Artikel ; Online: Modeling COVID-19 dynamics in the sixteen West African countries.
Scientific African
2022 Band 18, Seite(n) e01408
Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic is currently causing several damages to the world, especially in the public health sector. Due to identifiability problems in parameters' estimation of complex compartmental models, this study considered a simple deterministic ... ...
Abstract | The COVID-19 pandemic is currently causing several damages to the world, especially in the public health sector. Due to identifiability problems in parameters' estimation of complex compartmental models, this study considered a simple deterministic susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR)-type model to characterize the first wave and predict the future course of the pandemic in the West African countries. We estimated some specific characteristics of the disease's dynamics, such as its initial conditions, reproduction numbers, true peak and peak of the reported cases, with their corresponding times, final epidemic size and time-varying attack ratio. Our findings revealed a relatively low proportion of susceptible individuals in the region and the different countries ( |
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Sprache | Englisch |
Erscheinungsdatum | 2022-10-31 |
Erscheinungsland | Netherlands |
Dokumenttyp | Journal Article |
ISSN | 2468-2276 |
ISSN (online) | 2468-2276 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.sciaf.2022.e01408 |
Datenquelle | MEDical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System OnLINE |
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