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  1. Article ; Online: Freeway Short-Term Travel Speed Prediction Based on Data Collection Time-Horizons

    Muhammad Zahid / Yangzhou Chen / Arshad Jamal / Coulibaly Zie Mamadou

    Sustainability, Vol 12, Iss 2, p

    A Fast Forest Quantile Regression Approach

    2020  Volume 646

    Abstract: Short-term traffic speed prediction is vital for proactive traffic control, and is one of the integral components of an intelligent transportation system (ITS). Accurate prediction of short-term travel speed has numerous applications for traffic ... ...

    Abstract Short-term traffic speed prediction is vital for proactive traffic control, and is one of the integral components of an intelligent transportation system (ITS). Accurate prediction of short-term travel speed has numerous applications for traffic monitoring, route planning, as well as helping to relieve traffic congestion. Previous studies have attempted to approach this problem using statistical and conventional artificial intelligence (AI) methods without accounting for influence of data collection time-horizons. However, statistical methods have received widespread criticism concerning prediction accuracy performance, while traditional AI approaches have too shallow architecture to capture non-linear stochastics variations in traffic flow. Hence, this study aims to explore prediction of short-term traffic speed at multiple time-ahead intervals using data collected from loop detectors. A fast forest quantile regression (FFQR) via hyperparameters optimization was introduced for predicting short-term traffic speed prediction. FFQR is an ensemble machine learning model that combines several regression trees to improve speed prediction accuracy. The accuracy of short-term traffic speed prediction was compared using the FFQR model at different data collection time-horizons. Prediction results demonstrated the adequacy and robustness of the proposed approach under different scenarios. It was concluded that prediction performance of FFQR was significantly enhanced and robust, particularly at time intervals larger than 5 min. The findings also revealed that speed prediction error (in terms of quantiles loss) ranged between 0.58 and 1.18.
    Keywords its ; traffic simulation and modeling ; travel speed prediction ; fast forest quantile regression ; beijing ; Environmental effects of industries and plants ; TD194-195 ; Renewable energy sources ; TJ807-830 ; Environmental sciences ; GE1-350
    Subject code 310
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-01-01T00:00:00Z
    Publisher MDPI AG
    Document type Article ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  2. Article ; Online: Adopting Machine Learning and Spatial Analysis Techniques for Driver Risk Assessment

    Muhammad Zahid / Yangzhou Chen / Arshad Jamal / Khalaf A. Al-Ofi / Hassan M. Al-Ahmadi

    International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Vol 17, Iss 5193, p

    Insights from a Case Study

    2020  Volume 5193

    Abstract: Traffic violations usually caused by aggressive driving behavior are often seen as a primary contributor to traffic crashes. Violations are either caused by an unintentional or deliberate act of drivers that jeopardize the lives of fellow drivers, ... ...

    Abstract Traffic violations usually caused by aggressive driving behavior are often seen as a primary contributor to traffic crashes. Violations are either caused by an unintentional or deliberate act of drivers that jeopardize the lives of fellow drivers, pedestrians, and property. This study is aimed to investigate different traffic violations (overspeeding, wrong-way driving, illegal parking, non-compliance traffic control devices, etc.) using spatial analysis and different machine learning methods. Georeferenced violation data along two expressways (S308 and S219) for the year 2016 was obtained from the traffic police department, in the city of Luzhou, China. Detailed descriptive analysis of the data showed that wrong-way driving was the most common violation type observed. Inverse Distance Weighted (IDW) interpolation in the ArcMap Geographic Information System (GIS) was used to develop violation hotspots zones to guide on efficient use of limited resources during the treatment of high-risk sites. Lastly, a systematic Machine Learning (ML) framework, such as K Nearest Neighbors (KNN) models (using k = 3, 5, 7, 10, and 12), support vector machine (SVM), and CN2 Rule Inducer, was utilized for classification and prediction of each violation type as a function of several explanatory variables. The predictive performance of proposed ML models was examined using different evaluation metrics, such as Area Under the Curve (AUC), F-score, precision, recall, specificity, and run time. The results also showed that the KNN model with k = 7 using manhattan evaluation had an accuracy of 99% and outperformed the SVM and CN2 Rule Inducer. The outcome of this study could provide the practitioners and decision-makers with essential insights for appropriate engineering and traffic control measures to improve the safety of road-users.
    Keywords aggressive driving ; traffic violations ; inverse distance weighted (IDW) interpolation ; geographic information system (GIS) ; machine learning ; Medicine ; R
    Subject code 380
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-07-01T00:00:00Z
    Publisher MDPI AG
    Document type Article ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  3. Article ; Online: Predicting Risky and Aggressive Driving Behavior among Taxi Drivers

    Muhammad Zahid / Yangzhou Chen / Sikandar Khan / Arshad Jamal / Muhammad Ijaz / Tufail Ahmed

    International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Vol 17, Iss 3937, p

    Do Spatio-Temporal Attributes Matter?

    2020  Volume 3937

    Abstract: Risky and aggressive driving maneuvers are considered a significant indicator for traffic accident occurrence as well as they aggravate their severity. Traffic violations caused by such uncivilized driving behavior is a global issue. Studies in existing ... ...

    Abstract Risky and aggressive driving maneuvers are considered a significant indicator for traffic accident occurrence as well as they aggravate their severity. Traffic violations caused by such uncivilized driving behavior is a global issue. Studies in existing literature have used statistical analysis methods to explore key contributing factors toward aggressive driving and traffic violations. However, such methods are unable to capture latent correlations among predictor variables, and they also suffer from low prediction accuracies. This study aimed to comprehensively investigate different traffic violations using spatial analysis and machine learning methods in the city of Luzhou, China. Violations committed by taxi drivers are the focus of the current study since they constitute a significant proportion of total violations reported in the city. Georeferenced violation data for the year 2016 was obtained from the traffic police department. Detailed descriptive analysis is presented to summarize key statistics about various violation types. Results revealed that over-speeding was the most prevalent violation type observed in the study area. Frequency-based nearest neighborhood cluster methods in Arc map Geographic Information System (GIS) were used to develop hotspot maps for different violation types that are vital for prioritizing and conducting treatment alternatives efficiently. Finally, different machine learning (ML) methods, including decision tree, AdaBoost with a base estimator decision tree, and stack model, were employed to predict and classify each violation type. The proposed methods were compared based on different evaluation metrics like accuracy, F-1 measure, specificity, and log loss. Prediction results demonstrated the adequacy and robustness of proposed machine learning (ML) methods. However, a detailed comparative analysis showed that the stack model outperformed other models in terms of proposed evaluation metrics.
    Keywords Aggressive driving ; traffic violations ; hotspot analysis ; Geographic Information System (GIS) ; machine learning ; taxi drivers ; Medicine ; R
    Subject code 006
    Language English
    Publishing date 2020-06-01T00:00:00Z
    Publisher MDPI AG
    Document type Article ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  4. Article ; Online: Lane Detection in Video-Based Intelligent Transportation Monitoring via Fast Extracting and Clustering of Vehicle Motion Trajectories

    Jianqiang Ren / Yangzhou Chen / Le Xin / Jianjun Shi

    Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Vol

    2014  Volume 2014

    Keywords Mathematics ; QA1-939 ; Science ; Q ; Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) ; TA1-2040 ; Technology ; T
    Language English
    Publishing date 2014-01-01T00:00:00Z
    Publisher Hindawi Publishing Corporation
    Document type Article ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  5. Article ; Online: Lane Detection in Video-Based Intelligent Transportation Monitoring via Fast Extracting and Clustering of Vehicle Motion Trajectories

    Jianqiang Ren / Yangzhou Chen / Le Xin / Jianjun Shi

    Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Vol

    2014  Volume 2014

    Keywords Mathematics ; QA1-939 ; Science ; Q ; Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) ; TA1-2040 ; Technology ; T
    Language English
    Publishing date 2014-01-01T00:00:00Z
    Publisher Hindawi Publishing Corporation
    Document type Article ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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  6. Article ; Online: Robust Stability Analysis and Synthesis for Switched Discrete-Time Systems with Time Delay

    Liguo Zhang / Hongfeng Li / Yangzhou Chen

    Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Vol

    2010  Volume 2010

    Abstract: The problems of robust stability analysis and synthesis for a class of uncertain switched time-delay systems with polytopic type uncertainties are addressed. Based on the constructive use of an appropriate switched Lyapunov function, sufficient linear ... ...

    Abstract The problems of robust stability analysis and synthesis for a class of uncertain switched time-delay systems with polytopic type uncertainties are addressed. Based on the constructive use of an appropriate switched Lyapunov function, sufficient linear matrix inequalities (LMIs) conditions are investigated to make such systems a uniform quadratic stability with an L2-gain smaller than a given constant level. System synthesis is to design switched feedback schemes, whether based on state, output measurements, or by using dynamic output feedback, to guarantee that the corresponding closed-loop system satisfies the LMIs conditions. Two numerical examples are provided that demonstrate the efficiency of this approach.
    Keywords Social sciences (General) ; H1-99 ; Social Sciences ; H ; DOAJ:Social Sciences ; Mathematics ; QA1-939 ; Science ; Q ; DOAJ:Mathematics ; DOAJ:Mathematics and Statistics
    Language English
    Publishing date 2010-01-01T00:00:00Z
    Publisher Hindawi Publishing Corporation
    Document type Article ; Online
    Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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