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Article ; Online: Looking Backward and Looking Forward

Zhengyuan Gao / Christian M. Hafner

Econometrics, Vol 7, Iss 2, p

2019  Volume 27

Abstract: Filtering has had a profound impact as a device of perceiving information and deriving agent expectations in dynamic economic models. For an abstract economic system, this paper shows that the foundation of applying the filtering method corresponds to ... ...

Abstract Filtering has had a profound impact as a device of perceiving information and deriving agent expectations in dynamic economic models. For an abstract economic system, this paper shows that the foundation of applying the filtering method corresponds to the existence of a conditional expectation as an equilibrium process. Agent-based rational behavior of looking backward and looking forward is generalized to a conditional expectation process where the economic system is approximated by a class of models, which can be represented and estimated without information loss. The proposed framework elucidates the range of applications of a general filtering device and is not limited to a particular model class such as rational expectations.
Keywords perception ; filter ; rational expectations ; estimation ; Economics as a science ; HB71-74
Language English
Publishing date 2019-06-01T00:00:00Z
Publisher MDPI AG
Document type Article ; Online
Database BASE - Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (life sciences selection)

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