Article: Estimating deaths from foodborne disease in the UK for 11 key pathogens.
BMJ open gastroenterology
2020 Volume 7, Issue 1
Abstract: Objective: To estimate the number of deaths from foodborne disease in the UK from 11 key pathogens.: Design: Four different models were developed using data from a range of sources. These included enhanced surveillance, outbreaks, death certificates ... ...
Abstract | Objective: To estimate the number of deaths from foodborne disease in the UK from 11 key pathogens. Design: Four different models were developed using data from a range of sources. These included enhanced surveillance, outbreaks, death certificates and hospital episode statistics data. For each model, median estimates were produced with 95% credible intervals (CrI). The results from the different models were compared. Results: The estimates for foodborne deaths for each pathogen from the different models were consistent, with CrIs largely overlapping. Based on the preferred model for each pathogen, foodborne norovirus is estimated to cause 56 deaths per year (95% CrI 32 to 92), foodborne Conclusions: We estimate that there are 180 deaths per year in the UK (95% CrI 113 to 359) caused by foodborne disease based on these 11 pathogens. While this is a small fraction of the estimated 2.4 million cases of foodborne illness per year it still illustrates the potential severity of these illnesses demonstrating the importance in continuing efforts to reduce these infections. |
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MeSH term(s) | Adenoviridae/isolation & purification ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Campylobacter/isolation & purification ; Clostridium perfringens/isolation & purification ; Cryptosporidium/isolation & purification ; Death Certificates ; Disease Outbreaks/statistics & numerical data ; Foodborne Diseases/epidemiology ; Foodborne Diseases/microbiology ; Foodborne Diseases/parasitology ; Foodborne Diseases/virology ; Giardia/isolation & purification ; Humans ; Listeria monocytogenes/isolation & purification ; Mamastrovirus/isolation & purification ; Mortality/trends ; Norovirus/isolation & purification ; Population Surveillance/methods ; Rotavirus/isolation & purification ; Salmonella/isolation & purification ; Severity of Illness Index ; Shigella/isolation & purification ; United Kingdom/epidemiology |
Language | English |
Publishing date | 2020-06-26 |
Publishing country | England |
Document type | Comparative Study ; Journal Article |
ISSN | 2054-4774 |
ISSN | 2054-4774 |
DOI | 10.1136/bmjgast-2020-000377 |
Database | MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE |
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