Fraccaro, Chiara / Adamo, Marianna / D'Errigo, Paola / Rosato, Stefano / Seccareccia, Fulvia / Santoro, Gennaro / Baiocchi, Massimo / Barbanti, Marco / Biancari, Fausto / Baglio, Giovanni / Marcellusi, Andrea / Trani, Carlo / Tarantini, Giuseppe

    The American journal of cardiology

    2023  Volume 206, Page(s) 14–22

    Abstract: The prognostic impact of coronary artery disease (CAD) after transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is controversial. The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of CAD and different revascularization strategies on clinical outcomes in ... ...

    Abstract The prognostic impact of coronary artery disease (CAD) after transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is controversial. The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of CAD and different revascularization strategies on clinical outcomes in patients who underwent TAVI with third generation devices. Patients enrolled in the national observational Observational Study of Effectiveness of SAVR-TAVI Procedures for Severe Aortic Stenosis Treatment II study were stratified according to the presence of CAD (CAD+, n = 1,130) versus no CAD (CAD-, n = 1,505), and compared using a propensity matched analysis. CAD+ group was further stratified according to the revascularization strategy: no revascularization (n = 331), revascularization performed >90 days before index-TAVI (n = 417) and coronary revascularization performed <90 days before index-TAVI or during TAVI (n = 382). In-hospital, 30-day and 1-year clinical outcomes were estimated. The mean age of the overall population was 81.8 years; 54.9% of patients were female. Propensity score matching yielded 813 pairs and their 30-day all-cause mortality was comparable (p = 0.480). Major periprocedural adverse events were also similar between the groups. At 1-year follow-up, the rate of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) and all-cause mortality were similar between the groups (p = 0.732 and p = 0.633, respectively). Conversely, patients with CAD experienced more often myocardial infarction and need for percutaneous coronary intervention at 1 year (p = 0.007 and p = 0.001, respectively). Neither CAD nor revascularization strategy were independent predictors of 1-year MACCE. About 40% of patients presenting with severe AS and who underwent TAVI had concomitant CAD. The presence of CAD had no impact on all-cause mortality and MACCE 1-year after TAVR. However, CAD carries a higher risk for acute myocardial infarction and need of percutaneous coronary intervention during follow-up.
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-09-05
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 80014-4
    ISSN 1879-1913 ; 0002-9149
    ISSN (online) 1879-1913
    ISSN 0002-9149
    DOI 10.1016/j.amjcard.2023.08.045
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  9. Article ; Online: Impact of vascular complications after transcatheter aortic valve implantation. VASC-OBSERVANT II sub-study.

    Aurigemma, Cristina / Trani, Carlo / D'Errigo, Paola / Barbanti, Marco / Biancari, Fausto / Tarantini, Giuseppe / Santoro, Gennaro / Baiocchi, Massimo / Baglio, Giovanni / Seccareccia, Fulvia / Rosato, Stefano

    Catheterization and cardiovascular interventions : official journal of the Society for Cardiac Angiography & Interventions

    2023  Volume 102, Issue 2, Page(s) 381–391

    Abstract: Background: Trans-femoral (TF) access is the commonest approach for transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). However this vascular approach is associated with vascular complications (VC) which in turn have prognostic implications. The aim of this ...

    Abstract Background: Trans-femoral (TF) access is the commonest approach for transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). However this vascular approach is associated with vascular complications (VC) which in turn have prognostic implications. The aim of this study is to evaluate the clinical impact of access site VC in patients undergoing TAVI with newer generation transcatheter prostheses enrolled in the national observational prospective multicenter study OBSERVANT II.
    Methods: Vascular events were defined according to the Valve Academic Research Consortium (VARC)-2 criteria. The population enrolled in OBSERVANT II was divided into 3 groups: patients without VC (No-VC), patients with minor VC or percutaneous closure device failure (Minor-VC) and patients with major VC (Major-VC). The primary endpoint was 1-year major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular event (MACCE), a composite endpoint of all-cause mortality, stroke, myocardial infarction and coronary revascularization. A multivariate Cox regression model was used for risk estimation of MACCE between the three analyzed groups.
    Results: 2.504 patients were included in this analysis: 2.167 patients in No-VC group; 249 patients in the Minor-VC and 88 patients in the Major-VC. At 1-year Minor-VC group had a freedom from MACCE comparable to the No-VC group, while Major-VC patients had significantly worse outcome (Log-rank test: p = 0.003). These results were driven by higher 1-year mortality in the Major-VC (p < 0.0001). Major-VC was an independent predictor of MACCE in adjusted analysis (hazard ratio 1.89, 95% confidence interval 1.18-3.03, p = 0.008).
    Conclusions: Despite a low incidence of major VC with current TF-TAVI devices, our data confirm that major VC is still associated with a significantly worse clinical outcome.
    MeSH term(s) Humans ; Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement ; Aortic Valve Stenosis/diagnostic imaging ; Aortic Valve Stenosis/surgery ; Aortic Valve Stenosis/etiology ; Prospective Studies ; Treatment Outcome ; Prognosis ; Aortic Valve/diagnostic imaging ; Aortic Valve/surgery ; Risk Factors
    Language English
    Publishing date 2023-06-02
    Publishing country United States
    Document type Observational Study ; Multicenter Study ; Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 1459995-8
    ISSN 1522-726X ; 1522-1946
    ISSN (online) 1522-726X
    ISSN 1522-1946
    DOI 10.1002/ccd.30695
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  10. Article ; Online: A novel, comprehensive tool for predicting 30-day mortality after surgical aortic valve replacement.

    Biancari, Fausto / Rosato, Stefano / Costa, Giuliano / Barbanti, Marco / D'Errigo, Paola / Tamburino, Corrado / Cerza, Francesco / Rosano, Aldo / Seccareccia, Fulvia

    European journal of cardio-thoracic surgery : official journal of the European Association for Cardio-thoracic Surgery

    2021  Volume 59, Issue 3, Page(s) 586–592

    Abstract: Objectives: We sought to develop and validate a novel risk assessment tool for the prediction of 30-day mortality after surgical aortic valve replacement incorporating a patient's frailty.: Methods: Overall, 4718 patients from the multicentre study ... ...

    Abstract Objectives: We sought to develop and validate a novel risk assessment tool for the prediction of 30-day mortality after surgical aortic valve replacement incorporating a patient's frailty.
    Methods: Overall, 4718 patients from the multicentre study OBSERVANT was divided into derivation (n = 3539) and validation (n = 1179) cohorts. A stepwise logistic regression procedure and a criterion based on Akaike information criteria index were used to select variables associated with 30-day mortality. The performance of the regression model was compared with that of European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) II.
    Results: At 30 days, 90 (2.54%) and 35 (2.97%) patients died in the development and validation data sets, respectively. Age, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, concomitant coronary revascularization, frailty stratified according to the Geriatric Status Scale, urgent procedure and estimated glomerular filtration rate were independent predictors of 30-day mortality. The estimated OBS AVR score showed higher discrimination (area under curve 0.76 vs 0.70, P < 0.001) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow P = 0.847 vs P = 0.130) than the EuroSCORE II. The higher performances of the OBS AVR score were confirmed by the decision curve, net reclassification index (0.46, P = 0.011) and integrated discrimination improvement (0.02, P < 0.001) analyses. Five-year mortality increased significantly along increasing deciles of the OBS AVR score (P < 0.001).
    Conclusions: The OBS AVR risk score showed high discrimination and calibration abilities in predicting 30-day mortality after surgical aortic valve replacement. The addition of a simplified frailty assessment into the model seems to contribute to an improved predictive ability over the EuroSCORE II. The OBS AVR risk score showed a significant association with long-term mortality.
    MeSH term(s) Aged ; Aortic Valve/surgery ; Aortic Valve Stenosis/surgery ; Heart Valve Prosthesis Implantation/adverse effects ; Humans ; Risk Assessment ; Risk Factors ; Treatment Outcome
    Language English
    Publishing date 2021-03-24
    Publishing country Germany
    Document type Journal Article ; Multicenter Study
    ZDB-ID 639293-3
    ISSN 1873-734X ; 1010-7940 ; 1567-4258
    ISSN (online) 1873-734X
    ISSN 1010-7940 ; 1567-4258
    DOI 10.1093/ejcts/ezaa375
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