Article ; Online: Retrospective analysis of predictive factors for AVF dysfunction in patients undergoing MHD.
2024 Volume 103, Issue 16, Page(s) e37737
Abstract: To construct an early clinical prediction model for AVF dysfunction in patients undergoing Maintenance Hemodialysis (MHD) and perform internal and external verifications. We retrospectively examined clinical data from 150 patients diagnosed with MHD at ... ...
| Abstract | To construct an early clinical prediction model for AVF dysfunction in patients undergoing Maintenance Hemodialysis (MHD) and perform internal and external verifications. We retrospectively examined clinical data from 150 patients diagnosed with MHD at Hefei Third People's Hospital from January 2014 to June 2023. Depending on arteriovenous fistula (AVF) functionality, patients were categorized into dysfunctional (n = 62) and functional (n = 88) cohorts. Using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO) regression model, variables potentially influencing AVF functionality were filtered using selected variables that underwent multifactorial logistic regression analysis. The Nomogram model was constructed using the R software, and the Area Under Curve(AUC) value was calculated. The model's accuracy was appraised through the calibration curve and Hosmer-Lemeshow test, with the model undergoing internal validation using the bootstrap method. There were 11 factors exhibiting differences between the group of patients with AVF dysfunction and the group with normal AVF function, including age, sex, course of renal failure, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, Platelet count (PLT), Calcium (Ca), Phosphorus, D-dimer (D-D), Fibrinogen (Fib), and Anastomotic width. These identified factors are included as candidate predictive variables in the LASSO regression analysis. LASSO regression identified age, sex, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, anastomotic diameter, blood phosphorus, and serum D-D levels as 7 predictive factors. Unconditional binary logistic regression analysis revealed that advanced age (OR = 4.358, 95% CI: 1.454-13.062), diabetes (OR = 4.158, 95% CI: 1.243-13.907), hyperlipidemia (OR = 3.651, 95% CI: 1.066-12.499), D-D (OR = 1.311, 95% CI: 1.063-1.616), and hyperphosphatemia (OR = 4.986, 95% CI: 2.513-9.892) emerged as independent risk factors for AVF dysfunction in MHD patients. The AUC of the predictive model was 0.934 (95% CI: 0.897-0.971). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed high consistency between the model's predictive results and actual clinical observations (χ2 = 1.553, P = .092). Internal validation revealed an AUC of 0.911 (95% CI: 0.866-0.956), with the Calibration calibration curve nearing the ideal curve. Advanced age, coexisting diabetes, hyperlipidemia, blood D-D levels, and hyperphosphatemia are independent risk factors for AVF dysfunction in patients undergoing MHD. |
|---|---|
| MeSH term(s) | Humans ; Hyperphosphatemia ; Models, Statistical ; Prognosis ; Retrospective Studies ; Arteriovenous Fistula ; Nomograms ; Phosphorus ; Diabetes Mellitus ; Hyperlipidemias |
| Chemical Substances | Phosphorus (27YLU75U4W) |
| Language | English |
| Publishing date | 2024-04-19 |
| Publishing country | United States |
| Document type | Journal Article |
| ZDB-ID | 80184-7 |
| ISSN | 1536-5964 ; 0025-7974 |
| ISSN (online) | 1536-5964 |
| ISSN | 0025-7974 |
| DOI | 10.1097/MD.0000000000037737 |
| Database | MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE |
More links
Kategorien
In stock of ZB MED Cologne/Königswinter
| Ua VI Zs.171: Show issues | Location: Je nach Verfügbarkeit (siehe Angabe bei Bestand) bis Jg. 2021: Bestellungen von Artikeln über das Online-Bestellformular ab Jg. 2022: Lesesaal (EG) |
Order via subito
This service is chargeable due to the Delivery terms set by subito. Orders including an article and supplementary material will be classified as separate orders. In these cases, fees will be demanded for each order.