Article ; Online: The Accuracy of Nonstandardized MELD/PELD Score Exceptions in the Pediatric Liver Allocation System.
2023 Volume 107, Issue 10, Page(s) e247–e256
Abstract: Background: In the United States, over half of pediatric candidates receive exceptions and status upgrades that increase their allocation model of end-stage liver disease/pediatric end-stage liver disease (MELD/PELD) score above their laboratory MELD/ ... ...
Abstract | Background: In the United States, over half of pediatric candidates receive exceptions and status upgrades that increase their allocation model of end-stage liver disease/pediatric end-stage liver disease (MELD/PELD) score above their laboratory MELD/PELD score. We determined whether these "nonstandardized" MELD/PELD exceptions accurately depict true pretransplant mortality risk. Methods: Using data from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients, we identified pediatric candidates (<18 y of age) with chronic liver failure added to the waitlist between June 2016 and September 2021 and estimated all-cause pretransplant mortality with mixed-effects Cox proportional hazards models that treated allocation MELD/PELD and exception status as time-dependent covariates. We also estimated concordance statistics comparing the performance of laboratory MELD/PELD with allocation MELD/PELD. We then compared the proportion of candidates with exceptions before and after the establishment of the National Liver Review Board. Results: Out of 2026 pediatric candidates listed during our study period, 403 (19.9%) received an exception within a week of listing and 1182 (58.3%) received an exception before delisting. Candidates prioritized by their laboratory MELD/PELD scores had an almost 9 times greater risk of pretransplant mortality compared with candidates who received the same allocation score from an exception (hazard ratio 8.69; 95% confidence interval, 4.71-16.03; P < 0.001). The laboratory MELD/PELD score without exceptions was more accurate than the allocation MELD/PELD score with exceptions (Harrell's c-index 0.843 versus 0.763). The proportion of patients with an active exception at the time of transplant decreased significantly after the National Liver Review Board was implemented (67.4% versus 43.4%, P < 0.001). Conclusions: Nonstandardized exceptions undermine the rank ordering of pediatric candidates with chronic liver failure. |
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MeSH term(s) | Child ; Humans ; United States/epidemiology ; End Stage Liver Disease/diagnosis ; End Stage Liver Disease/surgery ; Liver Transplantation ; Severity of Illness Index ; Waiting Lists ; Registries |
Language | English |
Publishing date | 2023-07-06 |
Publishing country | United States |
Document type | Journal Article ; Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural |
ZDB-ID | 208424-7 |
ISSN | 1534-6080 ; 0041-1337 |
ISSN (online) | 1534-6080 |
ISSN | 0041-1337 |
DOI | 10.1097/TP.0000000000004720 |
Database | MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE |
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