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  1. Artikel ; Online: The costs of "costless" climate mitigation.

    Kotchen, Matthew J / Rising, James A / Wagner, Gernot

    Science (New York, N.Y.)

    2023  Band 382, Heft 6674, Seite(n) 1001–1003

    Abstract: The IPCC and leading economic models have different ideas about emissions reduction costs. ...

    Abstract The IPCC and leading economic models have different ideas about emissions reduction costs.
    Sprache Englisch
    Erscheinungsdatum 2023-11-30
    Erscheinungsland United States
    Dokumenttyp Journal Article
    ZDB-ID 128410-1
    ISSN 1095-9203 ; 0036-8075
    ISSN (online) 1095-9203
    ISSN 0036-8075
    DOI 10.1126/science.adj2453
    Datenquelle MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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  2. Artikel: A flexible approach to model coupling through probabilistic pooling

    Rising, James A

    Environmental modelling & software. 2017 July, v. 93

    2017  

    Abstract: Model coupling is an important approach to studying the dynamics of complex systems, but by introducing new feedback loops, the dynamics of coupled models can be artificially distorted. This paper describes a new method of model coupling which addresses ... ...

    Abstract Model coupling is an important approach to studying the dynamics of complex systems, but by introducing new feedback loops, the dynamics of coupled models can be artificially distorted. This paper describes a new method of model coupling which addresses this problem through a dynamic form of regularization. The method allows the time series evolution of model variables to be mutually informed by multiple models, and models to influence each other in proportion to their degree of certainty. Uncoupled forms of the coupled models can act as dynamic priors on the trajectory of coupled variables, strengthening model stability and offering additional calibration of the coupling process. Finally, models that describe different spatial scales can be coupled into multi-scale models, so that, for example, spatially-distributed models can be coupled with aggregate models, and influence one another. We apply this technique to a coupled socio-ecological system of population growth and ecosystem harvesting.
    Schlagwörter computer software ; ecosystems ; environmental models ; harvesting ; population growth ; social environment ; time series analysis
    Sprache Englisch
    Erscheinungsverlauf 2017-07
    Umfang p. 409-417.
    Erscheinungsort Elsevier Ltd
    Dokumenttyp Artikel
    ISSN 1364-8152
    DOI 10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.02.025
    Datenquelle NAL Katalog (AGRICOLA)

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  3. Artikel ; Online: Challenges and innovations in the economic evaluation of the risks of climate change

    Rising, James A. / Taylor, Charlotte / Ives, Matthew C. / Ward, Robert E.T.

    Ecological Economics. 2022 July, v. 197 p.107437-

    2022  

    Abstract: A large discrepancy exists between the dire impacts that most natural scientists project we could face from climate change and the modest estimates of damages calculated by mainstream economists. Economic assessments of climate change risks are intended ... ...

    Abstract A large discrepancy exists between the dire impacts that most natural scientists project we could face from climate change and the modest estimates of damages calculated by mainstream economists. Economic assessments of climate change risks are intended to be comprehensive, covering the full range of physical impacts and their associated market and non-market costs, considering the greater vulnerability of poor people and the challenges of adaptation. Available estimates still fall significantly short of this goal, but alternative approaches that have been proposed attempt to address these gaps. This review seeks to provide a common basis for natural scientists, social scientists, and modellers to understand the research challenges involved in evaluating the economic risks of climate change. Focusing on the estimation processes embedded in economic integrated assessment models and the concerns raised in the literature, we summarise the frontiers of research relevant to improving quantitative damage estimates, representing the full complexity of the associated systems, and evaluating the impact of the various economic assumptions used to manage this complexity.
    Schlagwörter climate change ; ecological economics ; economic evaluation ; markets ; people ; Review ; Climate impacts ; Integrated assessment ; Economic modelling ; Social cost ; Research frontier
    Sprache Englisch
    Erscheinungsverlauf 2022-07
    Erscheinungsort Elsevier B.V.
    Dokumenttyp Artikel ; Online
    Anmerkung Use and reproduction
    ISSN 0921-8009
    DOI 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2022.107437
    Datenquelle NAL Katalog (AGRICOLA)

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  4. Artikel ; Online: The small world of global marine fisheries: The cross-boundary consequences of larval dispersal.

    Ramesh, Nandini / Rising, James A / Oremus, Kimberly L

    Science (New York, N.Y.)

    2019  Band 364, Heft 6446, Seite(n) 1192–1196

    Abstract: Fish stocks are managed within national boundaries and by regional organizations, but the interdependence of stocks between these jurisdictions, especially as a result of larval dispersal, remains poorly explored. We examined the international ... ...

    Abstract Fish stocks are managed within national boundaries and by regional organizations, but the interdependence of stocks between these jurisdictions, especially as a result of larval dispersal, remains poorly explored. We examined the international connectivity of 747 commercially fished taxonomic groups by building a global network of fish larval dispersal. We found that the world's fisheries are highly interconnected, forming a small-world network, emphasizing the need for international cooperation. We quantify each country's dependence on its neighbors in terms of landed value, food security, and jobs. We estimate that more than $10 billion in annual catch from 2005 to 2014 is attributable to these international flows of larvae. The economic risks associated with these dependencies is greatest in the tropics.
    Mesh-Begriff(e) Animal Distribution ; Animals ; Fisheries ; Fishes/classification ; Fishes/growth & development ; Food Supply ; International Cooperation ; Larva/growth & development
    Sprache Englisch
    Erscheinungsdatum 2019-06-20
    Erscheinungsland United States
    Dokumenttyp Journal Article ; Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.
    ZDB-ID 128410-1
    ISSN 1095-9203 ; 0036-8075
    ISSN (online) 1095-9203
    ISSN 0036-8075
    DOI 10.1126/science.aav3409
    Datenquelle MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE

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    bis Jg. 1994: Bestellungen von Artikeln über das Online-Bestellformular
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